Sweet, an incumbent polling 45% a week before the election. Obama gave up on North Carolina already -- you're a little behind here.
Good grief, you don't even know how the voting process works? Unreal. Solid Obama voter right here, folks.
Ouch! That's gotta hurt. Auto Companies To Romney: Stop Lying About Us Please “Jeep assembly lines will remain in operation in the United States and will constitute the backbone of the brand,” Marchionne said. “It is inaccurate to suggest anything different.” Chrysler Group Chief Executive Sergio Marchionne
http://bbs.clutchfans.net/showpost.php?p=7274370&postcount=2911 It is inaccurate to suggest anything different
Susan Eisenhower endorses Obama. A Republican President's granddaughter voices her opinion. http://www.patheos.com/blogs/slackt...n-eisenhower-endorses-president-barack-obama/
“No amount of campaign politics at its cynical worst will diminish our record of creating jobs in the U.S. and repatriating profits back to this country.” GM spokesman Greg Martin
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p>COLORADO: Early vote stands at 39%R, 36%D with about 20k vote lead for GOP. Dems led 2008 by 2% or 31k in 2008, GOP led by 16k in 2004. **</p>— Adrian Gray (@adrian_gray) <a href="https://twitter.com/adrian_gray/status/263118321497542656" data-datetime="2012-10-30T03:21:11+00:00">October 30, 2012</a></blockquote> <script src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
That's basically what you'd expect, I think. Obama won Colorado by 9% last time so if it's somewhere near a tossup this year, you'd expect something less. If you have a 5% swing towards the GOP all around, Obama would still win, but that makes all sorts of assumptions that early voting is the same as 2008, party ID is an accurate gauge of actual votes, etc. Last time, it looks like lots of Republicans voted for Obama, but I imagine that's not as likely this time, so the shift could be more significant. Obama has 9% to play with, but this looks like a true election day tossup state.
I'll see your republican source and raise you a democratic source: http://www.barackobama.com/news/entr...early-momentum Welcome to the last week of the race. We are in the close contest we’ve prepared carefully for over the past two years. It’s been a remarkably consistent, close, and competitive race, and when we look at the hard numbers that are already coming in President Obama is winning and has the momentum. Early voting is giving us a solid lead in the battleground states that will decide this election. Two polls in the last two days have us up in Virginia. Three more in Ohio, New Hampshire, and Florida show movement in our direction. And in states like Iowa and Nevada, we’re racking up early vote margins so large that, if it continues at this rate, Mitt Romney will have to beat us by a 20 percent margin on Election Day to win. Romney, on the other hand, is not where he wanted to be eight days out: down everywhere he needs to be up. As a result, he’s stooping to desperate attacks, bluffing about momentum he doesn’t have, and releasing one of the most misleading, hypocritical, and indefensible ads we’ve ever seen in a presidential race. Pollsters talk a lot about likely voters. We pay much more attention to actual voters—and the early vote numbers prove our grassroots ground game is outmatching Romney in every way. Overall, we’re leading early vote in the battleground states, and we’re not taking a single one for granted. Here’s a sample of what we’re seeing in the key states: In Ohio, the latest public poll shows us holding steady with a four-point lead, which reflects the strong support for the President we’re seeing in early voting—despite Romney’s last-minute efforts to mislead Ohioans. Voters from precincts the President won in 2008 have cast 53 percent of the ballots, while just 47 percent come from GOP precincts. That difference is 80 percent higher than it was at this time four years ago. You can tell a lot about how uneasy Romney’s campaign feels about where he stands in Ohio by his latest move: Romney personally approved an ad running in Toledo that everyone in America knows is flat-out false and reeks of desperation. It incorrectly claims that Chrysler is moving its Jeep production to China—a claim Chrysler itself debunked. In the first two days of Florida’s in-person early voting, Democrats have completely erased the Republican advantage in absentee ballots, and now lead Republicans in votes with 1.9 million cast. In 2008, it took Democrats six days to erase the Republican’s historical vote-by-mail advantage; in 2012, according to the AP, it’s taken 48 hours. In Nevada, Democrats lead Republicans by 10 points in ballots cast so far. In Iowa, Democrats lead Republicans on every metric and with every group—ballots requested, ballots cast, in-person, mail, midterm voters and non-midterm voters. In North Carolina, turnout is up 22 percent over 2008 levels, including among young voters and African Americans. Democrats lead Republicans by 270,000 ballots cast. The Romney campaign, of course, wants you to think they’re expanding the map. They’re not—and we’re calling their bluff. This is one of the oldest tricks in the book. In 2000, George W. Bush bluffed at the end that he was going to make a play for California, and Dick Cheney did the same in Hawaii in 2004. Now Romney is pretending he’s got a shot in states like Pennsylvania and Minnesota. Who knows which out-of-play state he’ll suggest he’s contesting next? The Romney campaign believes the electorate still looks like it did in 2004. It doesn’t. American voters are more diverse than ever. More Latinos will vote this year than ever before—both in raw numbers and as a percentage of the electorate in battleground states—and the President will win the most Latino votes of any presidential candidate ever. Women continue to make up more than half of the electorate, and we’re leading among women by double digits nationally and in every battleground state, and for good reason. In eight days, we’ll know all the numbers. But what we’re seeing so far is a clear lead and strong momentum for President Obama.
and by 2020 Georgia could be blue. White voter registration in Ga. dips below 60 percent For the first time, white voters in Georgia will make up less than 60 percent of all “active” registered voters in the state, according to statistics just released by Secretary of State Brian Kemp. White voter registration, which stood at 63 percent in 2008, has dropped to 59 percent of the 5.3 million signed up to cast ballots in this year’s presidential contest. African-American registration stands at 30 percent, just as it did in 2008. The difference comes from the growing pool of voters who decline to identify themselves by race, or describe themselves as something other than white, black, Asian-Pacific, Hispanic-Latino, or Native American. That group grew from 3.6 percent in 2008 to 8 percent today. The decline of the white vote in Georgia has been slow but steady. In January 2001, whites made up 72 percent of registered voters; in January 2007, they were 67 percent. Blacks in 2001 made up 26 percent of the electorate, and 27 percent in 2007. more http://blogs.ajc.com/political-insid...ow-60-percent/
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p>Check out that Michigan trend line <a href="http://t.co/JvmGKUNA" title="http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/mi-president-12">polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/mi-pr…</a> via @<a href="https://twitter.com/zekejmiller">zekejmiller</a> <a href="http://t.co/I4SEIMpL" title="http://twitter.com/BuzzFeedBen/status/263482786323775488/photo/1">twitter.com/BuzzFeedBen/st…</a></p>— Ben Smith (@BuzzFeedBen) <a href="https://twitter.com/BuzzFeedBen/status/263482786323775488" data-datetime="2012-10-31T03:29:26+00:00">October 31, 2012</a></blockquote> <script src="//platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/XIsEXWpv7MM" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe> Haha, I bet Fox News wasn't expecting this kind of response from Gov. Christie.
