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Will Morey chase some MId-Level exception Free agents in the summer?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Carl Herrera, Feb 22, 2014.

  1. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Member

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    Barring some last-minute improbable trades to deal both Asik and Lin for no 2014-15 money in return, the Rockets will be heading into summer 2014 armed with no cap room, but with the non-taxpaer mid-level exception (starting at $5.3M, up to 4 years) and the bi-annual exception (starting at $2.1M, up to 2 years).

    Does it make sense for Morey to actually sign anybody with these exceptions? Specifically, if the team signs anybody for more than 1 year, it will eat into the cap room that it is projected to have in 2015. Right now, it looks like the team has just about enough to chase, say, Kevin Love in free agency.

    http://data.shamsports.com/content/pages/data/salaries/rockets.jsp

    I am thinking the team likely won't actually sign anyone for more than 1 year with these exceptions in the upcoming summer. There are some exceptional circumstances, but you can't rely on these things to happen (like getting a trade done for an elite player before free agency begins or some free agent worth $10M willing to sign for the midlevel money).

    It kind of hurts the team's chances in 2014-15, but preserves the flexibility for summer 2015, and, perhaps more importantly, can be used to threaten a team with a departing 2015 free agent into making a deal with Houston during the 2014-15 season (like Melo did going from Denver to NY).
     
  2. finsraider

    finsraider Member

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    Calling it now....Kostas Papanikolaou is the only guy we will sign to guaranteed money beyond 2015. Only exception would be if we trade for our 3rd star this summer.
     
  3. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Member

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    The team may well trade Papanikolaou instead of signing him is the $ is too high.
     
  4. finsraider

    finsraider Member

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    Don't think it will be. No more than $1.5 per year. Any higher and you're probably right.
     
  5. flamingdts

    flamingdts Member

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    Papanikolaou is a 3 and D guy. They don't appear in the market very often, and even if they do they cost a lot.

    I'm almost absolutely certain Morey will go after him this summer (unless Danny Granger wants to be a Rocket)
     
  6. justtxyank

    justtxyank Member

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    I think the 2015 free agent hype is probably overrated on this board. I find it hard to believe that Morey would actually punt on a year of trying to contend with Howard/Harden waiting to MAYBE sign a free agent in 2015 and then have to work for another year to add complimentary pieces.
     
  7. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Member

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    You don't necessarily punt a year. If the team keeps the cap room for 2015, a 2015 free agent who wants to with Houston in 2015 can threaten his team into making a deal with Houston in the middle of next season. If you lose that threat, you lose leverage.

    And there is a question as to how helpful an MId-Level exception Free agent is anyway. How many of these guys signed in 2013 are real difference makers for their teams? Which upcoming FA is likely to take the MId-level money and move the needle for the Rockets?

    Maybe Trevor Ariza, if he doesn't get a higher bid? There are plenty of teams with cap room and one do them may well overpay him.
     
  8. jacoby

    jacoby Member

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    He will look to trade Lin and Omer for no incoming salary and make a run at LeBron James (if trading for a star doesn't materialize)
     
  9. Kwame

    Kwame Member

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    Maury, why you burn bridge with Ariza? Now asset no want come to Houston :(
     
  10. xtruroyaltyx

    xtruroyaltyx Member
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    He's going to give rondo the mid level exception...

    ;)
     
  11. ItalianRocket

    ItalianRocket Member

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    Doubt anyone would wanna pay them 15mil for one season.
     
  12. Aruba77

    Aruba77 Member

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    I agree with CH that Morey isn't likely to sign someone for more than a year. As far as 2014 goes, Mello, Bosh, Wade, Lowry, and Gasol will all be too expensive and we don't have the cap room to sign restricted free agents to contracts that teams won't match. In a offseason where Rondo, Aldridge, and Love are all available, not to mention tier 2 guys like Deng and Milsap, why blow your cap room the year before, on a lesser player? We can contend with the roster we have going into next season. We're only losing Hamilton, Casspi, and Greg Smith. Add another solid piece on a 1-yr mid-level exception deal and we're in really good shape. Maybe someone like Paul Pierce or Ray Allen,
     
  13. jtr

    jtr Member

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    I believe your analysis of the situation is absolutely spot on.
     
  14. ArtV

    ArtV Member

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    I really don't think we will be able to sign a 2015 FA unless we want to overpay for a wannabe superstar. I think Love is the only person worth chasing that we have a shot at and I don't see him walking away and coming to Houston...ie we would be a long shot. So I think our best plan at getting him is to stack as many good young players as we can and try and to trade for him by the next deadline. If he's giving them signs of bailing after the season, then they may take our offer to keep from losing him for nothing. And if they don't trade him, we would still be working on building a good, young, deep team. So it's either 3 stars with Love or a 2 star deep team...both are good.

    So yes, use the MLE to sign the best player we can.
     
  15. rofflesaurus

    rofflesaurus Member

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    If Parsons is extended this off-season, we won't have much room for a big 2015 FA signing, correct?
     
  16. ApolloRLB

    ApolloRLB Member

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    Trade for Rondo or sign and trade for Bosh. Use the exceptions for bench 3&D + Center.

    If those trades aren't possible then 1 year MLE for 3&D. My preference is PJ Tucker.
     
  17. TheRealAllpro

    TheRealAllpro Morey only fan

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    Why can't we just sign Eric Gordon this summer?
     
  18. studogg

    studogg Member

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    Didn't we already do the Ariza with the MLE thing once?

    I like his defense, but think his 3pt shooting this season is an aberration driven by his contract season.

    I agree with your premise depending on how the team handles parsons.
     
  19. jtr

    jtr Member

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    I would not expect the Rockets to expend cap on Parsons this summer. As a RFA the Rockets have his Bird rights and can sign him after possibly inking a significant free agent in the summer of 2015.
     
  20. Aruba77

    Aruba77 Member

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    Because he won't be a free agent till 2016, assuming he uses his $15 mil player option.
     

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