It's pretty obvious it's either Paul or Obama (unfortunately most likely Obama)- Romney stands no chance along with Santorum <object width="420" height="315"><param name="movie" value="http://www.youtube.com/v/IU2AvSwzuok?version=3&hl=en_US"></param><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true"></param><param name="allowscriptaccess" value="always"></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/IU2AvSwzuok?version=3&hl=en_US" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="420" height="315" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object>
That some people would equate a fringe congressman from nowhere TX to the best political mind of the day just shows how lost they are.
Looks Santorum is going to wrap this up. He's going to get both Alabama and probably Mississippi if things don't change.
main reason I cant and wont ever vote for someone like Santorum. “I don’t believe in an America where the separation between church and state is absolute. The idea that the church can have no influence or no involvement in the operation of the state is absolutely antithetical to the objectives and visions of our country.” -Santorum
And fascinating! Here's my opinion of the state of the race: Romney: despite massive advantages in institutional support, money, and organization, he just can't break through. Yet, it might not matter. Just keep slogging along, collect delegates in proportional states, and win the big winner-take-all states. If his opponents keep splitting the vote, he can get to 50% and end all this. Santorum: Forgetting about winning a delegate majority and focus on the narrative of the campaign. If he can sweep the major states the next three weeks (Missouri, Illinois, Maryland, Wisconsin), Romney just looks weaker and weaker. If he can get to a brokered convention, he can argue that he matched Romney despite being a huge underdog - imagine what he could do with the support of the party and money. He could make it very hard for an ideological GOP to pick Romney, especially if Santorum can close with wins in Texas and California late. Newt: Name Perry his VP. Say more crazy things. See if he can shake up the narrative. Hope to force a brokered convention, and hope that Santorum collapses near the end. Position himself as the only real alternative to Romney and try to swoop in at the end. I can see each of these guys staying in and believing they could win it. Santorum has got to be so frustrated that Newt won't drop out despite having won only 2 states.
I don't believe Santorum would win a contested convention. He'll say too many more stupid things. I KNOW Newt won't. He's purely a spoiler. Tonight's results take my breath away. The "presumptive" GOP nominee finishes in 3rd place in both states. Just wow! Didn't expect Newt to do this well. I've said for over a year the nomination was Romney's and still believe it. But I'm wavering on whether the general election will be tight. It's possible (but still doubtful IMO) he could lose by a higher percentage than McCain.
I think Romney will still be OK in the general, unless the economy totally takes off. Whatever damage was to be done has been done, so at this point, I don't think the slog does much more damage to Romney. It's hard to imagine Obama doing any better than 2008 when he had basically all the winds at his back, but who knows!
