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Jeremy Lin's upside

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by meh, Jul 20, 2012.

  1. Steal&Deal

    Steal&Deal Member

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    You're right the way Harden hogs the ball it doesn't really
    matter who else is out there.
     
  2. Rockets590

    Rockets590 Rookie

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    wow. I just face-palmed.
     
  3. boiler

    boiler Member

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    Seriously?
     
  4. jordnnnn

    jordnnnn Member

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    funny how now you can't even tell if someone is joking or dead serious in their analysis around here anymore. sadly I'd have to guess this one was serious
     
  5. Morlock O

    Morlock O Member

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    Yeah, it is getting harder and harder to determine who is the LOF, LOH or troll LOL
     
  6. lfw

    lfw Rookie

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    Wow. It's like we watched 2 different games.

    Jeremy was getting trapped whenever Miami had a chance to send the extra man to surprise him from his blindside and they did it at every opportunity no matter where he was on the court. Miami's defenders are also very athletic and long and that's hard to deal with when they already got the jump on you. Jeremy looked like he had a hard time dealing with that. I'm not surprised that the team went to Harden in the 2nd half. He's bigger and stronger and thrives on initiating contact to draw a foul. It's tougher to pressure a guy like that.
     
  7. DXtreme

    DXtreme Member

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    Dude, so your saying that if you play in the NBA tomorrow against Miami , Lebron will double team you?

    I think not...
     
  8. DXtreme

    DXtreme Member

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    Sry wrong quote to reply.


    Dude, so your saying that if you play in the NBA tomorrow against Miami , Lebron will double team you?

    I think not...
     
  9. haoafu

    haoafu Contributing Member

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    Lin's good game against GSW made Miami doubling/trapping him all game long, and it sets up Harden's big game. Then in last few minutes they decided to do the same thing to Harden.

    It's good for Lin's growth. What Miami was doing is the ultimate respect to his ability. Basically they are trying to let anybody else beat them except Lin. Same logic how Blazers were doubling Yao in the playoff series.

    The earlier a player faces such kind of defense, the better for his future development IMO.
     
  10. loox

    loox Member

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    Somebody pretends to be the cool guy, lol
     
  11. rockets2012

    rockets2012 Member

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    Once Lin shoots better consistently, it'll open up his game and he'll match or exceed his Linsanity performance.
     
  12. Comic Book Nerd

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    Deron Williams

    2005-Year 1- 10.8 ppg, 4.5 apg, 2.4 rpg, 0.8 spg
    2006-Year 2- 16.2 ppg, 9.3 apg, 3.3 rpg, 1.0 spg
    2007-Year 3- 18.8 ppg, 10.5 apg, 3.0 rpg, 1.1 spg

    Chris Paul

    2005-Year 1- 16.1 ppg, 7.8 apg, 5.1 rpg, 2.2 spg
    2006-Year 2- 17.3 ppg, 8.9 apg, 4.4 rpg, 1.8 spg
    2007-Year 3- 21.1 ppg, 11.6 apg, 4.0 rpg, 2.7 spg

    Steve Nash

    1996-Year 1- 3.3 ppg, 2.1 apg, 1.0 rpg, 0.3 spg
    1997-Year 2- 9.1 ppg, 3.4 apg, 2.1 rpg, 0.8 spg
    1998-Year 3- 7.9 ppg, 5.5 apg, 2.9 rpg, 0.9 spg
    1999-Year 4- 8.6 ppg, 4.9 apg, 2.2 rpg, 0.7 spg
    2000-Year 5- 15.6 ppg, 7.3 apg, 3.2 rpg, 1.0 spg
    2001-Year 6- 17.9 ppg, 7.7 apg, 3.1 rpg, 0.6 spg
    2006-Year 11-18.6 ppg, 11.6 apg, 3.5 rpg, 0.8 spg


    Goran Dragic
    2011-Year 6- 11.7 ppg, 5.3 apg, 2.5 rpg, 1.3 spg
    2012-Year 7- 14.2 ppg, 6.4 apg, 2.8 rpg, 1.4 spg


    Jeremy Lin
    2011-Year 2- 14.6 ppg, 6.2 apg, 3.1 rpg, 1.6 spg
    2012-Year 3- 12.5 ppg, 6.1 apg, 3.6 rpg, 2.0 spg


    I'm excluding Jeremy's Year 1, because he sat on the bench the whole year at Golden State and didn't get to play.

    Jeremy only played 1/4th of a season last year with the Knicks, and is currently 1/2 way thru his current season with the Rockets.

    So I combined Year 2&3 and averaged.

    Which gives us his REAL ROOKIE SEASON stats:

    13.5 ppg, 6.1 apg, 3.35 rpg, 1.8 spg


    So to compare:

    Deron Williams - Year 2- 16.2 ppg, 9.3 apg, 3.3 rpg, 1.0 spg
    Chris Paul - Year 1- 16.1 ppg, 7.8 apg, 5.1 rpg, 2.2 spg
    Steve Nash - Year 5- 15.6 ppg, 7.3 apg, 3.2 rpg, 1.0 spg
    Goran Dragic - Year 7- 14.2 ppg, 6.4 apg, 2.8 rpg, 1.4 spg
    Baron Davis - Year 2- 13.8 ppg, 7.3 apg, 5.0 rpg, 2.1 spg
    Jeremy Lin - Year 1- 13.5 ppg, 6.1 apg, 3.3 rpg, 1.8 spg


    -Jeremy's first season so far is superior to that of Deron Williams.

    -Steve nash took 5 seasons before he had a season as good as Jeremy's real rookie season.

    -Goran Dragic took 7 seasons before he had a season as good as Jeremy's real rookie season.

    -Chris Paul is more talented than Jeremy Lin. But then Chris Paul is THE #1 Point Guard in the NBA!

    Looking at Jeremy's stats, I think what the Houston Rockets have is a young Baron Davis!

    Baron Davis
    2000-Year 2- 13.8 ppg, 7.3 apg, 5.0 rpg, 2.1 spg
    2001-Year 3- 18.1 ppg, 8.5 apg, 4.3 rpg, 2.1 spg
    2002-Year 4- 17.1 ppg, 6.4 apg, 3.7 rpg, 1.8 spg
    2003-Year 5- 22.9 ppg, 7.5 apg, 4.3 rpg, 2.4 spg


    I think if given the right opportunities and enough game time, I think Lin can definitely be an elite point guard within a season or 2 tops. I can definitely see All-Star caliber within 2 seasons as well.

    So we've got Harden for 4 more years. We've got Lin for at least 3 more years. I figure if we keep Asik and Parsons and Patterson, I think we could be a title contender within 2 years.

    What do you all think?
     
    2 people like this.
  13. VanityHalfBlack

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    Comic Book Nerd:

    [​IMG]
     
  14. Steal&Deal

    Steal&Deal Member

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    Nice post Comic Book Nerd! I think you're right that Lin's stats will only get better as he gains more experience. PG is a lot like playing QB in football - it takes time. There are a few things however that could hamper his development like injuries and coaching....
     
  15. SuperStar

    SuperStar Member

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    I wonder if having similar numbers as the players you have mentioned actually mean anything. Seems like you can find a lot of rookie pgs who put up similar or better numbers. Maybe I'm wrong on that but two at the top of my head would be Damiem Lillard and Greivis Vásquez.
     
  16. VanityHalfBlack

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    Greivis Vasquez is a rookie?
     
  17. Steal&Deal

    Steal&Deal Member

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    PG's in the league now are unusually talented. If Lillard wins rookie of the year he will be the 4th point guard in the last 5 years to win it. So on average I would say the numbers mentioned do mean something.
     
  18. meh

    meh Member

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    First of all, Lin is not a rookie. Spending time in training camp, the DLeague, and watching on the bench makes a player better. Playing 30 games and then get injured doesn't mean the 30 game season doesn't exist. If you want to say Lin should count as a 2nd year player that was a 4-year college player? Sure, I can go with that. But the idea that he's a rookie is stupid.

    But whatever. I'll give you some young players of similar playing experience and age as Lin.

    Jeff Teague(23): 13.6/2.6/5.3/1.6
    Darren Collison(23): 13.2/2.8/5.1/1.1
    Raymond Felton(22): 14.0/3.4/7.0/1.5

    Mind you, these are just some random mediocre PG that I came up with in the NBA, and looked up their stats. Not much different from Lin. You know what makes CP3, DWill, and ever other star PG great? They improve their game each and every year. A lot of talented players come into the NBA every year. Most of them don't develop beyond rotation players. Only a select few raise their game enough to become stars. Lin needs to show that improvement if he wants to be compared to the top players.
     
  19. rockets2012

    rockets2012 Member

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    You are not serious when Dwill declined a lot in the past couple years, right?
     
  20. SuperStar

    SuperStar Member

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    o_O Didn't even realize he wasn't. Seems like he popped out of no where and started to put up impressive stats. Anyways I wonder how many pgs that were allow to start from say the time of Steve Nash, and all the way up to now have posted similar numbers? Just wondering if those numbers have any real meaning.
     

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