1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

What must this Rockets team answer to be a contender?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Sweet Lou 4 2, Jul 14, 2013.

Tags:
Page 6 of 6
  1. Terry Teagle

    Terry Teagle Member

    Joined:
    Nov 3, 2012
    Messages:
    147
    Likes Received:
    13
    Harden's TS% is a function of how much he gets to the FT line, which in turn is a function of how much he has the ball in his hands plus inclination to drive.

    Lin's TS% is pretty high too at 54%: One could argue that since Harden is a better 3PT shooter, Lin should be driving the lane more and that Harden should focus on getting his 3PT% to 40%.

    I'm not sure where you get 40% from -- why is that the magic number that will allow Lin to equalize the defense?
     
    #101 Terry Teagle, Jul 18, 2013
  2. Benchwarmer

    Benchwarmer Member

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2013
    Messages:
    1,652
    Likes Received:
    33
    Lin was coming back from knee surgery last year. His 3pt shooting % would have been much higher than 33% if he was healthy, and if Harden didn't pass him the ball w/ 2 sec on the shot clock to take so many contested 3's.
     
    #102 Benchwarmer, Jul 18, 2013
  3. vince

    vince Member

    Joined:
    Jan 18, 2000
    Messages:
    3,863
    Likes Received:
    3,656
    There are lot of answers to be decided. But the personel is enviable for all but a handfull of teams. the team chemistry will be the deciding factor.

    And who is going to take over the game in the last five minutes.
     
    #103 vince, Jul 18, 2013
  4. Benchwarmer

    Benchwarmer Member

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2013
    Messages:
    1,652
    Likes Received:
    33
    Honestly, I hope they abandon this "3's or layups only" crap. It only works on paper, and ends up giving other teams more points on the other end. Bring back the midrange game, it worked fine for Miami and the Spurs. That will be the key.
     
    #104 Benchwarmer, Jul 18, 2013
  5. Sweet Lou 4 2

    Sweet Lou 4 2 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 16, 2007
    Messages:
    39,181
    Likes Received:
    20,334
    If you are the opposing defense, you set-up your defense to give up the least actually fg percentage - the lowest TS%.

    So, when Harden has the ball, his TS% is 60%. That was last year. It's incredibly high. That's why he is a star.

    So, when he has the ball, what happens is to compensate, the defense cheats off of one player to try to lower that percentage. Since Lin is shoting x% from 3 point land, which is in effect 1.5x compared to Hardens TS%, they drop off Lin a bit. They also do that to Parsons, and everyone else on the court.

    Now you have Howard, so they can't cheat off of him too much. And Parsons keeps them honest on the right side of the court. So that leaves essentially your 4 and Lin.

    You can take Lin away if he can hit a 3 at 40% because that's equivalent to a 60% efg, and therefore they can't cheat of Lin since Harden will just pass the ball out for Lin to hit his 40% 3 pointer.

    Do you get it now?
     
    #105 Sweet Lou 4 2, Jul 18, 2013
    1 person likes this.
(You must log in or sign up to post here.)
Page 6 of 6

Share This Page