It is because they can always leave, they will have gotten theirs. Besides, they figure they have the military.
Take a deep breath. This sounds like the overconfident summer of 2008 all over again. Obama is just too weak of a candidate to win 55% of the pop vote even if Romney doesn't find his footing. I guarantee you sometime before November, Romney will get within 2-3% (and may even pull ahead). The final vote will be fairly close. I don't think Romney will win unless something unexpected happens that damages Obama. Other than that, the real question marks are how wide the electoral victory will be and how the Romney/Ryan ticket affects competitive congressional races. I'll give myself one escape hatch: If Romney's handlers never screw their heads on straight AND Paul Ryan turns out to be a disaster, it might be a blowout. Even then it's doubtful.
I think the economy is in much better shape than people realize and will be on the upswing during Q3. All the elements are in place for a solid period of growth. Exports not withstanding but the U.S. economy can easily withstand a drop in exports at this point and with Europe unstable money will flow into the u.s. keeping interest rates down. The unemployment rate increased but the percentage of people employed also increased - and has quite substantially over the spring/summer. This suggests that people are returning to the workforce and that is what is driving unemployment up a bit. Job creation has been slow but it has been steady. bit by bit the job increases are fueling increases in consumer spending which is a big part of the economy. Businesses have been able to absorb that without hiring but have been increasing the number of hours of people to meet growing consumption. It appears that now more and more businesses are feeling the need to hire. It's taken a while but I think we are past the trough and we will now begin to see growth accelerate. Combine this with the fact that you have the Republican ticket running on the most radical ticket since Goldwater, the colossal miscue of putting Ryan on the ticket which freaks out women, seniors, and young people, not to mention disenfranchises minorities even more - and you are going to get an onslaught. I am not sure even the voter ID laws will be enough if they don't get repealed. People don't like their candidates going overboard on the attacks. What Romney said today will not go over well with moderates - it comes across as too unpresidential. The Romney tax issue, his personality, his fakeness, his rich background....its too much. My prediction stands - Obama will win this election with 55% of the vote and an electoral landslide. It's over barring some really crazy development.
What do you mean by this statement? Employment-Population Ratio was 60.6 in Jan 2009, currently at 58.4 and hasn't climbed over 58.7 since it fell to that mark in September of 2009.
Oh we're going to turn out. Don't you worry your pointy little head. – A new study shows that the Obama campaign is far more engaged on social media than Romney, posting “nearly four times as much content as the Romney campaign and was active on nearly twice as many platforms”:
D'oh-bama! -- Former Obama campaign co-chair to stump for Romney (CNN) - A former four-term Democratic congressman from Alabama and one time strong supporter of President Barack Obama will campaign for Mitt Romney Wednesday. A Romney campaign aide confirms to CNN that Artur Davis will stump for the presumptive Republican presidential nominee in the battleground state of Virginia. Davis, who is black, may be best known for seconding Obama's nomination at the Democratic National Convention in 2008, when he served as an Obama campaign co-chairman. Davis said he had hoped Obama's presidency would make a huge dent in race relations, as well as move the Democratic Party further to the center. In 2010, Davis made an unsuccessful bid for governor of Alabama. In May he announced he was switching to the GOP, leaving the door open to a future political bid as a Republican. Davis said in June that he thinks his one time political party was becoming more unwelcoming towards Southern conservative Democrats. "I think the Obama administration has candidly gone too far to the left. You can raise all kinds of questions on whether that's good politics or not," Davis said on CNN's "The Situation Room with Wolf Blitzer." "Obviously the election will determine that." The Romney campaign says Davis will team up with Virginia GOP Victory Chairman Pete Snyder and a local business owner at an event in Arlington. Buzz Feed was first to report on the Davis appearance at the Romney campaign event.
By choosing Ryan as VP Romney may have fired up the wingnut base, but he just scared away independents who tend to lean moderate. Game changer.
Today's Purple Strategies poll has Romney ahead in the key swing states of Ohio-Florida-Virginia. It's early, but thus far, the Ryan pick has been a stroke of genius.
You are absolutely right! Now instead of talking jobs and the economy, we're talking about the Ryan/Romney budget and killing Medicare (and Romney's tax returns). Let's see how long that little bump in the polls last.
As I have stated, I believe that the enthusiasm gap favoring the Republicans, Voter ID, and the Bradley Effect will be worth a solid 3 points for Romney on election day. In other words, if the polls show Romney within 2 points of Obama, then I think Romney wins. Obviously the polls today show pretty much a dead heat, with the more recent polls showing Romney ahead. If that's the case in November, you are looking at a decisive Romney victory, which is a huge victory for Americans who desire a better economic future.
So you are counting on vote suppression, and voters lying about their votes in your assumption of victory. Good Luck with that
You know, if you trust the polls listed by TJ above, then as far as VP selection bounces go, this one is fairly small.
You're darn right I want to suppress the vote -- I don't want a single ineligible voter to be able to vote. If you are dead, not a citizen, or have already voted once, then you can not vote. I don't know how you can disagree with that, quite honestly. Again, if you are against safeguarding the voting process by using Voter ID, then either: 1) You plan to cheat 2) You think your constituents are so dumb (or don't care enough) that they can't produce ID. Two unsavory options.
