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2012 GOP Presidential Primary

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by rimrocker, Jan 27, 2011.

  1. FranchiseBlade

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    True, but it's near impossible for Santorum to win now. He would have to win like more than 60% of the contests to have enough delegates, and that was if it was only a two person race. With Paul and Newt siphoning off some of those delegates it will be even harder. And there's no way Santorum will win in NY or places like that.

    I agree that the narrative is that Romney can't win the die-hard conservatives of the base. But now that he can focus more on the general election, appealing to those voters will only hurt his standing with the independents that he'll need to win the Presidential race.
     
  2. Major

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    I agree that Santorum can't win outright. But as long as Romney is weak, there is potential that he can't get to a 50% majority, especially if the Paul people are able to siphon off a lot of his delegates in the caucus states through the state conventions. That is the big concern for Romney - he should still win this, but as long as he can't seal the deal, he can't afford to start talking general election or the GOP base will revolt even further. With the Texas and California primaries being very late in the process, he has to keep fighting to get delegates, and that means he's going to keep taking fire from Newtorum.
     
  3. thegary

    thegary Member

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    santorum's only chance is if newt drops out now.
     
  4. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    I'm lovng this. Drag it out, looney Republicans!
     
  5. finalsbound

    finalsbound Member

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  6. Hightop

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    MSNBC Completely Leaves Out Ron Paul In Super Tuesday TV Intro

    <iframe width="480" height="360" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/mnN4fp0TMPY" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
     
  7. FranchiseBlade

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    perhaps it's because he won zilch, nothing, nada, zip
     
  8. Hightop

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    He has more second place finishes than Santorum or Gingrich, dumbass.

    Now go suck mainstream Obama's dong, hypocrite.
     
    1 person likes this.
  9. Northside Storm

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    those 35 delegates for the kingmaker sure are looking good
     
  10. Major

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    Which still means that he has won exactly nothing. He can't win even in random rural western caucus states - those should be his biggest strongholds. Even with other candidates using him as a proxy for an anti-Romney vote in Virginia, he couldn't win there either.
     
  11. Hightop

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    <iframe width="853" height="480" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/Tb5aGgQXhXo" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
     
  12. Major

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    Regardless, this isn't even true.

    By my count, Ron Paul has 6 second place finishes, mostly in really tiny states: New Hampshire, Maine, Minnesota, North Dakota, Virginia, and Vermont.

    Santorum has 2nd place finishes in Arizona, Michigan, Washington, Alaska, Idaho, Massachusetts, Ohio, and Wyoming - 8 states.

    That, of course, is in addition to his 6 wins compared to Ron Paul's zero.
     
  13. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
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    Once Ron Paul has crushed the Federal Reserve Bank, his supporters will push to destroy both the Department of Mathematics, and the Laws of Mathematics.
     
  14. FranchiseBlade

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    hahahahaha! Hypocrite? It's hypocritical to point out that Paul won zero states on super Tuesday?

    That's hilarious. Do you even know what the word means?

    Your posts are just a bunch of angry and make as much sense as Ron Paul won primaries on Super Tuesday.
     
  15. Major

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    The Constitution doesn't specifically authorizes laws relating to mathematics, so it does make sense that they'd be opposed.
     
  16. Northside Storm

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    WE WILL PREVAIL

    [​IMG]!!!
     
  17. Rashmon

    Rashmon Member

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    I have won as many primaries as Ron.
     
  18. A_3PO

    A_3PO Member

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    Correct and you have the same chance of being nominated.
     
  19. LosPollosHermanos

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    all these Ron Paul haters....they can't stand the truth!
     
  20. NMS is the Best

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    As I - and even Rachel Maddow - have explained, Paul will win far more delegates than projected in the unbound caucus states (his followers are more organized).

    So it is very likely he will actually get a majority of the delegates in Maine, Iowa, and Minnesota. In my book, he has actually won 3 states since he will win a majority of the delegates in them.

    Paul aside, the Republican race is headed to a brokered convention. It remains to be seen how many delegates Santorum and Gingrich get. If together they get a majority, I see them making a deal at the convention to become President and VP. If they don't, Romney probably turns to Paul and makes a deal with him to bring Rand on to the VP ticket. It should be interesting to see how this all turns out...
     

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