In 2019 Russia controlled 7% of Ukraine. In early 2022 Russia invaded Ukraine and in months controlled 30% of Ukraine. Russia right now controls 20% of Ukraine after nearly 4 years of war. Russia has taken 1% of Ukraine over the last year. Something could break at any point in time - but the last 3+ years of the war has shown Russia lose half the land they gained early in the battle. At this point it is a complete stalemate with Russia and Ukraine. The idea that Russia will just trample Ukraine has been proven to be false. It will be 4 years of war in February and Russia doesn’t have a lot to show for it. This isn’t even a Vietnam scenario because the fatality figures Vietnam were like 3:1 VC for US fatality. Every war is different but this hasn’t been a good invasion for Russia so far, and as more time goes on - the less time that Trump will be in office and the more time the EU has to build up.
I am sure Trump has thought of this, while he is not asleep at the wheel. Europe Might Leave America Hanging By Dumping $2.34 Trillion In U.S. Debt If Trump Sells Out Ukraine
Maybe yes. Maybe no. When the bond market freaked the f*ck out about his crazy *ss tariffs, trump backed the tariffs off a bit.
