Regardless of when the poll was taken and if it was likely or registered voters I'm still surprised that it's so close. Maybe Romney does have a chance. Anyways its way too early to tell since a lot can happen from now till the elections. Looks like everyone has already forgotten about the Bin Laden killing.
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Poll: Both Pawlenty And Bachmann Would Lose Minnesota In General Election Obama leads Pawlenty by a solid 51%-43%, and leads Bachmann by a landslide margin of 56%-35%. Obama's approval rating in the state is 51%, with a disapproval of 44%. By comparison, Pawlenty's personal favorable rating is only 40%, with a 53% unfavorable rating, and Bachmann's personal rating is at 33%-59%.
It's sad that Ron Paul won't get the nomination. He'd bring some much-needed new ideas to the political race, and Obama would have to limit some of his Federal Governmentisms to compete with Ron Paul for independent voters.
Since Nixon was the last Republican to carry Minnesota (and he carried 49 states, so he was hardly depending on it), I don't think that really factors into anyone's election calculus.
Like destroying the Federal Reserve, ending the Civil Rights Act, and general NWO/ 9/11 troof crap? Note he's stated in interviews he wouldn't have killed Bin Laden. Paul has some good ideas, and I used to like him, but he's simply insane and I will never support him.
The sad fact is that whoever is elected, regardless of their fresh ideas and anti-establishment rhetoric, eventually finds themselves relegated to playing the same old Washington game. The system is so entrenched that I don't believe any President on his own can change it. It'll take a grass roots level movement independent of both parties and years for it to progress.
In 2004 the election in MN ended up being relatively close and part of the reason for having the 2008 RNC in St. Paul was the belief that MN might be a swing state. MN has the reputation as being a liberal bastion but its really fairly even. Consider that the congressional delegation is split 4-4 and there is a Republican legislature and Democrat governor. In a tight race MN's 8 electoral votes might make a difference plus MN's demographics are very similar to Wisconsin and other Midwestern states so success there is an indication of success in other states.
i would argue that paul is the only republican candidate who has a legitimate shot of beating obama. he will never get the nomination, but if the GOP was really interested in winning in 2012 they would pick him. independent voters decide elections and in that category paul wins 47% to 28%.
I don't know if the Bible Belt would vote for Paul, if Paul was the GOP nomination it wouldn't surprise me to see a Constitution Party candidate stealing electoral votes from Paul.
I'll say this for Ron Paul: he has the most vocal, dedicated, and thin-skinned supporters of any candidate.
Ron Paul is probably the only anti-establishment candidate in the race. He is not part of the status quo. He also will not be swayed by any interest groups, special interest or powerful lobbyist. That alone makes him appealing to anybody democrat or republican. When was the last time when you see a candidate that was not in the pockets of special interest? I haven't in my whole life. He is the only one!! The first thing he will do when he gets elected is pull our troops out. No one else would dare say that! Obama did... and look what happened. But Ron Paul actually walks to walk. For the past 30 some years his voting record reflects his ideas. You will never see a politician like him in a lifetime.
