How Many Shots are Available to the Rockets Starting Power Forward?

You showed him!

Please, regale us with more of your exploits our benevolent master!

 

John, is that you?

 

Please do not insult my supreme leader Russell Crowe.

 

This post did not get the attention it deserves.

 

Those would all be good points if CH had a BS in mathematics.

As it stands he's just an obnoxious ingrate trying to smear the name of our lord and savior, jtr.

 

Funny enough, I do have a MS in mathematics. Haven't really had to use this stuff much in recent years after moving on to a different line of work, but I do remember enough math to see that the stuff posted in the OP being nothing more than bull****.

But really, kind of pointless to make claims about diplomas and courses taken in college on the internet since there is no verification anyway. None of the stuff being discussed here-- i.e. shots per minutes as calculated by the "leftover method" that the OP favors-- requires anything remotely "advanced." So, if you want people to respect your analysis, make a decent analysis and explains it well. Talking about one's supposed brilliance is just not a useful way to convince people or make them understand-- on this BBS or elsewhere.

 

But have you had your professor in DiffEQ say something something I'm so smart something something standard deviation?

I didn't think so.

 

Surprise that no one point out the fundamental flaw in the OP thread,

From what I ( a layman with basic math and basketball knowledge.) can understand, the whole premise of shots available to the 5th starter who will play all 33 minutes with the other 4 starters,will be around 5-6/shots, is that the remaining 15 minutes will be played solely by bench players.

How is that even possible?

Not going into the argument on how LA can help the rox, when

JTR, love the different approach to start an idea, but not that much when you refuse to accept criticism. And 1 unfortunate part about using math, is that when you are using variables/guesses, math is now thrown out of the window. Unless its something concrete like contracts, math in basketball will only be an estimate, not the rule.

 

The difference is that I wasn't trying to impress you. I couldn't care less about you or your supposed superiority.

For the record, though, I have a magna c*m laude degree with a triple major in mathematical economic analysis, statistics and computer science from Rice, plus a Harvard MBA. I feel more than competent in discussing statistical analysis with you.

And I am well aware that there are others here who are far ahead of me in mathematics and statistics. I have no idea whether you are one of them, but then neither do you.

 

Haha, even when you're not attacking someone you're full of yourself.

"Here, let me talk dumb-like so you simple-minded ones can understand...whoops, I let my brilliant intellect get away with me again. Sorry, it's so hard to contain."

 

This is prima facia absurd, regardless of how many out-of-context statistical terms you throw out.

Your entire (simplistic) analysis was essentially:
1) Rockets take x shots per minute
2) The other four starters averaged (last year) y shots per minute
3) Scaled over 33 minutes, 33*x - 33*y = 8-9 shots remaining over those 33 minutes.
4) The PF will play 33 minutes alongside the starters, and Dwight will take more shots, therefore he will get 5-6 shots while playing with the starters.

1-3 above are fine, as far as the analysis goes. It is, as you say, grade-school math.

#4 is an illogical leap because it does assume all five players play together. If they do not, and if one or more is replaced by a lower usage player along with the new PF, then more shots will be available per minute while the new PF is in the game. That is also grade-school math, though perhaps a slightly higher grade than you achieved.

The correct math is:
1) The Rockets take x shots per minute
2) The starters will each play 33 minutes at various points in the game and collectively take y shots per minute during those minutes
3) Over a 48 minute game, that results in 48*x - 33*y remaining shots available to all other players, including any new PF.

That math isn't perfect either because it ignores interaction effects, but it is much better than yours.

This really isn't that hard. But, as I once said to another particularly arrogant dullard - we can keep explaining it to you, but we can't understand it for you.