FSD 13.2.2 on my wife's AI4 Model Y is pretty unreal. Three months ago I never would have thought such progress was possible by EOY. The rate of improvement has become crazy. After being a very negative skeptic on Tesla's "full self-driving" tech ever reaching robotaxi status, I think it could happen sometime in 2025 in geofenced areas in specific major markets. From that point, scaling it city-by-city should not be difficult considering the number of Teslas on the road. That said, I'll eat my hat if Level 5 autonomy "anywhere, any time, any circumstances" ever happens in the future. But that doesn't matter. If regulatory issues don't slam the brakes, they could probably reach 90-95% of the addressable market in a few years and completely nuke ground transportation as we know it. I've never been excited about FSD until now. For the first time, I actually prefer using it to driving (unless I'm in a hurry).
Waymo is safer and expanding in cities across North America. Tesla talks about the future of FSD, Waymo is doing it right now.
Initial release of FSD 12 was disappointing. I didn't bother to use the free trial after a couple days. Latest release of FSD 12 performed fairly decent. I bought the sub for 1 month for a long road trip and it worked well on interstate travel. It still wasn't worth using for local traffic. With FSD 13, i used it for the majority of my travels. Its not perfect, but the improvements were so good that it fully exposed how dated the Tesla mapping has become. It was interesting to see FSD 13 start to deviate from mapping, for better and for worse. I would consider purchasing FSD if it was licensed to my account instead of a car. If Sean Duffy gets confirmed as Sec of Transportation, I suspect we will see regulatory changes that will help adopt FSD technologies and relax restrictions (like the car sitting at a stop sign for 3 seconds). We also need to see significant changes/adoption/enforcement with MUTCD.
Valid point, but over the last 3-4 months, the rate of improvement of Tesla's product has been crazy. Also, assuming they reach the point of being able to offer a geofenced robotaxi service, their ability scale it is >1000x more than Waymo. The economics of their product will also wreck everything about ground transportation in general. The next 6-9 months will be very telling. This is the first time I've actually believed this because I've experienced the evidence.
Both Cybertrucks appear to be setup for Trendy - Show rather than for Farm - Ag use. I have Marble Falls as sort of a long commute to Austin, so I have to adjust my thinking about what kind of place Marble Falls is.
Looks like explosives in the bed. Glad that thing is tiny compared to a real truck or there might have been trouble.
The terrorists picked basically the worst vehicle to use for a car bombing, the fact it was a cybertruck rather than anything else, likely saved lives.
Well, there are reports of several people injured, if the vehicle did a worse job of containing the blast, they might be fatalities. That's what I was saying.
Not an expert, but all those shiny sparklers that come off look a whole lot like a lithium battery explosion to me. Maybe just secondary combustion, though.
The cybertruck 'explosion' reminds me -- though it's obvious if you take 5 seconds to think about it -- that a fully autonomous vehicle will make it very easy for a terrorist to load up a car with a bomb and drive it up to a target without even being on the continent when the bomb goes off. You don't have to be willing to die anymore. Hard to think what an effective counter could be.
