I just gave up. I see both sides of what the original injury argument WAS. One side felt that due to several NO players having had injuries in the past, they'd be more likely to have them in the future. BBH's view was that had nothing to do with the future odds of either team sustaining a major injury. I AGREED with him... and said I understood his REASONING. I simply said that IF this was available to bet on in Vegas, NO would be more likely to have a player sustain an injury that would cost a player at least 20 games. That's common sense. Anyone who's ever gambled easily understands which team would be more likely for this to occur according to the odds Vegas would establish. Still, I was "just guessing" according to him...lol. How does a bookmaker establish his odds? Past performace, inside INFORMATION, injuries, trends in current play, etc. The fact is they gather ALL AVAILABLE INFORMATION before setting odds. In doing this, there is NO GUESSING. All available information would lead anyone with common sense to understand what the odds would likely look like in this scenario. DOES NOT MEAN either team would have a player sustain the injury first or at all. Simply means that's how the odds would be established. If it was prior to last year, the odds may be much closer due to the unknown of Dwight's back surgery recovery. However, with Gordon, not to mention Anderson's neck situation, it's easy to understand, not guess, which team would be more likely, according to the odds that would be set. He wanted to argue with THAT and still state I was "guessing"?????? (But, I agree with whoever said this is a bad thing to discuss and could throw out the jinx... I hate discussing it or even thinking about it. I always fear seeing Harden crumble after the eurostep....)
He's confused between odds, basis for prediction, and certainty. Apparently in his mind, someone's odds of a future heart attack if you've already had one are the same for people who've never had a heart attack all other things being equal.
Sign Billups to BAE and trade for JSmoove? That is a legit starting PF and a vet presence with championship pedigree behind Bev. Still would rather have Bledsoe but can live with this too.
You used to be funny. Even hilarious. What happened? It's not like you stopped trying... It's the same "style" of posting, just completely lacking any level of wit that you once had???
Offseason blues and likely losing Parsons for a bag of air. I know I was/am still pissed about that. It will get better as we approach training camp and preseason.
We have no idea about the other factors. But we do know about the medical history factor. So that's clearly one you can put on the side of more likely.
Hey, now! Don't lump Spanglish in with those other "films." I actually liked Spanglish. It was just as much drama as it was comedy. Also, Paz Vega FTW!
I knew the whole time this is where you were going. Just like the morey obsessed Stat fan that you are. I never collided with you into I realized you act like what Morey would act on here.
Lumping Morey in with that isn't fair at all, what he's saying doesn't make sense to anyone but himself. He seems to be completely oblivious that the injury history is the result of the thing he's trying to predict (which is why insurance companies go from cross sectioning the whole population to specific measures once they have a such a record). If you used an analogy of say 3 point shooting, what he's saying is the equivalent of how their shot looks in practice, how they performed in college, etc etc, and the injury history is their record of 6 years of shooting in the nba, after a certain number of years, the performance becomes clear and factors like shot mechanics are irrelevant to prediction because it's the same as it's been throughout that whole period, the same goes for injury chance. Look at Tim Duncan's free throws, ugly ass wrist flick line drive ball, on simply shot mechanics, he should probably shoot less than 65%, but you know what, after 7 years of shooting 69% or more, I'm going to completely ignore it all and predict he won't shoot under 65%, know why? his free throw history with that same shot. Take Eric Gordon, those factors in play (play style, body type, etc etc) are the same factors in play 5 years ago, same factors as 4 years ago, etc etc, and what happened to him? he got injured over and over and over, so with those factors still in play, would you predict he has a fairly high chance of re-injury? well duh, only reason you would take a generalized stance is because you don't know how they affect his body, but we do.
Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blah blahblah blah blah blahblahblahblah By the way, blah blah blah blahblahblahblah. So blah blah blah That's how I keep reading this stupid thread.
