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NYT Nate Silver Doubles Down: 75% Chance Obama Wins

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by MojoMan, Oct 30, 2012.

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  1. BigBenito

    BigBenito Member

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    Sure it was.
     
    #141 BigBenito, Nov 1, 2012
  2. SamCassell

    SamCassell Member

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    Karl Rove is to unbiased election predictions what jopatmc is to Dwight Howard predictions? Or Rove is to unbiased election predictions what jopatmc is to accuracy?
     
    #142 SamCassell, Nov 1, 2012
  3. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

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    What you typed^

    Tl;Dr version V

    <iframe width="420" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/0edCAOkdXgU" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
     
    #143 SamFisher, Nov 1, 2012
  4. mc mark

    mc mark Member

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    Good Morning Rocket fans!

    It's a great day in America! We are open for business!
     
    #144 mc mark, Nov 1, 2012
  5. MoonDogg

    MoonDogg Member

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    [​IMG]
     
    #145 MoonDogg, Nov 1, 2012
  6. esteban

    esteban Member

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    #146 esteban, Nov 1, 2012
    1 person likes this.
  7. RocketMan Tex

    RocketMan Tex Member

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    Will you be moving to France after President Obama gets re-elected? :grin:
     
    #147 RocketMan Tex, Nov 1, 2012
  8. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    As the pollsters get more desperate, Silver's predictor model keeps sending out stronger false positives for Obama. It is basically turning into a counter indicator at this point.
     
    #148 jopatmc, Nov 1, 2012
  9. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    This land is sliding
    This land is sliding
    From Nevada to Pennsylvania
    From North Wisconsin to the gulf stream waters
    This land is sliding for Mitt Romney.
     
    #149 jopatmc, Nov 1, 2012
  10. basso

    basso Member
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    Nate in 2009:

    In almost every competitive general election, the party that loses the contest has also lost independent voters. This is because most people (although less so in gubernatorial elections) vote strictly along party lines: the Democrat might be all but guaranteed 80 to 90 percent of the Democratic vote, and the Republican 80 to 90 percent of the Republican vote. Except in certain regions of the country where one or another party encompasses a particularly wide range of ideologies (such as NY-23′s Republicans or vestigial “Solid South” Democrats), it’s independents who swing the vote, since they represent the overwhelming majority of the votes which are up-for-grabs. This must necessarily be the case.​


    Here are some totally irrelevant recent polling numbers:

    Romney lead among independents in NPR national poll: 51-39
    Romney lead among independents in CBS/New York Times national poll: 51-39
    Romney lead among independents in Pew national poll: 48-40
    Romney lead among independents in Fox News national poll: 46-39

    http://www.nationalreview.com/campa...declared-losing-candidates-lose-independents#
     
    #150 basso, Nov 1, 2012
  11. Mr. Clutch

    Mr. Clutch Member

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    Yawn.

    Wake me up when he triples down.
     
    #151 Mr. Clutch, Nov 1, 2012
  12. mc mark

    mc mark Member

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    Who are you trying to convince? Us or yourself?
     
    #152 mc mark, Nov 1, 2012
  13. Baba Booey

    Baba Booey Member

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    It sounds like he's projecting...
     
    #153 Baba Booey, Nov 1, 2012
  14. Anticope

    Anticope Member

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    Please inform us what these pollsters getting "desperate" have to gain by indicating that Obama is winning in the polls and then being completely wrong when Romney runs away with the election in a landslide like you claim?
     
    #154 Anticope, Nov 1, 2012
  15. Dave_78

    Dave_78 Member

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    This is so sad. I can't wait to hear the excuses come Tuesday night.
     
    #155 Dave_78, Nov 1, 2012
  16. GladiatoRowdy

    GladiatoRowdy Member

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    They are just setting things up for louder and less coherent cries of "Voter fraudz" after the election.
     
    #156 GladiatoRowdy, Nov 1, 2012
  17. peleincubus

    peleincubus Member

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    actually there is approximately 46 million black male felons that are being let out of prison tuesday morning to vote for obama. and will then be shipped right back to jail to finish the appropriate sentence given to them.
     
    #157 peleincubus, Nov 1, 2012
  18. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    Neither.
     
    #158 jopatmc, Nov 1, 2012
  19. mc mark

    mc mark Member

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    So you're just trolling.

    got it
     
    #159 mc mark, Nov 1, 2012
  20. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    Trolling for alligator gars. Keep snagging 'em too.
     
    #160 jopatmc, Nov 1, 2012
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