1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

Rudy Gay's about to show the world he's on Durant's level

Discussion in 'NBA Dish' started by what, Jan 4, 2012.

  1. larsv8

    larsv8 Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2007
    Messages:
    21,663
    Likes Received:
    13,916
    Advanced stats are not the end all or be all, but they are a pretty good indicator of measuring a players actual worth vs. his hype.

    Rudy Gay is not a bad player, but his hype outweighs his actual worth on the court.
     
  2. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    61,776
    Likes Received:
    41,244
    Well, other than that pretty much every NBA team uses them.

    The funny part about luddites like yourself and DaDakota is that you run around citing regular stats like points and rebounds all the time, which were designed by newspaper writers to save ink and column space for advertisements....but anything that has some logical basis and tries to put these numbers in context....why that should be immediately rejected....because...it just should.
     
  3. NIKEstrad

    NIKEstrad Member

    Joined:
    Mar 21, 2000
    Messages:
    10,204
    Likes Received:
    4,146
    I miss the constant references to Spanoulis' 2P% as an indicator of his greatness. :(

    This thread has been a good laugh.
     
  4. roslolian

    roslolian Member

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2008
    Messages:
    29,927
    Likes Received:
    20,095
    Sorry but the only one Mayweather can beat on a daily basis is his wife.


    On topic, Gay's 50% FG is nice, but if you look at him play he's way too soft to be a real difference maker. Whereas guys like Durant would take it hard to the rim, Gay would settle for jumpers and finesse moves, which is why a lesser player like Battier was a better fit last year, because Randolph was on a tear and the team was better because he was taking almost all of the shots.

    In retrospect not taking Gay is a mistake on DM's part since 1-11 didn't really do anything. Gay was clearly the pick with the most potential, and if we had drafted him we would have either sucked if Gay played like he did in Memphis (and gotten Brandon Roy), OR Gay would have blossomed under JVG and become the player he could really be.

    Those are all what-ifs though, if we got the "current" Rudy Gay our team would suck big time, and if we had signed him to his current max contract we would be so screwed.
     
  5. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    61,776
    Likes Received:
    41,244
    In the long-term, sure, in the short term, knowing that Yao & McGrady's window was closing quickly, drafting Gay would have been even more inappropriate given that his learning curve was very steep.
     
  6. durvasa

    durvasa Member

    Joined:
    Feb 11, 2006
    Messages:
    38,893
    Likes Received:
    16,449
    Your GM disagrees:

    http://www.box.com/shared/7bfsdslphl
     
  7. Nook

    Nook Member

    Joined:
    Jun 27, 2008
    Messages:
    59,822
    Likes Received:
    132,514
    There is nothing to really argue here. Rudy Gay has statistically been nearly the same player for 4 years, he is currently 25 years old, not 19-20 years old. He may make marginal improvements, but it is doubtful he ever does much more than that. Minutes are not an issue, maturity and age are not an issue, and shots are not an issue... this is not a TMac or Jermaine O'Neal situation.

    Rudy Gay is a blackhole on offense, he is turnover prone and a poor passer.

    He is a poor defender, and with his lack of instincts it is unlikely he will ever be better than average on defense.

    Rudy Gay gets 18 points a game, on 17 shots a game... so he is a volume, inefficient scorer. Not that impressive with that many shots.

    Last, he has a long term, near max contract which kills any value he has as as a scorer or rebounder.
     
    1 person likes this.
  8. Mr. Clutch

    Mr. Clutch Member

    Joined:
    Nov 8, 2002
    Messages:
    46,550
    Likes Received:
    6,132
    This thread can be closed now.
     
  9. what

    what Member

    Joined:
    Dec 4, 2003
    Messages:
    14,618
    Likes Received:
    2,584
    And yet the grizzlies are ahead of the rockets in the standings: first in the division; without Randolph and "better-fit" Battier. How do they do it, head scratcher, that one is, I tell ya.
     
  10. larsv8

    larsv8 Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2007
    Messages:
    21,663
    Likes Received:
    13,916
    Not really a head scratcher at all.

    Rockets had a beast first 10 game schedule and were poor. They have reeled off six straight since then and could very easily win the next 5.

    The sad part is, you are comparing your complete, ready to compete, finished product Memphis Grizzlies, to a collection of role players and spare pieces just waiting to be moved for a legit core.

    The even sadder part is your team that is built around Rudy Durant is it is actually an apt comparison, team strength wise, to our advanced metric hodgepodge team consisting of late first and second round picks.
     
    #170 larsv8, Jan 23, 2012
    Last edited: Jan 23, 2012
  11. gah

    gah Member

    Joined:
    Nov 1, 2008
    Messages:
    2,474
    Likes Received:
    142
    what? it's only half a game and you've had an easier schedule than us. We're coming for you!

    I'm not saying we have a better roster but as long as Randolph is out we are the better team.
     
  12. what

    what Member

    Joined:
    Dec 4, 2003
    Messages:
    14,618
    Likes Received:
    2,584
    the board is up in arms now. the grizzlies are number #1 in the division without battier, randolph and DA and WITH the guy that you all think is an overpaid albatross.

    explain it away with your ADVANCED STATS. bawbawbwbbaba
     
  13. Mr. Clutch

    Mr. Clutch Member

    Joined:
    Nov 8, 2002
    Messages:
    46,550
    Likes Received:
    6,132
    Memphis 9-6
    Houston 9-7

    Congratulations.
     
    2 people like this.
  14. roslolian

    roslolian Member

    Joined:
    Oct 30, 2008
    Messages:
    29,927
    Likes Received:
    20,095
    LOLOLOLOLOL. :grin:
     
  15. Nook

    Nook Member

    Joined:
    Jun 27, 2008
    Messages:
    59,822
    Likes Received:
    132,514

    You are 1/2 game ahead of a crappy Rockets team with a new coach...

    You have an all star center, the best defensive swing player in the NBA, a solid (but not great) point guard and only have one impressive win this season .... you better have a better record than the Rockets.
     
  16. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Member

    Joined:
    Feb 16, 2007
    Messages:
    45,153
    Likes Received:
    21,575
    Rudy's recent good performance and the recent Rockets 6-game winning streak have something in common: a rather easy schedule against mostly bad teams (and some of the good opponents were missing significant players).

    Obviously, this is better than sucking and losing to bad teams, but the evidence is inconclusive.
     
  17. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2002
    Messages:
    43,767
    Likes Received:
    3,700
    i can't believe you've turned on this. that was perfect reason for drafting him
     
  18. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    61,776
    Likes Received:
    41,244
    If you knew, in 2006, that Yao and Tracy were going to fall apart by 2009, that you couldn't trade them, and you had a 3 year window to get to the finals, you say "screw it let's start rebuilding now" fire sale everybody else, and flush 3 years?

    Not a single GM in the world would make that pick.
     
  19. pgabriel

    pgabriel Educated Negro

    Joined:
    Dec 6, 2002
    Messages:
    43,767
    Likes Received:
    3,700
    but rudy gay is still a good asset, maybe not at his current price but morey wouldn't do that
     
  20. MemphisX

    MemphisX Member

    Joined:
    Dec 20, 2001
    Messages:
    1,317
    Likes Received:
    46
    No, the thing about you and other wannabes is you think just because you cite a different stat that you are somehow some basketball stat guru when you are not putting it in any more context than regular stats.

    I don't reject advanced metrics, I reject people jumping on message boards and acting like they are typing something smart because you went to a site and typed a number that was 2 columns over.
     

Share This Page

  • About ClutchFans

    Since 1996, ClutchFans has been loud and proud covering the Houston Rockets, helping set an industry standard for team fan sites. The forums have been a home for Houston sports fans as well as basketball fanatics around the globe.

  • Support ClutchFans!

    If you find that ClutchFans is a valuable resource for you, please consider becoming a Supporting Member. Supporting Members can upload photos and attachments directly to their posts, customize their user title and more. Gold Supporters see zero ads!


    Upgrade Now