The Lakers will win one game when one of their scrubs go crazy (ex. Steve Blake). San Antonio is the superior team though - Spurs in 5.
This. If the Spurs had a competent complement to Duncan's defense, it would be SA in 5. But as Duncan is only one guy, albeit one guy that defends well, don't be surprised if LA takes this series. If SA wins though, they're scary. Parker and Gino will have worked out their respective kinks by the start of the second round.
I think the Spurs take it in six. If the lakers had Kobe Bryant I think it would've been a Laker upset. While the Spurs are sort of sputtering with the injury situation the Lakers haven't been a cohesive unit all season. Tim Duncan will still get his way and Tony parker will control the pace.