281 Obama/Biden 257 Romney/Ryan http://www.realclearpolitics.com/ep...ctions_electoral_college_map_no_toss_ups.html
Speaking of OH Obama has a massive 54 to 41 lead over Romney among those who said they have already voted.
Republicans and Indys are known to vote on Election Day. The early voting push by Obama is a ploy to create positive spin off of an incomplete number that is dominanted by early Demo voters.
via TPM -- The Romney camp is trying to pull a classic confidence move to convince gullible reporters that their campaign is on the move and they’re confident of victory – despite the fact that the evidence suggests the race has stabilized or is even, ever so slightly, trending back to President Obama. Romney Says He’s Winning — It’s a Bluff In recent days, the vibe emanating from Mitt Romney’s campaign has grown downright giddy. Despite a lack of any evident positive momentum over the last week — indeed, in the face of a slight decline from its post-Denver high — the Romney camp is suddenly bursting with talk that it will not only win but win handily. (“We’re going to win,” said one of the former Massachusetts governor’s closest advisers. “Seriously, 305 electoral votes.”) This is a bluff. Romney is carefully attempting to project an atmosphere of momentum, in the hopes of winning positive media coverage and, thus, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy.
From the article referring to Ohio. It will all come down to turnout. The only real advantage so far has been the jump after the first debate. It has been slower after that. Romney has done his job showing he can lead ALL of America while Obama panders his base. Romney's base is already strong and now Romney has set his eyes on the middle and independent voters.
Rob Schneider refuses to support Obama again. Nail in coffin? <iframe width="560" height="315" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Qpue0AAPAtY" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
You should post the whole quote Obama’s lead is narrow — narrow enough that the polling might well be wrong and Romney could win. But he is leading, his lead is not declining, and the widespread perception that Romney is pulling ahead is Romney’s campaign suckering the press corps with a confidence game.
At this point I am saying that Obama's odds of winning are 55% to 45% Romney. I doubt yesterday's debate changes much in the polls and its a matter of who has the better ground game.
