predict the Electoral College contest

The electoral college is bull****.

 

This is much more plausible.

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=tlv

I agree.

 

@Comomdore

So Obama loses every single battleground state and even loses some states that he's probably going to win?

LOL.

 

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=tlE

I know it's conservative but I think Obama is in a bit of trouble.

 

you showed him yours after all. let's see who's map is bigger and bolder.

 

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=tmc

I've got Obama losing Ohio, Virginia, Nevada, and North Carolina but holding on in Florida and Colorado. I've given Romney Wisconsin, but I'm not convinced that's actually going to happen. I don't think he'll win Michigan.

Still just spitballing at this point.

 

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=tmm

 

Obama's more likely to win Virginia or Nevada than Florida or Colorado according to the last month's polling.

 

Here's a map that gives Romney an unlikely win in these swing states where Obama is leading:

Ohio
Wisconsin
New Hampshire

A huge state where they're veritably tied:

Florida

A state where Romney leads but Obama is very competitive:

North Carolina

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=tmc

That's a loooot of things going right for Romney to still lose by four electoral votes.

Obama - 271
Romney - 267

That's not my prediction though; just a demonstration of how difficult it is to see a path to 270 for Romney.

I have Obama at +/- 300 electoral votes, as does Nate Silver.

 

That link doesn't point to my map, but I explained it to you anyway. I don't know why I don't know how to work the site.

 

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=tmA

There is still a lot of time that could go good or bad for both sides.

Fuel prices are going to hurt obama if they don't come back down.

 

So you agree he will probably lose every battleground state?

 

You have taken leave of your senses. And that's putting it politely.

thanks for the laugh on a Friday morning! :grin:

 

Here's Nate Silver's map, which is as educated a prediction as there is out there:

 

But I'll play.

Using 2008 as a model, I'll even give Romney FL, NC & WI (all states Obama won), Obama still wins 305 to 233.

 

I switched a number of states over to Romney, and Obama still wins.

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=tnR

Romney has really screwed himself in Ohio and Michigan. Those could have helped him, but his whole auto stimulus bailout editorial and stance, has screwed him over there.

 

May I please have some of what you are smoking? Gotta be some strong stuff!! :grin:

 

What the hell does that mean?