Early game for Fayetteville, and unfortunately, Xavier Neyens has a hat trick. Two looking, one swinging. I’m sure he’s someone they’re telling to “swing the damn bat,” but if I remember correctly, he also has some in-zone contact issues as well. He also hit his 14th home run of the season.
Down in Palm Beach, August Cuneo hit his first career home run. Cuneo is a catcher who signed as an undrafted free agent out of Petaluma High School in California about a month after last year’s draft.
Bryce Mayer allowed a run on a solo homer, two other hits, walked one, and struck out seven in four innings for Corpus Christi. He only went four innings because he threw 80 pitches.
Xavier Neyens YearAgeAgeDifTmLgLevAffGPAABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOBAOBPSLGOPSTBGDPHBPSHSFIBB 202619-1.3FayetCarAHOU6629421150516014371567891.242.456.469.925993500- James Wood YearAgeAgeDifTmLgLevAffGPAABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOBAOBPSLGOPSTBGDPHBPSHSFIBB 202118-1.9PadresACLRkSDP26101861832503221001332.372.465.5351.0004602000[/TD> 202219-3 Teams3 LgsA-RkWSN763482917091271012622055075.313.420.536.95615635020[/TD>
Luis De Leon hit his 4th home run of the season down in the FCL. He’s now slashing .410/.500/.580 with 4 home runs and 22 RBI on the season. He has had a plate appearance in 32 of the 33 games in which he's played and has failed to record a hit in 8 of them.
Arturo Flores hit his 13th homer for Fayetteville. Nick Potter went 4.2 innings and allowed a run on a solo homer, four other hits, walked one, and struck out seven.
Small sample size and all … I saw Potter pitch for about 3 innings on some MiLB game of the week. He was sitting at 95+ and painting the black lines. He was giving the batters fits. As an aside, same game, I got to see Huezo swing a bat. Huezo looks like a MLB player. It will be interesting to see how Potter and Huezo look in AA where the real prospects go and play.
60 PAs is usually considered the stabilization point for K% (i.e., when K% is equal parts signal and noise in oversimplified terms). Here's Neyens's K% as a moving average based on the stabilization point. The last 120 or so PAs looks like a drastic improvement of K% from horrid red flag, to concerning red flag. Trying not to get too excited, but if his K% stays in the low to mid 20s for another 120 PAs, I think odds are good he will do well in AA. #soyouretellingmetheresachance!
This is awesome. Where’d you get the graph? It would be cool to see his rolling ISO to see if his power has sustained while his k rate dropped or if he is just hitting bad pitches for outs or singles vs waiting for his pitch.
I plugged Neyens stats into chatgpt and asked it to run his K% as a rolling average based on 60 PAs (or as close as it could based on game logs..some smaples may be 61-63 PAs). For ISO, the stabilization point is 160 PAs. Asked chatgpt to run this calc,,,, For BB%.... For BABIP...not enough sample size for in-season splits, but here is data for 60-BIP splits. Those are the 4 big things I look at for minor league hitters (KATOH loved these. RIP KATOH). Wish in-zone contact percentage was readily available. Think there is some overlap with K%, but it probably is better when looking at extremely passive guys like Neyens.
Sami Manzueta hit his third homer of the season for the DSL Blue team. This was a two-run homer; he also hit a game-tying two-run single in the 9th to force extra innings, and the Blue team walked off with a 7-6 win over the Royals' Ventura team in 10 innings. Manzueta is about halfway through the amount of plate appearances (95) that he had last season (195) and he's hitting for a better average, getting on base and slugging about the same, striking out a lot less, but also walking a lot less. A 12.6% walk rate with a 15.8% strikeout rate is still fine though. Manzueta is no longer a shortstop, so that's a bit of a ding for his prospect status. But he's also playing most of this season at 17, so who knows what his track is going to be. He could be a bat-first 2B. Maybe he improves his arm and range enough to be a passable shortstop again, and that enhances his utility profile. With a .237/.403/.406 line (.265 BABIP) in almost 300 plate appearances in the DSL, he's probably done enough to come to the US next season.
Parker Smith allowed five hits, walked one, and struck out four over six shutout innings for Asheville. He has a 2.61 ERA since June 1. He's got a lower ERA (5.04) at home than on the road (6.44), somehow. I think part of his success at home, relatively speaking, is that he's managed to induce a ton of ground balls, while the ground ball/fly ball ratio is closer to 50-50 on the road.
Arturo Flores has been in a 3-34 slump since his 14-game hitting streak ended on June 27. He's homered twice this week, so it looks like he's starting to snap out of this funk. He doubled in his first plate appearance tonight, and he wound up scoring on an error.
Really article from mlb.com catching up on the Astros’ first five picks of 2025. https://www.mlb.com/news/astros-top...ft-showing-promise?t=astros-pipeline-coverage Looks like Neyens is living up to the hype. Everyone else seems to be nursing or rehabbing from injuries.
We've been following this long enough to know DSL stats are almost meaningless, but in-game power at that age, even if it is in the DSL, is promising indeed. Who knows what his track will be, but at the very least, the building blocks for a utility profile are there.
