Meanwhile, 538 odds jumped up another five points overnight to 91.4%, guaranteeing this will be even more interesting tomorrow...
MC, I know you think Obama will win but I really thank you for admitting that. I going to rep you for the first time. lol.
I did not look at Walker polls real closely. If you look real hard at the polls you can see the percentage numbers in the sampling. They do not make them easy to find. Now I will admit if the Dems show up+7 % Obama will win in a landslide. I personally do not think the 2008 polls are what the pollsters should be looking for when they weight there polls. I believe the 2010 midterms are a closer to what we will see. I think there is enough Republican enthusiasm against Obama that they will turn out in droves. Combine that with some Democrat apathy and I say turnout is even at worst or +1 or 2% Republican at best. Even the Democrat oversampled polls show independents going for Romney.
odd final message from the O campaign: Obama Campaign to Supporters: Don’t Panic Over Early Exit Polls http://politicker.com/2012/11/obama-campaign-to-supporters-dont-panic-over-early-exit-polls/
On what???? I predicted the Republicans would win big in 2010 didn't I???? You are welcome to check. I guess I was wrong on Justice Roberts and his ability to interpret the Constitution. There wee no polls on how the SCOTUS would rule as far as actually polling the judges. In 2008 I only came to this site for the GARM. I made no election predictions in this part of the forums. If I did, I would have been realistic and predicted an Obama win even though I wouldn't have been happy about it. It's not really too hard. Look at the polls then look at the numbers behind the polls. They all showed Obama winning now matter how you sliced in 2008. This year it is clearly different.
In yet another parallel to Election Day 2004... Sen. John Kerry looks to make a victory of the electoral college, according to all sets of exit polls conducted by a consortium of six media organizations http://www.rawstory.com/exclusives/byrne/early_exit_polls_kerry_win_1102.htm Leaking "exit polls" is the act of a desperate campaign seeking to change the media narrative.
if you're not sure of your polling place then look no further: http://your****ingpollingplace.com/ and that's the F word.
Couldn't even fill it up with Jay-Z and Springsteen OBAMA ENDS CAMPAIGN IN HALF-EMPTY ARENA http://www.breitbart.com/Big-Government/2012/11/05/Obama-closes-to-half-empty-stadium-in-Ohio
You mean this rally? http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/05/1156435/-President-Obama-s-final-campaign-rally-in-Columbus-Ohio What a pissing contest this election has turned out to be...get's worse every cycle.