Ron's not reliable, I text him three hours ago, crickets, dude better not be doing our score before it even gets here......
After all these years and "feeling" like we see trends like this one I tend to lean that it's just our home team recency bias, no? If you're ever on other boards I see fans post the same thing, "save it for tomorrow" "****, well we all know we're only scoring two runs tomorrow" Maybe this one actually fits but majority of the time we're just scarred fans.....
the ol 'eye test' the ol 'seems like' the ol 'happens most of the time, totally...' Its why we love sports. And sometimes the analytics takes the 'fun' out of it. That being said, Im sure the deep dive will reveal zero correlation between how much a team scores the next day after the previous day... without the usual factors like starting pitching, guys resting, randomness, etc. And if they score 6 today (which seems to be the consensus benchmark), I'd like the board to start and explore a group wager thread or something to monetize the collective "feelings" here! (and then we can pool the winnings and donate to the tip jar for clutch).
A quick check, maybe I miscounted, but since 2023 we have scored 10 runs 33 times. We are averaging roughly 5 runs the following game. Again math wasn't thorough, but I didn't screw up by that much. There is no significant correlation, we aren't averaging 2 runs per game after scoring 10. It's just one of many things fans swear by. When a team puts up a mundane run total like 3-5 nobody remembers or feels the need to comment on it.
Ok. Like I already stated. It’s too small of a sample size to look at scoring averages. You have to look at the amount of games that they had a weak offensive output after a double digit scoring day. For instance…. let’s say that in 5 games after scoring double digits, the Astros scored 0,1,2,17,0 Yes, it’s a 4 run per game average but that’s not really the point, right? Clearly there is a trend there, correct? Like that 80% of the time they have a poor offensive showing in that scenario.
In 2022 there were 13 games after scoring double digits the day before. 7 of those we scored less than 3 runs, getting shut out 3 times and scoring 1 run 2 times. another game we scored 3 runs
It isn't remotely that exaggerated, we have some duds, some explosions, and some perfectly ordinary showings. That's how averages work.
after the national anthem, one of the twins player didn't go into the dugout. some astros players did the same. last one standing for astros player was kaleb ort but he eventually caved and went into the dugout. twins player won the stand off.
