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2025 Astros Minor League Thread

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by tellitlikeitis, Nov 24, 2024.

  1. raining threes

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    A guy who throws 96 isn't a gimmick guy IMHO.
     
  2. Buck Turgidson

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    I'm also not sure what's gimmickey about this delivery:

     
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  3. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    His release point is more over the top of his head than normal.
     
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  4. Buck Turgidson

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    We must differ on what the word "gimmick" means
     
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  5. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    And that’s ok.

    I just meant that he’s a guy who seems to succeed without having any standout pitching tool. His velocity is above average but not great, his control is adequate but not stellar. Yet he has consistently limited hard contact and prevented runs from scoring throughout his time in the minors. I haven’t looked at his spin rates or movement so maybe there’s something there that makes it sustainable.
     
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  6. No Worries

    No Worries Member

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    Really limiting hard contact is no gimmick ;) that is a certified MLB skill :D
     
  7. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
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    Hit his 4th home run of the year last night



     
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  8. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Janek’s breakout has coincided with a slump from Joseph Sullivan; Sullivan has a .136/.345/.159 line for a 504 ops in June. That is mostly babip related but the k rate is still too high, which is probably why he hasn’t been promoted yet.

    Janek seems like he might benefit from the Crawford Boxes, those highlights are almost all to LF.
     
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  9. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
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    Yeah, let's hope Sullivan's increasing K rate isn't a good eye turning into passivity.
     
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  10. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    https://www.mlb.com/astros/news/ast...ions-to-higher-levels?t=mlb-pipeline-coverage

    Some comments from Jacob Buffa. Not much insight, but Amilcar Chirinos is one to watch over the rest of this season since he’s Rule 5 eligible; 15 k/9 is pretty great in High A. Since 2006, Chirinos is the ONLY High A pitcher in the Astros system to post a k/9 >15 and a bb/9 <4 (min 20 ip). If he is able to post a k/9 >11 in AA while keeping his bb/9 <4, he will have an extremely high chance of reaching the majors.

    Houston is shaping up to have a much deeper/riskier Rule 5 class than last year.
     
    #1390 Snake Diggit, Jun 21, 2025 at 9:54 AM
    Last edited: Jun 21, 2025 at 10:03 AM
  11. Buck Turgidson

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    1. How far is that freeway from HP?

    2. Now I know how to pronounce his name, I've been saying it in my head with a hard J
     
  12. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
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    I dunno if a juiced ball could get to the freeway (pic attached)
     

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  13. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Current Rule 5 profile:

    Extreme Risk (would certainly be picked no matter what): P Miguel Ullola

    High Risk (would definitely get picked if the draft were today but could perform their way out of the mix over the 2nd half): P Trey Dombroski, P Michael Knorr, P Alimber Santa, P Jose Fleury

    Moderate Risk (would probably not get picked if the draft were today but can perform their way into the mix over the 2nd half): P Brett Gillis, P Alex Santos II, P Amilcar Chirinos, P Manuel Urias, P Joey Mancini, P Patrick Halligan, P Ray Gaither, P Tyler Guilfoil, P Nic Swanson, P Andrew Taylor, OF Zach Cole

    Low Risk (no chance of being picked barring a completely unforeseen breakout): P Tyler Ras, P Abel Mercedes, P Garrett Apker, P Dawil Almonte, P Jean Pinto, P Matt Mikulski, P Nick Swiney, P Anderson Bido, P Blake Weiman, P Jayden Murray, P Rhett Kouba, P Misael Tamarez, P Tyler Ivey, P Aaron Brown, P Brody Rodning, P Walker Brockhouse, P Julio Rodriguez, P Luis Angel Rodriguez, C Collin Price, IF/OF Tommy Sacco, OF Quincy Hamilton, OF Colin Barber, C Fernando Caldera, IF Pascanel Ferreras, 1B Luis Encarnacion, OF Logan Cerny, C/OF Ryan Wrobleski, 3B Bryce Willits, C Miguel Palma, 1B Wes Clarke, IF Cristian Gonzalez, OF/IF Tyler Whitaker, OF/1B Oliver Carrillo, anybody at Low A or in the complexes who is eligible

    I bet you could get a pretty good idea of a team’s quality of farm system by calculating the % of their prospects who have passed through a Rule 5 draft without getting picked. From that last group in my list, Barber, Palma, and Ferreras are the only guys I think have any real value.
     
  14. Buck Turgidson

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    Cowards. They should have angled the park differently.
     
  15. sealclubber1016

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    I was curious myself, camera makes it look closer than it is. Accoring to google earth, dead pull it's roughly 525 in fair territory and significantly elevated.

    A homer would have to be hit like 575 to actually make it onto the freeway. If you obliterated a foul ball 500 feet you might have a chance.
     
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  16. Buck Turgidson

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    Does that list include guys eligible for the minor league Rule 5?
     
  17. Snake Diggit

    Snake Diggit Member

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    Every player who is eligible for the minor league rule 5 is also eligible for the major league rule 5. The protection rules are different but the eligibility rules are the same (I think).
     
  18. Buck Turgidson

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    Thanks, I'm not at all knowledgeable about the minors portion of it.
     
  19. tellitlikeitis

    tellitlikeitis Canceled
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    Unlike the major league phase, there's no return policy for a minor league Rule 5 pick. The drafting team takes control of the player's rights.
     
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  20. Buck Turgidson

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    Right, but there has to be more to it than that.
     

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