Seriously. Check out his rushing stats. He has less than 150 rushing yards total in 3 seasons (of course in college, sacks count against your rushing total, but still). Why do people think he's a running QB? Because he's black and seemingly every recent black QB uses their feet as a major weapon? He's not a statue, he can move and has shown he can avoid the rush and even run for a first down when the opportunity arises, but he's a pure pocket passer.
Agreed. Duane Brown is gonna be a value contract for the next 3 years. We need to be looking QB or defense with a top 3 pick. Wouldn't mind adding a RT at the top of the 2nd round though.
Bridgewater is not a running QB but that's because he chooses not to be. Watch all the video you can on him and whatever plays you see that he runs in you will almost see that he runs very well for positive yardage. You won't find many runs because he looks for every possibility to pass before he runs. I would not say he is better runner than Manziel but mostly thats just because there is not enough evidence of that. Show me an instance of him running and you'll see a productive run.
Just because QB is a need for the Texans does not mean they need to panic and reach for one early. Bridgewater might be rated the best QB in the draft, but I don't see him being a elite franchise player that I would want to take with a top pick. Depending on where the Texans pick I would go def or o-line in the 1st. Then in the 2nd take Derek Carr. Who in my opinion will be just as good of NFL QB as Bridgewater, but at a cheaper price.
A bird might crap on my head as I walk out the door, doesn't mean there's a great chance it'll happen. You really see us beating?.... Indy at Lucas Oilfield Stadium (we've never won there) Denver at home Tennessee at home To go on a 3 game win streak? Its possible of course, but highly unlikely.
Derek Carr will never make it to the second round and while he is definitely better than his brother he is lacking in the toughness of Bridgewater among other things. Plus I doubt McNair has forgotten the bitter taste of David and would be doubtful to draft another Carr. Quarterback is the most important position on the field. Almost every super bowl has had quarterback play leading their team. Yes defense is important also but I great defensive end can't do it on his own. The one position that can produce wins in a day is QB. More importantly it is our most glaring weakness. The Texans need a quarterback. Schaub is gone. He is just too slow and chokes when needed most. You can't trust him. I love Case but he just isn't delivering. Maybe will turn into a star this last three games and certainly with more time he will at least improve but he is lacking. And the things he is most lacking are the things Bridgewater already excels in. Plus Bridgewater is taller faster and more elusive in the pocket. I find it surprising people do not see the talent in Bridgewater. They complain about his size and say he is 196. He is not if he is not 220, he is close and he is stronger than he looks. He has great upper body strength and a strong neck. ANd he just turned 21. People complain about his hands yet he has only lost 2 fumbles in his entire college football career and he is the most accurate of all the elite QBs in the NCAA. People complain about his arm strength and I have seen him throw 60 yards on the run. They complain about his running ability. He runs very well. He just doesn't do it very often. They never call running plays for him outside of an occassional QB sneak and a rare option. Yet whenever he does run he looks good and sometimes amazing. If you watch enough video you'll see that. And all of the most important qualities he excels at accuracy, pocket presence, winning and intelligence. Plus he is the opposite of Clowney in character and desire. I have no dog in this fight and only started looking at prospect when the Texans started sucking and it looked like were headed for a high draft pick. I see no better choice for the Texans than Bridgewater. I would be happy to be wrong but you're going to have to show me. But the player has to be more than athletic. He has to produce on the field. And don't include players that takes off games because not 100% perfect and takes off plays even when he is. Because if he does that now when he wants the money now expect him to continue that trend the rest of his life.
So if you think Bridgewater = Carr, why do you think one would be taken in the top 5 while the other would last until the 2nd round? Do you believe all the NFL scouts from all 32 teams are wrong and you see something they don't?
All NFL scouts are continually wrong throughout the draft process... there's no track record out there to say any of them are consistently right, ever. If you actually look at who they "hit" on vs. who they "miss" after a draft and entire subsequent season... you might as well throw darts. The draft is a crapshoot... there is no guarantee that the #1 QB chosen is ever better than the #2, #3, or #4 QB. And when you have the #1 pick, you can't afford to "miss" on it... especially not this team. Players who end up doing well off the bat coincide with being brought onto teams or systems that fit them the best... teams fail players all the time, regardless of whether or not a certain player has more talent than the other. Don't know why you "trust" the scouts as much as you do, given the track record of how many undrafted free agents end up sticking vs. draft picks. Or that its okay for a potential mistake to be made, simply because every other team will make the same potential mistake. Finally, its not about taking the QB hyped up to be the #1 pick in the draft... its about taking the QB who will eventually have the best career on the best possible team. There's no system in place, scouts or otherwise, that has a fool-proof way of figuring that out... but teams that are sound overall give young QB's the best chance to succeed. (for the record, I would support the Bridgewater pick... but I don't believe that scouts are infallible, or that teams that build around late first round or second-third round pick QB's are doomed... most of all QB's that fail also happen to play on terrible teams that don't have enough overall talent to allow any QB to succeed (first, second, 5th round, etc.).
I personally don't see Bridgewater being that special. Right now he is the top QB prospect for this draft. The only reason he is being predicted to go top 5 is because you have teams in the top 5 in need of a QB. I just don't see a big gap between him and other top QBs prospects. I am by no means a expert and never claimed to be, but even the experts make the wrong can't miss pick. To be completely honest I'd much rather take a chance on a FA Michael Vick and hope he's stays healthy instead of handing this team to a rookie.
Absolutely true. But so are you and I and everyone else. So the real question is whether you trust your own view more than the consensus of 32 teams' worth of scouts. If 32 teams worth of scouts say Bridgewater is a top 5 pick and Derek Carr is a 2nd rounder, then I'm going to say Bridgewater has a higher probability of success than Carr. That doesn't mean we'll be right, but it's the more likely outcome. This is simply not true. If it were, the Texans should trade all their picks for 7th round picks and pick 32 players in the 7th round and it would be just as good as having 32 picks in the 1st round. And yet, there is a higher probability of your #1 QB being better than any of the others. If not, all the scouts should just be fired. Pick Case McCoy in the 7th round if it's truly a crapshoot. I trust scouts because they are the best source of information we have. Certainly better than you or I. The draft is about probabilities. The higher you pick, the higher your probability of success. Claiming you have just as much success in the 2nd round as the 1st is not remotely supported by evidence. And pointing to undrafted free agents is silly. Of course undrafted free agents will be plentiful - there are far more of them than there are draft picks. So even if the odds of a single one sticking are low, they will stick around by sheer volume. It doesn't mean the draft is random. You seem to keep coming back to "guarantees". Nothing is guaranteed, but it doesn't mean you don't make the choices with the highest probability of success. If I run the Texans, the QB is the most pressing position I need to fix. I want the QB my scouts think is the best rather than the one they think is 5th best. If they are wrong, so be it. If I don't trust my scouts, I should fire them. But as long as they are my scouts, I have no choice but to trust their best judgment.
If I feel that the QB's simply aren't that good this year, and wouldn't be a #1 pick in any other year... is it wrong to say the Texans should wait? Or is their desperation to fix the QB position enough of a reason to take the best available QB #1, regardless of whether or not he is a "#1/franchise worthy" talent. Again, its about finding the best QB for the next 10 years, not simply the one that just happens to be the best one coming out this year. Yes, nothing is guaranteed... but just because you take a QB with the first overall pick also doesn't lead to an increased probability of success, given the history of #1 pick QB's vs. the rest of the QB's in the league.
This seems like a pretty radical statement. I mean I agree you have a lot of guys who are highly rated and then flame out for some reason...but some teams still draft better than others.
I credit teams that consistently do "well" in the draft to having an established organization/environment/coaching system conducive to success for young players. The same players could go elsewhere and flame out, but the team a player is drafted on is just as important to their overall chances of success as the individual players' talent. All that being said, perhaps the best "team" over the last 20 years (the Patriots) has had a horrid record in success amongst their high draft picks... but yet finds value/contributers in late round/undrafted players that end up playing long-term for them.
We need a QB via FA or draft. Personally better to wait for the right talent to come along especially when investing on a starting QB. And i really think next years QB crop is gonna be much better.
