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[Chron] Don't rule out a trade despite Rockets' recent run

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Carl Herrera, Feb 14, 2014.

  1. meh

    meh Member

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    Regardless of whether you're right or not, or believe you do. You really shouldn't be confrontational. We already have enough of that with LOFs. Lay out your argument. If the other side doesn't agree, then just agree to disagree.

    I think you and I both trust the management from top to bottom more than most fans. But if everyone feels the same way, there's no discussion because everyone would think the same.
     
  2. meh

    meh Member

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    As someone who has listened to Morey quite a bit last season in his interviews, it's definitely clear that Morey LOVES, and I mean LOVES Asik. Not trading Asik is definitely very much a Morey decision.
     
  3. basketballholic

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    Morey loves Asik because he understands Asik's value to winning games.
     
  4. zipcrash

    zipcrash Member

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    i wish i had a delorean. id steal 2009 shane battier.
     
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  5. Bobbythegreat

    Bobbythegreat Member
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    Why not steal 2006 Battier if you were going through the trouble of time travel?
     
  6. Htownballer38

    Htownballer38 Member

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    But what if that player don't want to play here. Then what should Morey do? And wasn't Morey trying to trade him but didn't like what these other teams had to offer?

    Im just asking Meh, not trying to start anything. Had to say that because some tends to take things to seriously.
     
  7. iconoclastic

    iconoclastic Member

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    Isn't he being paid $20 million over the next 2 years?
     
  8. meh

    meh Member

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    I was responding to someone who feels like McHale may be the driving force behind Morey's high valuing of Asik. I'm simply stating that Morey doesn't really need push from someone else to put a high value on Asik. Because he himself values Asik highly.

    My own personal opinion of what's been happening.

    1. Morey has a grad on Asik a grade. Say 80/100(arbitrary number).
    2. Morey understand that Asik's value is lower due to Howard and lack of playing time. So he drops Asik down to 70 as his trade grade. Anyone who offers equivalent of that and Asik's traded.
    3. Teams are offering guys that in Morey's mind, 50s and 60s or perhaps even lower.
    4. Morey holds on to Asik.

    I honestly believe it's just that simple. That even factoring in lack of playing time and pouting, Morey still has Asik rank higher than what he's been offered. Many fans may think that's crazy, but IMO Morey really think that highly of Asik. And generally team-oriented metrics back up Morey's thinking. When Asik plays, the Rockets are really good.
     
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  9. Htownballer38

    Htownballer38 Member

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    Agreed on all accounts Meh. Imo I think Asik will be traded next season, most likely during the off season. Right now like you stated we won't get equal value.

    Great take as usual, and thanks for the response.
     
  10. Haharocket

    Haharocket Member

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    U mean this summer, or the next year feb 20 right? Cause by next summer he a free agent. But I still believe if he health and will to play then we might match up with okc.
     
  11. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Member

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    But that's not how the NBA and player salary works if you look around the league.

    http://espn.go.com/nba/salaries

    You can have two players who are worth every penny of a very high salary, "max" or close to it under the rules, and just filling in the gaps doesn't make them the top tier favorites to win a title. (It's a result of the NBA having a "max" salary for its star players-- guys like Lebron and KD are way more valuable than the 10th or 15th best guy in the NBA, but the 10th, 15th or even the 20th best guy may well still deserve, say, $14M+ or whatever "the max" is for a player with his experience level).

    For example, if Blake Griffin and Chris Paul both become free agents right now, I don't think that people would say that teams shouldn't offer at least as much as they make now. Still, they have about the same odds to win the title per Vegas bookies as the Rockets and they certainly didn't get there last season.

    http://www.vegasinsider.com/nba/odds/futures/

    Similarly, few would argue that LaMarcus Aldridge and Damian Lillard wouldn't receive max-level offers as free agents, but the Blazers have about the same odds as the Rockets per Vegas.

    In neither of the case would the team think about jettisoning their top players and spend their money elsewhere, but these teams need a significant addition to be a top tier team.

    Look at the very top teeams-- OKC, Miami and Indiana. OKC has one of the top 2 guys in the NBA (KD and Lebron are an order of magnitude better than the next group of guys), another top 10 player (when healthy) and Ibaka, who is (reasonably) getting paid $12M. Miami has the #1 guy in the NBA and two other deserving (when healthy) $19M guys. Indiana is paying big money to Paul George and Roy Hibbert, who are deserving of their salary, but on many nights their best performer is either David West (paid $12M) and Lance Stephens (about to be paid $10-12M per year when he becomes a free agent).

    Nobody is saying that Miami was crazy to pay Bosh and Wade all that money when these two wouldn't make Miami a top tier team without Lebron. Nobody is saying that Indiana was crazy to pay George and Hibbert when they still needed to rely on David West and Lance Stephens.

    Yes, sometimes the teams that are not stacked with this kind of talent wins-- Dallas in 2011 most recently, but these are atypical, and Morey's aim should not be to build a "darkhorse" winner, but rather to build a juggernaut team that would surprise nobody if it wins a title.
     
  12. fluors

    fluors Member

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    A Rajon Rondo/Jeremy Lin Turnover Comaprison (from nba./com/stats):

    One reason cited for replacing Lin with Rondo was turnovers. But the data suggest something different. In fact, statistically, Rondo is likely to turn it over more than Lin or Beverley. However, Rondo’s turnover rate is mitigated by the fact that he averages about 7 more assist than turnovers per game. There are multiple factors involved with Rondo acquisition (leader ship, playoff experience, etc), and most of them favor Rondo, but the one thing the stats show is that turnovers will not be reduced with Rondo at the helm. I based my conclusion on 2012-2013 TOV rather than 2013-2014 stats because both Rondo and Lin were injured most of this season.

    Name::TOV(2013-14)---TOV(2012-13)---AST(2013-14)---AST(2012-13)

    Jeremy Lin-----2.7-------2.7-------4.5-------6.1
    Rajon Rondo---2.7-------3.9-------7.1-------11.1


    Can Rondo instill and imprint his toughness and a killer instinct on this team withut disrupting team chemistry? That’s the question and noone knows the answer. There are other unknowns as well. When Howard and Harden demands the ball now, Jeremy and Bev defer immediately. I don’t know if Rondo will defer, maybe he will, but why would/should he? After all, he’s more accomplished an decorated than Harden or Howard. Also, in his last full season, Rondo averaged 12-13 FGA and eleven assists per game. Clearly, he needs the ball to be effective. If he ends up in Houston, Harden and Howard will need to allow Rondo to initiate the offense and determine shot selection. But why would/should Harden/Howard defer to Rondo? After all, they are the $80M max players on this team, and they need to validate the current salary and pad stats to set up future salary. Harden was shooting step back threes in utereo and as is, gets to do that at his pleasure. Even if he is somehow convinced to defer to Rondo, the acquiescence is fraught with danger because it is likely to be perceived as a demotion and/or a stripping/redistribution of power and/or a reduction in FGA by a max player. If the Rockets' history is an indicator, power struggles related to player personnel changes don’t end well. We’ve seen this movie played out three times in recent history; with Lowery/Dragic, Harden/Lin, and Howard/Asik. And we know how it ends; the victor is happy, the loser sulks, refuses to play, and either leaves the team ASAP or tries to force a trade. I know Lin accepted his new role but I doubt most NBA players would react the way Lin did. If Rondo becomes a Rocket, either Harden, Howard, or Rondo (possibly Parsons too since he wants a new contract and needs stats to match) will end up petulant, surly, sulking, pouting, or wanting out. The Rockets chemistry is at a season high right now and getting better each game. I don’t know what changes Morey will entertain next season, but in my opinion, our 2013-2014 ceiling will be a lot higher without Rajon Rondo on this roster.
     
  13. Raven

    Raven Member

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    Only three days until the trade deadline, tick, tick, tick, tick, tick.

    ;)
     
  14. FeaR

    FeaR Member

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    All-star weekend is over. I hope we take an update soon from codman or any other insider.
     
  15. Easy

    Easy Boban Only Fan
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    Yes, nobody is saying that. But if your team's best players are Bosh and Wade with a bunch of average role players, you are pretty much stuck in the second tier.

    You either have a LeBron/Durant kind of player or you have a guy who plays like that in the playoffs (Dirk) to win it all. Or you stack an 8-deep top notch role players core around your second tier stars.
     
  16. meh

    meh Member

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    You also have the Celtics and Pistons has shown that you can simply have a lot of 2nd tier stars and win that way. Both teams had 3 stars (KG/Allen/Pierce and Wallace/Wallace/Billups) with above average players to round out the top 5.

    It's clear the above is what the Rockets have the highest likelihood of becoming, and what Morey's aiming for.
     
  17. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Member

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    Cap space and flexibility is also crucial and could possibly override 1-4 even if they are met.

    We're talking about a guy who let Dragic walk despite a nice last 30 games just because Goran wanted an extra guaranteed year.
     
  18. htown1984

    htown1984 Member

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    codman/King Drew/ Doc Rocket/ Cyberx

    we are desprately needing another clue from yall.. We cant take this anymore... Give us another hint to start a new riot of debate..
     
  19. FTW Rockets FTW

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    Craig Ackerman on radio this morning pretty much said what has been mentioned several times here.

    Morey is definitely working the phone lines and would have several deals going on but WILL NOT sell Asik for 60 cents on the dollar.
     
  20. meh

    meh Member

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    The Rockets have no chance of cap flexibility in 2014. Not unless they trade away everyone. Asik expires in 2015. The Rockets cannot gain any extra financial flexibility by trading asik.
     

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