1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

Royce White in serious play for the Rockets at 14 and 16

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Egghead, Jun 21, 2012.

  1. plutoblue11

    plutoblue11 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 13, 2006
    Messages:
    10,528
    Likes Received:
    1,011
    $2 is better than nothing. You broke even, instead of losing $2. ;)
     
  2. thetatomatis

    thetatomatis Member

    Joined:
    May 25, 2010
    Messages:
    5,699
    Likes Received:
    101
    Just admit it. We have nothing. Donatus is nothing more than the next Pete Chilcutt. Ok with probably better rebounding and defense. Actually I think thats pretty good. I like him now. Get him over here MOREY!
     
  3. Sooty

    Sooty Member

    Joined:
    Oct 23, 2007
    Messages:
    2,288
    Likes Received:
    2,269
    It really doesn't matter where DMo was drafted, jeez, the two years previous to his draft year, each time he was mocked in the top 3/top 5, until he withdrew.

    He fell down to 20, due to people saying he wasn't a hard worker, he lacked with rebounding and the like.... he obviously has worked tremendously on his rebounding over the past year and has developed his game more to fix those questions.

    I'm not saying he is going to be a superstar but he has POTENTIAL to be an allstar-type player... let's not sell ourselves short... "oh he was JUST drafted at pick 20, let's expect another david andersen... yadadada"
     
  4. plutoblue11

    plutoblue11 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 13, 2006
    Messages:
    10,528
    Likes Received:
    1,011
    I don't think he understood the context of it. I sort of called out a poster who said Corliss Willliamson's NBA career sucked. When in reality, he was solid and steady NBA talent for 12 years and most of those as regular contributor. Above all, he has been one of the more successful NBA picks at #13 over the last 25 years or so.

    There is alot of data out there that shows your chances of grabbing a quality player drops somewhat after the top 5 and significantly after the top 10.

    It's kind of unreasonable to expect a #13th pick or lower to become a future superstar or even an perennial NBA all-star.

    If some teams drafted more solid players, then they'd be in better position than they are.

    I haven't been too hard on Morey, because alot of his picks and trades at worst have been solid. I don't think poster realize how hard it is to pull a superstar without the right pieces (and a superstar's desire to play for a certain team) or wishing upon the stars that one of the rookies turn into an all-star or superstar.
     
  5. plutoblue11

    plutoblue11 Member

    Joined:
    Dec 13, 2006
    Messages:
    10,528
    Likes Received:
    1,011

    He still isn't a highly touted player or hyped up talent in the general sense. The only places I hear of talk about him are on here and sometimes in Euro league games. Most of all, I tried to emphasize the point in the sense, if Morris, Motiejunas, or Patterson were to have an NBA career comparable to Corliss Williamson. It would not be a bad thing, and in fact a good outcome. What's funny about that, the two active NBA players aren't even as good as Corliss Williamson, right now, while the other player has yet to play one NBA game. Most of all, each player was a lower pick than Williamson in possibly weaker drafts.


    Also, don't twist me words, I did not say that he would turn into David Anderson, but I am not oblivious to the fact that he could and he still was not drafted very high. There's no way on this planet that he could be a bust in the same way as say the top 6 picks in this year's or last year's draft could be. Even, if he ended up the worst player in the league. I don't think you will ever see him on an all time list of the NBA's most notorious busts of all time.

    It makes no sense to hype lower tier players.
     
  6. Red.Glare

    Red.Glare Member

    Joined:
    Sep 26, 2010
    Messages:
    657
    Likes Received:
    493
    He said in an interview that he thanked his grandfather for driving him to all of his games.
     
  7. Egghead

    Egghead Member

    Joined:
    Apr 22, 2008
    Messages:
    2,980
    Likes Received:
    115
    long read

    2012 Draft Study Results
    http://nbadraft.net/2012-draft-study-results
    By Mike_Misek
    Fri, 06/22/2012 - 7:24pm
    Royce White, a statistical anomaly

    Royce White is a truly fascinating prospect. Not every potential draft pick who comes along has taught himself to play the piano. Very few, if any, college students have turned their 21st birthday party into a non-alcoholic event to help fundraise for a group that serves children with mental health and behavioral disorders. White has spoken openly of past problems at Minnesota, interests beyond basketball, wanting to visit Tibet, and admitted to not like flying. For all of the off the court elements of White that make him interesting, it is what he did on the court that takes the cake. Not only was he the only player in college basketball to lead his team in scoring, rebounding, assists, steals, and blocked shots, but he had the most remarkable split in how he functioned in a given game based off his team's need. In Iowa State’s 18 games against teams that did not finish the season in the RPI Top 100, White averaged 10.1 points on 51.9 percent shooting, 8.7 rebounds, 2.1 offensive rebounds, 5.6 assists. 1.0 steals, and 0.9 blocked shots in 29.3 minutes per game. He often served as Iowa State’s point guard, and a 10.1 point and 5.6 assist average is not dissimilar from the lines put forth by Scoop Jardine and Marquis Teague across all splits. In and of itself, that particular statistical split is rather impressive for someone who is 6’ 8” and 261 lbs, but only part of what speaks to the unique nature of his season.

    In the 16 games in which the Cyclones faced RPI 100 opponents, his averages jumped to 17.1 points on 54.3 percent shooting, 9.9 rebounds, 2.9 offensive rebounds, 4.4 assists. 1.4 steals, and 1.0 blocked shots in 34 minutes per game. Depending on his opposition, he effectively went from an oversized point guard who could get all his teammates involved to quite possibly the most dynamic offensive prospect among the forwards in this draft class. When comparing the performances against teams in the RPI Top 100 of the fifteen forwards projected in NBADraft.net’s June 20th mock to go in the first round when, White ranked first in assists and free throws attempted, third in field goal percentage and steals, fourth in scoring and offensive rebounds, fifth in defensive rebounds, and seventh in blocked shots. His advantages also go into the more subjective where it can easily be argued that is the best ball handler of the group as well as the player who was the most successful finishing inside with both hands. Where he ranked poorly was in free throw percentage and turnovers, last in each category. The turnover statistic when assessed as part of his overall usage and otherwise overall effectiveness is much less of a concern than the free throw percentage. If his free throw shooting remains at around 50 percent, it could lessen the value of his ability to get to the rim off the dribble, score in the low post, and offensive rebound.
     
    1 person likes this.
  8. Egghead

    Egghead Member

    Joined:
    Apr 22, 2008
    Messages:
    2,980
    Likes Received:
    115
    cont'd

    White’s split by opposition would be even more stark if one considers the performances in losses to Drake (RPI rank: 133) and Oklahoma State (RPI rank: 120). In those two games, he attempted his most (19) and third most (16) field goal attempts on the season and averaged 18 points, 13 rebounds, and 5.5 assists. Regardless, when looking upon him both statistically and stylistically, he appears to be the most unique an NBA prospect to come along in some time. After accounting for the difference in minutes played, which typically accounts for most statistical increases for star players against better competition, White took 60.1 percent more field goal and free throw attempts when he faced RPI 100 teams than he did against all others. In the net, he took 5 more field goal attempts, 2 more free throw attempts, and averaged 7 more points per game. This extreme alteration in style has not been seen before. Statistically, such deviances happen from time to time, but usually can be explained. For example, this season, Purdue’s Lewis Jackson, Temple’s Micheal Eric, and Festus Ezeli had far more active stat lines in games in RPI 100 games than in others, however the explanations for those splits are related to their injuries. Eric and Ezeli missed a number of games due to knee problems. It just so happened that the majority of the games in which they worked themselves back into their typical form were against weaker opposition. Lewis Jackson spent much of his season bothered by foot and back problems, the latter of which limited him from practice all season long and forced him to pick his spots in which games he would be aggressive. Beyond injuries, there are occasions where there is one improbably outlier game that greatly a season output. Dion Waiters had a career game against Cincinnati in the Big East tournament where he had 28 points on 7-10 from behind the arc. More than one-sixth of all the three pointers he made on the year came in that one game, and as a result has his end of the year numbers look like he is a much more developed perimeter shooter than the rest of his two-year body of work would have a person believe. Neither injury nor outlier is the case with White, which makes the splits so interesting.

    The importance of the splits when looking at White as an NBA prospect is that one of the larger on-court questions put forth about him is whether or not he can succeed if the team that drafts him does not play him in the same way Fred Hoiberg did at Iowa State. While it is always prudent to consider how a player’s strengths and weaknesses would fit the role he would be asked to play, in this case it understates the revealed versatility of his play as well as embedded on court understanding to know what his team needs of him to best help them in a given game. His performance this season was much more complex than simply him playing the LeBron-role in the Big Twelve. If a team needed a power forward who could get on the offensive glass, White pulled down 2.4 offensive rebounds in Big Twelve games and 2.9 in games against the RPI Top 100, which is not all that different from the 2.7 offensive rebounds Thomas Robinson did in the Big Twelve and 2.8 against the RPI Top 100 for whom his ability to get a team an extra possession is viewed as a major strength. White can operate effectively on both ends of the pick and roll as either point or screener. As effective as he was working dribble handoffs that rolled into screens at Iowa State, it is hard believe he would not also be a quality and willing screener if he was also off the ball.
     
  9. IzakDavid13

    IzakDavid13 Member

    Joined:
    Jan 2, 2011
    Messages:
    9,958
    Likes Received:
    801
    See: DeAndre Jordan type range:grin:
     
  10. IzakDavid13

    IzakDavid13 Member

    Joined:
    Jan 2, 2011
    Messages:
    9,958
    Likes Received:
    801
    David Anderson has skills...just hasn't been given the opportunity needed to showcase them.
     
  11. amaru

    amaru Member

    Joined:
    Jun 25, 2009
    Messages:
    17,293
    Likes Received:
    10,639
    6'7" PF........just what we need!
     
  12. Dubious

    Dubious Member

    Joined:
    Jun 18, 2001
    Messages:
    18,318
    Likes Received:
    5,090
    He's a Point Forward, a catalyst that can make the other guys on the floor better. That's his value. If you have the shooters and post-up players to go along with that then he could be very valuable.

    But as much as I love to watch him play, he's probably not a value pick at 16 :(
     
  13. panamamyers

    panamamyers Member

    Joined:
    Jun 17, 2000
    Messages:
    1,627
    Likes Received:
    1,733
    Kidding right?
    White is extremely explosive. He jumps up and over guys and pounds home dunks in their face. I like the LArry Johnson comparison, except Larry had a better shot.I actually think White is more athletic than Johnson.
     
  14. moonnumack

    moonnumack Member

    Joined:
    Jun 7, 2002
    Messages:
    723
    Likes Received:
    30
    I think someone mentioned Anthony Mason, which looks like a good comparison to me. Not too tall, but thick. Good handles. Tough inside.
    I'd take that with #16.
     
  15. panamamyers

    panamamyers Member

    Joined:
    Jun 17, 2000
    Messages:
    1,627
    Likes Received:
    1,733
    The problem with the middle of the first round is you usually end up with a guy that is a pretty good college player because he does everything above average. I'm thinking of the Marcus Morris, Patrick Patterson, Ike Diogu, Rashad McCants, Kirk Snyder types.
    They do things at a good enough level to look better than the rest of the guys in college.
    None of them have one outstanding skill, which you need in order to do well in the pros. You need to be an elite shooter, or lock-down defender, or glass-cleaning rebounders, or shot blocker extraordinaire, or something.

    Royce White has a couple of exceptional skills that not a whole lot of guys have. I could see him coming in and starting from day one for a lot of teams. He is a playmaker that is athletic and can finish. You can isolate him, and it is going to be extremely difficult for most defenders to keep him out of the lane. He has good vision and good passing skills. I think his skill set will play even better in the NBA than it did in college when defenses can do whatever they want to shut down lanes.

    I would love it if the Rockets drafted this guy. He's not Marcus Morris. He's not Patrick Patterson. He has an elite skill that those guys do not possess.
     
    1 person likes this.
  16. Spacemoth

    Spacemoth Member

    Joined:
    Jul 30, 2007
    Messages:
    9,908
    Likes Received:
    4,692
    Hell, just plug him in at SG and see what happens. I bet he'll do fine defensively. I didn't watch any Iowa St games live, but based on his video I have no idea what people are seeing when they claim he has limited lateral movement. He looks spry to the side in my opinion.

    He may not have a true position in the NBA, but in our staff's eyes that might be something undervalued in the game today since no one can pigeonhole his game into a particular role. If you want to look at his ceiling, watch Lebron in these playoffs, guarding whoever he needs to whenever he needs to. He took on Rondo when Rondo was hot. When Boston went small he played Garnett. Offensively he had the ball in his hands whether he was a PG or a PF.

    I think our team has enough complementary players. We need someone who can break a defense down with the ball, either dribbling or passing or shooting. In retrospect I liked the Marcus Morris pick, because even if he doesn't pan out the Rockets don't have their hands tied by picking him. It reflected a change in philosophy (finally) of going after high ceiling rather than high floor. If he works, you have a new centerpiece to build around. If he doesn't, you cut ties promptly and move on. White represents another chance to do that.

    It's like Willy Wonka. How the hell are we gonna get a golden ticket if we ain't eating no candybars???
     
    1 person likes this.
  17. aelliott

    aelliott Member

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    5,928
    Likes Received:
    4,892
    I would love to get White, I think that he is one of the few guys in this draft that could turn out to be an elite player.

    That being said, I have to disagree about the explosiveness. White isn't a bad athlete but he's nowhere as explosive as Larry Johnson in his prime. I saw Larry Johnson (Dallas Skyline) compete against LaBradford Smith (Bay City) in a half-time dunk contest of a high school all-star game at Autrey Court. Johnson brought down the house by dunking after taking off from the foul line. LJ was a rare combination of athleticism and power.

    As I said, it's not that White is a bad athlete, it's just that Larry Johnson had elite athleticism.

    BTW I agree with your statement about White possessing an elite skill. He also has the ability to make teammates better, which is a trait that most superstars possess.
     
    1 person likes this.
  18. ironariza

    ironariza Member

    Joined:
    Oct 7, 2010
    Messages:
    309
    Likes Received:
    7
    must be in your own dream
     
  19. TriCkz

    TriCkz Member

    Joined:
    May 9, 2006
    Messages:
    1,488
    Likes Received:
    30
    I hope we get either Royce White, PJ3, or Austin Rivers.. one of these guys will turn out to be a star.
     
  20. K-Low_4_Prez

    K-Low_4_Prez Member

    Joined:
    Dec 25, 2011
    Messages:
    7,455
    Likes Received:
    1,340
    Dont really know much about him but from what im reading he seems like he would be a good pick at #16, I like all the comparisons im hearing, plus if shooting is really one of his only weaknesses then that's fine. Shooting is the easiest thing for players to improve once they get in the NBA, that's why I think Chandler Parsons has such great upside, he has all the skills other than a great shooting touch but if he develops that then he can be a force!
     

Share This Page