Next two weeks could potentially cement things: Titans home for Bucs, away at Buffalo Hou at Jax, home for ATL Should the Titans stumble to 6-6 or 5-7 and we get to 9-3 (4-0 div), it's light's out. http://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds Giving us probabilities: 96% Make Playoffs 52% Reach AFC Championship Game 30% Reach Super Bowl 17% Win Super Bowl -All top among AFC teams
Yep, but Schaub hasn't been called Fratty Matty since he had hair. Why they called him Fratty Matty back in Pre-K, no one knows.
NFL Division Tiebreakers: Head-to-head Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the division. Best won-lost-tied percentage in common games. Best won-lost-tied percentage in games played within the conference. Strength of victory. Strength of schedule. Best combined ranking among conference teams in points scored and points allowed. Best combined ranking among all teams in points scored and points allowed. Best net points in common games. Best net points in all games. Best net touchdowns in all games. Coin toss As of today, in the event of a tie on Jan 2nd, TEN can not win a tiebreaker based on (1) or (2) Should we win @ IND, we will own the (2) tiebreaker and the rest are moot Should we win on NYD, TEN can only get the division by a better overall record. Magic number this morning is 4. Any combination of our Wins with their Losses equaling 4 gives us the division outright GOB number is 3. This would result in a tie. Should we go 1-4 with a win against IND and TEN loses to Saints and someone else, we take the division. Should we beat the and Panthers and Titans lose to Saints, we take the division. Should we beat the Colts and Titans, we take the division.
Highest Priority Games Remaining: 1. @IND, 12/22 - clinches divisional tiebreaker, forces TEN to go at least 4-1. Possible trap game, on the road and a Thursday night short week. 2. Panthers, 12/18 - the other "take care of business game" - with such a dramatically reduced margin for error, taking these two games are paramount. Win both, and TEN is virtually eliminated. 3. Titans, 1/1 - Should TEN somehow run the table in December and/or we stumble against the Colts or Panthers, this becomes a winner takes all game. 4. Falcons, Sunday - the first penciled in loss game...but it is at home, the Falcons aren't world beaters, and an upset home win would put a noose around the Titans' neck. 5. @CIN, 12/11 - road underdogs against one of the best run stuffing defenses. A loss here isn't unexpected or especially harmful. Must Watch Titan Games: 1. Saints, 12/11 - a "must lose" game we're depending on. A TEN upset win ahead of creampuff Colts and Jags opens the door for a late surge. 2. @BUF, Sun - Bills are faltering badly (lost 4 straight), but 3 have been on the road. This is the only other conceivable loss for TEN in December, and so we have to cross our fingers for a Cardiac Cows victory. 3. @HOU, NYD - duh. Let's just pray it doesn't come down to this. 4. (tie) @IND 12/18, Jaguars 12/24 - seem like obvious wins, but division games are upset central in this league. A trip up in here would be a godsend. And at this point, he owes us several.
No. Monday and Thursday night games are fixed. I don't even think there's a Monday night game in the final week of the season. The only games that can be flexed are the early, late, or night games on Sunday.
Last week of the season: no Sunday Night or Monday Night games. Also: If we somehow lose to the Colts and Titans, the only tiebreaker Ten could use to edge us in the event of finishing with the same record is Record Against Common Opponents: Titans currently 4-3 with the Saints remaining Texans currently 3-2 with the Falcons, Panthers, and Bengals remaining Should Saints win and we nip the Panthers, it goes to strength of victory: the combined winning percentage of the opponents a team has beaten. But again, take out the Colts and we will own the tiebreaker over TEN in the event of a same record finish. Take out Colts and Panthers, and Titans HAVE to go 5-0, beating the Saints, to get past us for the title.
That's not exactly true. There's no Sunday night game scheduled as of RIGHT NOW, but if there is a playoff scenario that has come to fruition where a game has implications to other teams, they will flex a game into the Sunday night slot. Remember two years ago when the Texans needed the Bengals to beat the Jets? They flexed that game into Sunday night because it had implications for all 3 teams, and they wanted to extend the drama all the way through the day.
I'd love to take on Tebow's team. As fun as it is to watch him play, winning in front of so many of his fans around America would be amazing.
