1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

The [OFFICIAL] Sengun is bad at defense thread

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by chef0010, Nov 3, 2024.

  1. Stephen_A

    Stephen_A Member

    Joined:
    Mar 18, 2016
    Messages:
    5,905
    Likes Received:
    4,918
    Individual def rating is an estimate much like per 100 or per 36. The metric simply shows pts allowed by a team with that player on the court per 100 possessions. It includes team def rating and team stops % etc and assumes that all 5 players uniformly play same minutes and exert the same effort on defense. Players def rating are influenced by how good their teammates are and lineups etc.

    That’s why people need to analyze what’s happening on the court. Numbers can be deceiving and only paint part of the picture especially if you only use one metric. This is why luka had a higher def rating than scottie barnes last year. What’s actually happening on the court? That can be a vastly different story
     
  2. astrosrule

    astrosrule Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2002
    Messages:
    7,701
    Likes Received:
    7,600
    Guard defense isn't THAT significant, outside of the very very best (caruso currently, cp3 years ago in his prime) so for guards is a pretty useless stat. For centers though it's pretty meaningful, you'll never see a great defensive center have a bad rating
     
  3. aelliott

    aelliott Member

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    5,925
    Likes Received:
    4,885
    I'm talking about the accuracy ( or lack of) for the stat. Based on Drtg, Harden and Luka are better defenders than Marcus Smart and Dru Holiday.

    I also totally disagree that guard defense isn't significant. There's way more talented scoring guards than there are centers.
     
    Stephen_A likes this.
  4. Stephen_A

    Stephen_A Member

    Joined:
    Mar 18, 2016
    Messages:
    5,905
    Likes Received:
    4,918
    Curry was also higher than Mikal bridges 23-24. Issue with the metric is its an estimation using a few assumptions such as uniform distribution of time and points possession. And yeah a large part of the formula is based on team defense. Its deceptive
     
  5. astrosrule

    astrosrule Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2002
    Messages:
    7,701
    Likes Received:
    7,600
    Rudy isn't the best defender in the league because he stops opposing centers, it's because he prevents attempts and makes around the rim, the best shots outside of free throws. I agree the stat isn't gonna accurate though, especially early in the season when it's mostly just variance and noise.
     
  6. aelliott

    aelliott Member

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    5,925
    Likes Received:
    4,885
    Exactly,

    If you go by drtg, then you believe that Nurkic, Sengun and Sabonis are better defenders than Gobert. Or that Jokic is a better defender than Adabayo. Obviously, they aren't.
     
    Stephen_A likes this.
  7. Stephen_A

    Stephen_A Member

    Joined:
    Mar 18, 2016
    Messages:
    5,905
    Likes Received:
    4,918
    Reminder this is one metric which is an estimate based on assumptions and team def rating
     
  8. aelliott

    aelliott Member

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    5,925
    Likes Received:
    4,885
    And Drtg says that Nurkic, Sengun and Sabonis are better defenders than Gobert. Nobody believes that.
     
    Stephen_A likes this.
  9. Stephen_A

    Stephen_A Member

    Joined:
    Mar 18, 2016
    Messages:
    5,905
    Likes Received:
    4,918
    its the same as the silly Cam whitmore per 36 argument. These metrics should be taken with a grain of salt and used with numerous data and eye observation of what’s happening on the court.
     
  10. Stephen_A

    Stephen_A Member

    Joined:
    Mar 18, 2016
    Messages:
    5,905
    Likes Received:
    4,918
    It was also lost by poor pnr defense. Both adams and sengun weren’t effective
     
  11. astrosrule

    astrosrule Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2002
    Messages:
    7,701
    Likes Received:
    7,600
    i know, that's why i said the stat isn't gonna accurate though, especially early in the season when it's mostly just variance and noise.
     
  12. aelliott

    aelliott Member

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    5,925
    Likes Received:
    4,885
    Sorry, wasn't disagreeing with you, just adding another example.
     
    astrosrule likes this.
  13. aelliott

    aelliott Member

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    5,925
    Likes Received:
    4,885
    Adams didn't play last night

    Not just pnr defense. We have given up a bunch of easy shots on straight line drives.
     
  14. astrosrule

    astrosrule Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2002
    Messages:
    7,701
    Likes Received:
    7,600
    Generally speaking though, it's a decent stat to evaluate center defense (at the end of the season, not after a few games obviously)
     
  15. chef0010

    chef0010 Member

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2012
    Messages:
    539
    Likes Received:
    367
    I know what the stat is - there’s too much noise.

    it’s a team stat and you need to evaluate the entire lineups around sengun.

    that was morey’s point - you can’t isolate defense to individual players nearly as effectively as you can isolate offense to individual players.

    sengun plays with starters and there’s noise man.
     
  16. aelliott

    aelliott Member

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    5,925
    Likes Received:
    4,885
    No, it's really not.
     
    Stephen_A likes this.
  17. astrosrule

    astrosrule Member

    Joined:
    Jul 28, 2002
    Messages:
    7,701
    Likes Received:
    7,600
    There's no great defensive stats/metrics, what would be better? On/off is tough because if you have a terrible backup it inflates your stats a lot
     
  18. aelliott

    aelliott Member

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    5,925
    Likes Received:
    4,885
    As for publicly available stats, there really isn't any good defensive stats.
     
    pmac likes this.
  19. Stephen_A

    Stephen_A Member

    Joined:
    Mar 18, 2016
    Messages:
    5,905
    Likes Received:
    4,918
    Jock i meant. Also Smith in the small lineup. They couldn’t stop the pnr. Need the success rate on that but seemed every pnr they ran they scored
     
  20. aelliott

    aelliott Member

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    5,925
    Likes Received:
    4,885
    Yeah, figured that's wglhat you meant. We also played small a bunch too. It hurt on defense at the rim but it's what got us back in the game.
     

Share This Page

  • About ClutchFans

    Since 1996, ClutchFans has been loud and proud covering the Houston Rockets, helping set an industry standard for team fan sites. The forums have been a home for Houston sports fans as well as basketball fanatics around the globe.

  • Support ClutchFans!

    If you find that ClutchFans is a valuable resource for you, please consider becoming a Supporting Member. Supporting Members can upload photos and attachments directly to their posts, customize their user title and more. Gold Supporters see zero ads!


    Upgrade Now