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Where Do the Rockets Go From Here – The Power Forward Position

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by jtr, Aug 15, 2013.

  1. Sanity2disChaos

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    I think that's a little much for Aldridge....they don't even need Parsons with Batuum and definitely Lin is not needed in Portland either, but I see what you saying. The price to attain any top pf will be high.
     
  2. jtr

    jtr Member

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    May I point out: (1) that Smith logged 1169.25 minutes total last season of which he spent 228 on the floor with Asik, ~19% of his on court time?; (2) D-Mo spent 222 minutes on the court with Asik last season with the third most used Rockets lineup out of 537 minutes total, 44% of his court time?

    Until Morey signs anyone other than center who does not project to be an above average 3 point shooter I will maintain my position. Not to mention the many other facts indicating that I am right. These include that 3 point shots are 24% more valuable than 2 point shots, that no one has answered the question of how devastating 2 defensive bigs in the paint (one on Asik, one on Howard) would be to Lin and Hardens dribble penetration, the fact that due to spacing it is actually much much less effort to create a good 3 point shot than a 2 point shot, etc.

    And just to advance my viewpoint here is a video of Harden wanting to drive with no offensive spacing - congested paint.

    <iframe width="640" height="360" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Z5f4Uo57vC4?feature=player_embedded" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
     
    #122 jtr, Aug 18, 2013
    Last edited: Aug 18, 2013
  3. RocketsWin

    RocketsWin Member

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    What facts? You have no facts to indicate that Howard and Asik can't play together. I only bring up Smith because he has no shooting ability, but we all know that Howard is a million time better than Smith. I think Howard and Asik could dominate together. Howard obviously had a vision of this before signing with us as he was rumored to want to play with a guy like Asik and has stated that he does not want him traded, according to Morey. Harden also does not want him traded, so obviously the players envision something here.
     
  4. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Member

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    What is the argument here?

    Does Morey value 3 point shooting at the PF spot? Sure.

    Will Morey not go after any significant PFs who doesn't "project to be an above average 3 point shooter"? Doubt it. Morey met with Josh Smith (as either a back-up plan for not landing Howard or to play with Howard) before likely deciding that the money he got from Detroit was too much to pay. Smith does not project to be an above-average 3 point shooter (or even an above-average 2-point shooter outside 5 feet of the basket really).

    Morey also drafted Royce White, who did not project to be an above average 3-point shooter. You can probably throw Thomas Robinson into the bunch, too (though I am not sure they really intended to keep the guy instead of just flipping him). Heck, one can hardly be confident that Jones will develop into above-average 3 point shooters based on their college numbers (33% from the shorter college range).

    Yes, the Rockets have signed a bunch of 3 point shooters after Dwight Howard chose to join the team, but these are all minimum wage guys. Just because 3 point shooting is a very important, perhaps paramount, factor when you are choosing among minimum wage free agents hoping that one would pan out it doesn't mean that 3 point shooting will be a similarly large factor when you are considering much more expensive players with much more proven talent.
     
  5. jtr

    jtr Member

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    1: Mid and long range 2 point shots are worth 24% less than 3 point shots by league averages.
    2: The Rockets shot the least amount of mid and long range 2 points in the league last year. And maybe ever.
    3: Morey has not signed anyone other than centers for this new Rockets roster who is not projected as a 3 point shooter.
    4: Asik's greatest value is on defense backing up Howard. The Rockets were 6th(?) in the league last season on defense with Asik on the floor compared to 27th on defense with Asik sitting.
    5: 2 bigs with no range will hamper or completely close down Hardens and Lin's penetration.
    6: I could go on but I am bored with this.
     
  6. RocketsWin

    RocketsWin Member

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    Again, you are not looking outside the box. You are just considering the obvious. You are failing to consider innovation and possibilities. You are failing to consider that our coach is one of the greatest big men of all time and that these guys are being mentored by the best big in rockets history (who played alongside another 7 footer in Ralph Sampson). I'm not saying that they can or should play 48 mins together, as I actually do see us playing Parsons at the 4 and Garcia at the 3 a good amount of time too. But can they play 15-20 mins together and even dominate at times depending on matchups? Absolutely. I think we have a lot of lineup options and McHale will put the best players out there depending on matchups. It's not just as simple as saying we always need a 3pt shooter at the 4, because this is simply not the case.
     
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  7. jocar

    jocar Member

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    [​IMG]
     
  8. Alvin Choo

    Alvin Choo Member

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    This topic is going south faster than I thought.
     
    1 person likes this.
  9. munco

    munco Member

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    But what about defense? The paint would be congested with Asik and Howard together so Harden, Lin would have a tougher time scoring in the paint. However, on the defensive end we'd also be a nightmare to score on in the paint. We were one of the best offensive teams last year and one of the worse defensive teams. Even if we lose something on offense with Asik and Howard together we'd gain tremendously on defense. The experiment is worth a shot and it could just work!
     
  10. RocketsWin

    RocketsWin Member

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    The bottom line here is that we need to stop putting Morey and McHale in a box, thinking that they only look for one type of PF (a stretch 4). They are looking for the best players to help us win games and hopefully a championship. If Asik and Howard starting together provide this, then they will indeed start together. We will find out soon enough.
     
  11. larry cook

    larry cook Member

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    Ersan Ilyasova would be perfect.
     
  12. luckytxn

    luckytxn Member

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    Lol

    Well I understand what you are saying and agree with it.Even last year most would agree that the Rockets valued the 3 point shot and spacing of the floor. Morey's players he has chosen suggests he is planning more of the same.
     
  13. RocketsWin

    RocketsWin Member

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    Obviously we need to have Asik and/or Howard on the court at all times. What I envision us doing is starting both and then using substitution patterns to also utilize Parsons at the 4 at times and Jones or D-Mo at the 4 at times (whoever has taken the bigger step forward). Howard should play 35 mpg and Asik should play the 13 mpg that Howard is on the bench. They would therefore play on the court together say 15-17 mins, giving Asik 28-30 mins per game of playing time.
     
  14. bejezuz

    bejezuz Member

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    Once you sort out the small forwards, there's not exactly a glut of available players who fit this description at all.
     
  15. jtr

    jtr Member

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    The Rockets were a top 7 defensive team when Asik was on the floor and a bottom 3 when Asik was sitting. So next season the Rockets will be top 4 defense with Howard playing and top 7 defense with Asik playing? Something like that. That actually says absolutely nothing of the Rockets performance on defense when both play together. I would not be surprised if their defensive performance was not in the top 10 with both Asik and Howard play together next season. The sum of the parts can actually be much greater than the team as a whole. There is much to much overlap of strengths between both Howard and Asik on defense.

    Some real world examples. Two very quick 6 foot point guards with good defense. If you play them both together will they be very good together? Probably not because one of the guards is going to get abused by the opponents 6'6" shooting guard. You have a great defender named Paul George who is a monster defending shooting guards and small forwards. He is tall so he should be able to defend power forwards much better than normal. But no, he gets abused by power forwards that are 2 inches taller than him and 45 pounds heavier. His defensive acumen is actually wasted because he relies on quickness, coverage and jumping ability. Power forwards just back him down into the restricted area.

    Howard and Asik are both centers. They excel in covering the opposition within 8 feet or less to the basket. There is absolutely no indication from their careers that they would excel covering a power forward like Randolf, Duncan, Bosh, and LMA, or even worse Love. Wish all you want, if the opposing PF excels outside of the restricted zone then they quite possibly would be ducks out of the water.
     
    #135 jtr, Aug 18, 2013
    Last edited: Aug 18, 2013
  16. RocketsWin

    RocketsWin Member

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    I'd rather start players who deserve to start. Asik deserves to start. Unless D-Mo or jones have taken a huge step forward, neither deserve to start.
     
  17. meh

    meh Member

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    On the contrary, it's actually Morey who researched and concluded that the 4-shooter spread formation is the most optimized use of talent, given the market today.

    So for Morey to change his approach, you'd have to replace a player with someone of higher talent to make up for the lack of fit. The question becomes how big a talent upgrade does it have to be?
     
  18. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Member

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    Actually, Asik covered several of these guys and did a pretty good job. I specifically remember Asik covering Aldridge (both on the block and at the elbow) when Aldridge had success against Houston's smaller defenders. Also, here's a video showing Asik covering Duncan (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0ZxypRIKVNc). In fact, Asik was often covering the opponents better offensive big last season, even those with shooting abilities. He also covered "PFs" when the opponent go small (often to match Houston going small) and the "PF" (example: Duncan in the video, Miami often ran with Bosh at C) was the only big man in the opposing team's lineup.

    Asik and Howard are two guys with more than adequate lateral quickness defensively to cover both PF and Cs. Now, do you want to play both of them together if the opposing team go with, say, Kawhi Leonard at the 4? Probably not, but this is why you have the other players like Casspi, DMo, Jones, etc. for. You watch whether a particular matchup is working and make substitutions. No one is saying that Asik and Howard will play every minute of every game together (or even 50% of the minutes of every game together). In any case, we are not talking about Yao Ming trying to defend Carlos Boozer here.

    Anyhow, you can talk all you want about what you think works or not, the bottom line is that trying it out (which the team will) is the only way you come close to knowing for sure. Plenty of things work on paper but not so much in reality.
     
    #138 Carl Herrera, Aug 18, 2013
    Last edited: Aug 18, 2013
  19. RocketsWin

    RocketsWin Member

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    How big a talent upgrade? Ummm, Dwight Howard perhaps? McHale plans to put Howard at the 4 and Asik at the 5.
     
  20. RocketsWin

    RocketsWin Member

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    Great post Carl. I like your outside the box thinking. Asik can guard many PFs and so can Howard with his athleticism.
     

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