I think you are paying for experience and perhaps a clubhouse voice with Bregs. Otherwise he may not be worth his contract starting year 1.
I don't want Bregman back. What about last year says to you he is worth 30m+ a year and at the expense of signing an OF that we desperately need.
Everything that I posted is directly out of fangraphs and baseball reference. I posted true numbers for Alex's 2024 season. Exactly which clutch splits would you like me to look at? That's a pretty general request that could pertain to any number of different stats. As I said, there are absolutely bad stats you can reference. Like Yordan's .543 OPS w/ a runner on 3rd or .523 w/ the bases loaded last year. Yordan must not be clutch.
Exactly. If 2024 is as good as it gets going forward and he has let’s say two more seasons like 24’ there’s no way signing him to even what they offered is a good deal. If this team was constructed as a no doubt favorite to win it all then maybe otherwise move on.
Agreed about the last sentence. But we'll run franchises pay for what they think you're going to do, not what you've done in the past. They don't eat bad money at the end of contracts. People need to accept Alex is gone.
I think they are all accurate. Some of these aren't good but none of them are terrible, except "behind" and that's really too vast of a category to get any definitive information. When breaking out the margin of the lead/deficit, the closer the game, the better he hit, so it can be inferred that much if those bad stats were when the team was behind 3+ runs and therefore not terribly important. Also it's a small sample size. If you look at "RISP w/2 outs" if he got 1 more AB and it was a HR, it would go from .620 to 671. If any PA makes a 50+ point difference in OPS there isn't enough of a sample size for it to be meaningful. There are 10 categories under "clutch" on BR, he was over .700 in 7 of them and .750 in 6 of them. We all know Alex's 2024 was weaker offensively than in the past, but this doesn't convince me he "isn't clutch"
There is also what we witnessed in the games by watching. Alex was terrible last year when it mattered. He killed rally after rally with those lame pop ups and weak contact bullshit. They kept having to shuffle him from 4th to 2nd and back just to try get him going. He did much better after May, but was never close to clutch last year. Very frustrating. It says a lot that he was so much worse when we were behind and that he was at his best when there was a margin greater than 4 runs in the game. His defense will gradually slip too, as he ages. .194 BA with a .620 OPS w/risp and 2 outs. That right there says a ton.
The last two yrs of Altuve's extension ('28 + '29 seasons) his luxury tax hit will be 25 mil each yr (when he'll be 38 + 39 yrs old). At that point he's strictly a DH as well. I get that he's the face of the franchise but that's a pretty big hit.
We can just agree to disagree. I watched what you watched, but the majority of those bad ABs were early in the season. The sample size is not enough to say this is who Alex is, and he improved markedly as the season went on. All MLBers have some bad stats, it's the nature of the game. We will see which Alex shows up (and where) in 2025.
Looking a little deeper it gets more disturbing.. On Base % 2 outs, risp- .265 Late and close- .268 Tie game- .272 Behind- .238 Bro, that is dreadfully bad. does not scream team leader either just with men on, in any scenario- .237 BA .291OBA total with RISP- .230 BA .284 OBA yuck
Like I said, you can have one of these types of guys but not two. Also Altuve took Crane's first offer. Bregs chose not to take it.
No need to get upset. Just look at those stats. He was very un-clutch last year. He was the opposite of clutch.