My sources indicate Rasmussen begins its usual walkback of its numbers AGAIN in lame attempt to regain cred and maintain push/narrative role... DEVELOPING.... PS. I may adopt Harden. DEVELOPING...
Sportsbooks and InTrade - but getting money into the accounts from a US account can be tricky at times. At Sportsbook.ag, the current odds are: 2.4:1 Romney wins the Presidency 1.8:1 Romney wins NH 2.1:1 Romney wins IA 2.4:1 Romney wins Ohio 3:1 Romney wins WI 4:1 Romney wins PA, NV 6.5:1 Romney wins MI Essentially even odds for VA, CO 1.7:1 Obama wins FL 3.75:1: Obama wins NC
Pretty cool visual link of the potential outcomes: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/11/02/us/politics/paths-to-the-white-house.html
With odds like that it might be fun to make that Florida bet. I wouldn't have believed it was a good bet for Obama to win it, but Romney looks desperate running those Obama/Chavez ads there. What the heck is that? If Romney's that desperate it might be because he's afraid he's going to lose the state.
Romney may win. I'll just become jaded and become a discouraged voter over the next 20 or so years. And I have said this before, but I'll stop posting altogether if Romney wins.
Some of these conservative politicians are getting ridiculous with the neanderthal comments regarding issues that affect women more than men (rape, abortion, etc.). My ode to them: Women in binders, women sidewinders, Women with unequal pay, women get no say Women as madonnas or whores, women you just ignore Women in the kitchen, women you diss again and again Women on birth control, women without no soul, Women complain all the time, women who only whine Women as feminazis, women's lib as a social disease Women who ain't ladylike, those women we label dykes But women in the nation, over half the population- (so be warned, ex. conservs). (with acknowledgement and apologies to Foreigner's "Women")
Yeah - I'm starting to believe Obama has a good chance to win FL. I think it may be more likely than CO or VA. Not sure why I feel that way,though.
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p>FLORIDA: Dems won early vote in 2008 by 8%. Today, they lead by 2%. That 6% gain represents 270k votes in a state Obama won by 236k.</p>— Adrian Gray (@adrian_gray) <a href="https://twitter.com/adrian_gray/status/264697373584945152" data-datetime="2012-11-03T11:55:46+00:00">November 3, 2012</a></blockquote> <script src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
As I said before, the good people of FL use FEMA a LOT! They see how BO handled Sandy. I think that might just push him over the top.
Hurricane Sandy could cost Obama 300,000 votes By NBC's Domenico Montanaro Follow @DomenicoNBC President Obama stands to lose as many as 340,000 votes as a result of Hurricane Sandy, not enough to affect the outcome in heavily Democratic Northeastern states, but something that could make a difference in the popular vote if the results of Tuesday’s presidential race are as close as polls indicate, a First Read analysis finds. “Sandy has the potential to reduce Obama's national popular vote share by depressing turnout in highly Democratic areas along the Eastern Seaboard,” Dr. Michael McDonald of George Mason University, who studies turnout, told First Read. “The storm is unlikely to change the Electoral College outcome, as Obama is heavily favored to win the affected states. A turnout drop could be the difference in a close national election, and thus could shape the political discourse over important policy issues in a possible Obama second term.” For example, assuming 2008 vote totals and a 15 percent reduction in turnout in the coastal counties most affected by Hurricane Sandy in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, and Rhode Island, Obama would lose a net of 340,000 votes, including 247,000 out of New York, 60,000 from New Jersey, 29,000 from Connecticut, and 3,600 from Rhode Island. Officially, four times in American history has a candidate become president while losing the popular vote -- John Quincy Adams in 1824, Rutherford B. Hayes in 1876, Benjamin Harrison in 1888, and George W. Bush in 2000. (Some political scientists believe it’s actually five, and that John F. Kennedy lost the popular vote in 1960.) Most recently, the country was divided in 2000 when Al Gore won the popular vote by 540,000, but lost the Electoral College narrowly because of 537 votes in Florida. It would be even more accurate to dive into individual precincts, but here’s a rough a county-by-county breakdown: New York: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -247,000 New York – Obama -86,000, Romney -14,000, Net: Obama -72,000 Queens – Obama -72,000, Romney -23,000, Net: Obama -49,000 Kings – Obama -91,000, Romney -23,000, Net: Obama -68,000 Bronx – Obama -51,000, Romney -6,000, Net: Obama -45,000 Richmond – Obama -12,000, Romney -13,000, Net: Romney -1,000 Nassau – Obama -51,000, Romney -43,000, Net: Obama -8,000 Suffolk – Obama -52,000, Romney -46,000, Net: Obama -6,000 New Jersey: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -60,000 Bergen – Obama -34,000, Romney -28,000, Net: Obama -6,000 Hudson – Obama -23,000, Romney -8,000, Net: Obama -15,000 Union – Obama -21,000, Romney -12,000, Net: Obama -9,000 Essex – Obama -36,000, Romney -11,000, Net: Obama -25,000 Middlesex – Obama -29,000, Romney -19,000, Net: Obama -10,000 Monmouth –Obama -22,000, Romney -24,000, Net: Romney -2,000 Ocean – Obama -16,500, Romney, -24,000, Net: Romney -7,500 Atlantic – Obama -10,200, Romney -7,500, Net: Obama -2,700 Cape May – Obama -3,500, Romney -4,000, Net: Romney -500 Connecticut: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -29,000 Fairfield – Obama -36,000, Romney -25,000, Net: Obama -9,000 New Haven – Obama -35,000, Romney -22,000, Net: Obama -13,000 Middlesex – Obama -8,000, Romney -5,000, Net: Obama -3,000 New London – Obama -11,000, Romney -7,000, Net: Obama -4,000 Rhode Island: GRAND TOTAL: Obama -3,600 Washington – Obama -6,000, Romney -4,000, Net: Obama -2,000 Newport – Obama -4,000, Romney -2,400, Net: Obama -1,600 http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/11/02/14881936-hurricane-sandy-could-cost-obama-300000-votes
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p>Obama has 4,000 people in Cleveland area this morning. His last event in Cleveland before '08 election had 80,000 people.</p>— Joe Pounder (@PounderFile) <a href="https://twitter.com/PounderFile/status/264754512823197697" data-datetime="2012-11-03T15:42:49+00:00">November 3, 2012</a></blockquote> <script src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
sup. Spoiler Spoiler <iframe width="640" height="360" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/ShdiYQ1EHvA" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
