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Megatron vs AJ80 vs Larry

Discussion in 'Houston Texans' started by Air Langhi, Jul 15, 2012.

  1. Air Langhi

    Air Langhi Contributing Member

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    I am just copying and pasting this from another forum but the OP did a real good job of putting the numbers together.

    http://www.footballsfuture.com/phpBB2/viewtopic.php?t=494334


    Larry Fitzgerald
    405 Receptions (668 Targets), 5,776 Yards (14.3 Y/R), 48 TDs, 255 First Downs (63%), 14 Drops
    1,781 Yards after Catch (4.4 Y/R), 42 Broken Tackles, 2 Fumbles, 71 Catches 20+ Yards, 14 Catches 40+ Yards
    60.6% Catch Rate, 3.3% Drop Rate, 24.5% Target Rate, 10.4% Broken Tackle Rate, 8.6 Y/T, .072 TDs/T
    70 Games (100%), 4,400 Snaps (98%), 2,728 Routes Ran (2.1 Y/RR, 6.7 RR/R), 11 Penalties, 4x Pro Bowl, 3x All-Pro

    Playoffs: 6 Games
    42 Receptions (56 Targets), 705 Yards, 9 TDs, 1 Drop, 75% Catch Rate, 2.3% Drop Rate
    Per Game Average: 7 Receptions (9.3 Targets), 118 Yards, 1.5 TDs, .2 Drops

    Stat Averages:
    Per Season: 93 Receptions (153 Targets), 1,320 Yards, 11 TDs, 58 First Downs, 3 Drops
    Per Game: 5.8 Receptions (9.5 Targets), 83 Yards, .69 TDs, 3.6 First Downs, .2 Drops

    Deep Ball:
    44 Receptions (117 Targets), 1,293 Yards (34.0 Y/R), 13 TDs, 2 Drops
    37.6% Catch Rate, 4.3% Drop Rate, 17.5% of All Targets

    Big Play Ability:
    20+ Yard Catches: 17.5% of Catches, 10.6% of Targets, 2.6% of Routes Ran
    40+ Yard Catches: 3.5% of Catches, 2.1% of Targets, .5% of Routes Ran
    Deep Ball Catches: 10.9% of Catches, 22.4% of Yards, 37.6% of Deep Targets, 1.6% of Routes Ran, 27.1% of TDs
    Average of Top 10 Longs: 63 Yards, Average of All Longs: 31 Yards, 37.2% of All Yards on Longs (2153)

    Red Zone: 53 Receptions, 342 Yards (6.5 Y/R), 32 TDs, 40 First Downs

    Slot:
    83 Receptions (135 Targets), 1,286 Yards (15.5 Y/R), 7 TDs, 4 Drops
    601 Snaps (14%), 61% Catch Rate, 4.6% Drop Rate

    By Down:
    3rd: 66 Receptions, 960 Yards (14.5 Y/R), 4 TDs
    4th: 8 Receptions, 116 Yards (14.5 Y/R), 1 TD

    Stats vs. Top 10 Corners: 36 Catches (66 Targets), 502 Yards (13.9 Y/R), 4 TDs, 54.5% CR

    Best 8 Performances: 73 Receptions, 1,248 Yards, 13 TDs

    QBs When Targeting Him:
    5,776 Yards, 60.6% Completions (405-668), 48 TDs, 26 INTs, 96.4 QB Rating

    QB Stats of QBs When Not Targeting Him:
    11,523 Yards, 60.1% Completions (1065-1747), 56 TDs, 48 INTs, 79.6 QB Rating



    Andre Johnson
    348 Receptions (518 Targets), 5,053 Yards (14.5 Y/R), 28 TDs, 230 First Downs (66%), 31 Drops
    1,558 Yards after Catch (4.5 Y/R), 18 Broken Tackles, 3 Fumbles, 70 Catches 20+ Yards, 21 Catches 40+ Yards
    67.2% Catch Rate, 8.2% Drop Rate, 27% Target Rate, 5.2% Broken Tackle Rate, 9.8 Y/T, .054 TDs/T
    54 Games (82%), 3,311 Snaps (91%), 1,923 Routes Ran (2.6 Y/RR, 5.5 RR/R), 5 Penalties, 3x Pro Bowl, 2x All-Pro

    Playoffs: 2 Games
    13 Receptions (24 Targets), 201 Yards, 1 TD, 1 Drop, 54% Catch Rate, 7.1% Drop Rate
    Per Game Average: 7 Receptions (12 Targets), 101 Yards, .5 TDs, .5 Drops

    Stat Averages:
    Per Season: 103 Receptions (153 Targets), 1,497 Yards, 8 TDs, 68 First Downs, 9 Drops
    Per Game: 6.4 Receptions (9.6 Targets), 94 Yards, .52 TDs, 4.3 First Downs, .6 Drops

    Deep Ball:
    36 Receptions (86 Targets), 1,392 Yards (38.7 Y/R), 9 TDs, 7 Drops
    41.2% Catch Rate, 16.3% Drop Rate, 16.6% of All Targets

    Big Play Ability:
    20+ Yard Catches: 20% of Catches, 13.5% of Targets, 3.6% of Routes Ran
    40+ Yard Catches: 6% of Catches, 4.1% of Targets, 1.1% of Routes Ran
    Deep Ball Catches: 10.3% of Catches, 27.5% of Yards, 1.9% of Routes Ran, 32.1% of TDs
    Average of Top 10 Longs: 60 Yards, Average of All Longs: 33 Yards, 35.1% of All Yards on Longs (1774)

    Red Zone: 44 Receptions, 378 Yards (8.6 Y/R), 19 TDs, 29 First Downs

    Slot:
    64 Receptions (95 Targets), 596 Yards (9.3 Y/R), 3 TDs, 5 Drops
    404 Snaps (12%), 67% Catch Rate, 7.2% Drop Rate

    By Down:
    3rd: 60 Receptions, 828 Yards (13.8 Y/R), 5 TDs
    4th: 9 Receptions, 131 Yards (14.6 Y/R), 2 TDs

    Stats vs. Top 10 Corners: 23 Catches (47 Targets), 378 Yards (16.4 Y/R), 1 TD, 49% CR

    Best 8 Performances: 83 Receptions, 1,333 Yards, 12 TDs

    QBs When Targeting Him:
    5,053 Yards, 67.2% Completions (348-518), 28 TDs, 26 INTs, 95.8 QB Rating

    QB Stats of QBs When Not Targeting Him:
    9,490 Yards, 64.2% Completions (852-1327), 51 TDs, 28 INTs, 89.4 QB Rating



    Calvin Johnson
    330 Receptions (576 Targets), 5,327 Yards (16.1 Y/R), 47 TDs, 232 First Downs (70%), 31 Drops
    1,802 Yards after Catch (5.5 Y/R), 47 Broken Tackles, 8 Fumbles, 84 Catches 20+ Yards, 24 Catches 40+ Yards
    57.3% Catch Rate, 8.6% Drop Rate, 23.7% Target Rate, 14.2% Broken Tackle Rate, 9.2 Y/T, .082 TDs/T
    62 Games (95%), 3,921 Snaps (93%), 2,430 Routes Ran (2.2 Y/RR, 7.4 RR/R), 10 Penalties, 2x Pro Bowl, 2x All-Pro

    Playoffs: 1 Game
    12 Receptions (15 Targets), 211 Yards, 2 TDs, 0 Drops, 80% Catch Rate, 0% Drop Rate

    Stat Averages:
    Per Season: 85 Receptions (150 Targets), 1,375 Yards, 12 TDs, 60 First Downs, 8 Drops
    Per Game: 5.3 Receptions (9.3 Targets), 86 Yards, .76 TDs, 3.7 First Downs, .5 Drops

    Deep Ball:
    47 Receptions (152 Targets), 1,791 Yards (38.1 Y/R), 20 TDs, 8 Drops
    30.1% Catch Rate, 14.5% Drop Rate, 26.4% of All Targets

    Big Play Ability:
    20+ Yard Catches: 25.5% of Catches, 14.6% of Targets, 3.5% of Routes Ran
    40+ Yard Catches: 7.2% of Catches, 4.1% of Targets, 1.0% of Routes Ran
    Deep Ball Catches: 14.2% of Catches, 33.6% of Yards, 30.1% of Deep Targets, 1.9% of Routes Ran, 42.6% of TDs
    Average of Top 10 Longs: 68 Yards, Average of All Longs: 34 Yards, 39.5% of All Yards on Longs (2103)

    Red Zone: 34 Receptions, 325 Yards (9.6 Y/R), 27 TDs, 31 First Downs

    Slot:
    68 Receptions (114 Targets), 1,096 Yards (16.1 Y/R), 7 TDs, 5 Drops
    468 Snaps (12%), 60% Catch Rate, 4.6% Drop Rate

    By Down:
    3rd: 80 Receptions, 1,254 Yards (15.7 Y/C), 8 TDs
    4th: 11 Receptions, 125 Yards (11.4 Y/C), 5 TDs

    Stats vs. Top 10 Corners: 38 Catches (75 Targets), 504 Yards (13.3 Y/C), 5 TDs, 50.7% CR

    Best 8 Performances: 63 Receptions, 1,322 Yards, 14 TDs

    QBs When Targeting Him:
    5,327 Yards, 57.3% (330-576), 47 TDs, 30 INTs, 93.9 QB Rating

    QB Stats of QBs When Not Targeting Him:
    10,362 Yards, 59.5% (1046-1758), 56 TDs, 49 INTs, 75.2 QB Rating
     
  2. speedball

    speedball Member

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    ugh. somebody please put this in a spread sheet or something. i'm too lazy to scroll up and down...unless i'm checking out pics of chicks.;)
     
  3. Shroopy2

    Shroopy2 Member

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    lol click the link for better format.

    The key part:

    Larry Fitzgerald
    QBs When Targeting Him:
    5,776 Yards, 60.6% Completions (405-668), 48 TDs, 26 INTs, 96.4 QB Rating
    QB Stats of QBs When Not Targeting Him:
    11,523 Yards, 60.1% Completions (1065-1747), 56 TDs, 48 INTs, 79.6 QB Rating

    Andre Johnson
    QBs When Targeting Him:
    5,053 Yards, 67.2% Completions (348-518), 28 TDs, 26 INTs, 95.8 QB Rating
    QB Stats of QBs When Not Targeting Him:
    9,490 Yards, 64.2% Completions (852-1327), 51 TDs, 28 INTs, 89.4 QB Rating

    Calvin Johnson
    QBs When Targeting Him:
    5,327 Yards, 57.3% (330-576), 47 TDs, 30 INTs, 93.9 QB Rating
    QB Stats of QBs When Not Targeting Him:
    10,362 Yards, 59.5% (1046-1758), 56 TDs, 49 INTs, 75.2 QB Rating


    Supports the notion that Texans offensive scheme doesnt miss Andre "as much" as others when he's not involved, or when he's out.

    Andre gets more percentage of the yards than the others. 53% targeted yards, compared to 49% for Fitzgerald, 51% for C Johnson.

    Its still the one knock on Andre, that he doesnt pick up enough TD scores for a top flight receiver.
     
  4. King1

    King1 Member

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    AJ is a bad ass but he's not as good as Megatron. Even in his prime there isn't a gm in the league who would take AJ over Calvin Johnson
     
  5. kaleidosky

    kaleidosky Member

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    You could also say that it supports the notion that Andre opens up the field for other receivers much more than the others even when he's not targeted--and therefore makes it easier on the QB to perform well throwing to others

    If seems to talk about him being targeted vs. not...not him being "out". Unless I'm misinterpreting
     
  6. Ziggy

    Ziggy QUEEN ANON

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    I'm confident that that's strictly a system thing. Is he as good of a target as Megatron in the endzone? Nope. Would AJ have twice as many TD's as he does now if he played for the Patriots though? Wouldn't surprise me.
     
    1 person likes this.
  7. DonnyMost

    DonnyMost Member
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    Let's revisit the numbers when the Cardinals or Lions get a tightend or a runningback worth a s**t.
     
  8. cardpire

    cardpire Member

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    arian foster has only played 2 of andre's 9 years. and the lions do have a tight end worth a ****.
     
  9. ThaShark316_28

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    People LITERALLY get on CF to troll.

    Dre in his 100 rec. a season prime < Megatron?

    [​IMG]
     
  10. DonnyMost

    DonnyMost Member
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    The numbers posted are from 2008 and forward. (Or at least, appear to be)

    I'm willing to bet AJ was a larger part of the Texans offense before then.

    And then there's the whole question of are those numbers "not targeting AJ" including the times when he was missing from the field entirely because of injury.

    Either way, neither Arizona, nor Detroit, in that time frame have had much offense outside of their #1 WR. Not nearly as much as the Texans, at least.
     
  11. cardpire

    cardpire Member

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    are you trolling? what does 100 recs in a season mean?

    is wes welker better than calvin too?

    i love andre, but would also agree that most, if not all, GMs would take megatron over him if they were both in their prime. certainly not a trolling comment
     
    1 person likes this.
  12. cardpire

    cardpire Member

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    you're right about the time frame.

    i'm guessing the numbers are only from the games he played. (79 passing tds in 54 games).

    zona had warner throwing to boldin alongside fitz in that time frame. that's pretty stout.

    extending to prior that time frame for andre would paint a more accurate picture for sure though. his prior-to-schaub years were pretty similar surrounding cast to calvin's prior-to-2011 (stafford) year.
     
  13. DonnyMost

    DonnyMost Member
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    Yep. Take a look at the numbers from the time frame in question.

    2008

    Team Rushing
    Detroit - 30th
    Arizona - 32nd
    Houston - 13th

    Yards passing to TEs
    Detroit - 316
    Arizona - 181
    Houston - 939

    2009

    Team Rushing
    Detroit - 24th
    Arizona - 28th
    Houston - 30th

    Yards passing to TEs
    Detroit - 642
    Arizona - 207
    Houston - 839

    2010

    Team Rushing
    Detroit - 23rd
    Arizona - 32nd
    Houston - 7th

    Yards passing to TEs
    Detroit - 1100
    Arizona - 210
    Houston - 989

    2011

    Team
    Detroit - 29th
    Arizona - 24th
    Houston - 2nd

    Yards passing to TEs
    Detroit - 1124
    Arizona - 554
    Houston - 1030

    So yeah, out of a 4 year sample, Detroit and Arizona only have two years where they seem to have had any major weapons outside of their #1 WR. For Arizona, it was 2008-2009 with Boldin. For Detroit, it was 2010-2011 with Pettigrew. Meanwhile, during that entire 4 year span, with the exception of only 2009's rushing game, the Texans have had very capable running games and tight end play. This goes a long way towards explaining the lack of drop-off in QB play when AJ isn't being targeted, as opposed to Detroit and Arizona. That stat shouldn't be a knock on AJ, it should be a knock on the rest of Arizona and Detroit's supporting cast.
     
  14. moestavern19

    moestavern19 Member

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    Love that QB rating stat for all the posters here always trying to wave David Carr in everyone's face all the time. Or those who try to argue Fitzgerald has always had better QB play even though he's had to deal with the likes of McCowns, Leinarts, and now Kolbs/Skeltons.

    Andre Johnson is a beast of a receiver, but to say he is clearly the best receiver in football is not an informed opinion because Fitzgerald has always been a better red zone target, had the best stretch performance by a WR in NFL history when Arizona went on their Super Bowl run a couple years ago.

    As I stated in the other thread, Megatron is clearly the best in the league now followed by a pickem of Fitz/AJ.
     
  15. Pieman2005

    Pieman2005 Member

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    Have you seen Megatrons stats bro? :rolleyes:
    Not to mention he is a GIANT.
    I love Andre but Calvin is another monster.
     
  16. Hey Now!

    Hey Now! Member
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    It could be. Rod Smith, who played a similar role in Shanahan's system, only put up two double-digit TD seasons in that offense's prime. It's an offense built around running and it utilizes a TE more than a lot of offenses.

    But Andre has *never* had double-digit TDs in a season - not under Kubiak, not under Capers. Never. He was on pace in two injury-shortened seasons ('07 and '10) - but his total so massively trails Fitzgerald and (especially) Johnson's that it's hard to completely excuse him. Top-flight WRs score TDs. Moss had 9 double-digit TD seasons; Owens 8. Fitz 4; Megatron 3.

    AJ 0.
     
  17. Precision340

    Precision340 Member

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    maybe... but alls i know is that he had David freaking Carr as his QB for the early part of his career.. c'mon man, David Carr!!!! :eek:
     
  18. DonkeyMagic

    DonkeyMagic Member
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    He's also the 2nd wide receiver to lead the league in yardage back to back years. The other? Jerry rice. It's a shame he missed those 3 games in that 3rd year because he was on pace to do it 3 years in a row.

    It's a shame that he doesn't get the TD numbers but I still have a hard time believing it's because he's not good enough too.
     
  19. magnetik

    magnetik Member

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    I agree. if Dre had someone other than check down superstar carr throwing to him for most of his career.. we wouldn't be having this conversation.
     
  20. ThaShark316_28

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    In their primes,
    It's just opinion. Don't get too heated. That said, I'd take Dre in his prime over Megatron, and C. Johnson is top 5 fav. non-Texans right now.
     

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