at this late date, I'm going to posit that NC and MN are not swingers, which leaves the following: Nevada Arizona Georgia Michigan Wisconsin Pennsylvania My gut says Trump takes Arizona, and Wisconsin, Kamala Nevada and Michigan. which leaves Georgia and Pennsylvania.... I have no idea, but I will predict that whoever wins the latter, wins the election.
Other than MN, I think Trump will clean sweep the rest. There are way too many disinformation thrown out there making you think this election is even close. Replacing Biden with Harris is like when you shiit your pants and then go and change your shirt. She is that bad of a candidate.
just the facts, Trump lost all the swing states in 2020 when he was 4 years younger he was not yet convicted Liz Cheney voted for Trump Biden/Harris had not yet signed into law the Infrastructure Bill, CHIP act now, Trump is a 78-yr old showing signs of dementia and diminished motor skills convicted felon on 34 counts Biden/Harris had signed into law the Infrastructure Bill, CHIP act there are GOP groups organized to defeat Trump Lincoln project, republicans for Harris, in view of these factors, Trump will get less votes than he did in 2020
I think that Kamala takes the Blue Wall states: Michigan Wisconsin Pennsylvania with Wisconsin being the closest of the three. The Wisconsin has a very well organized GOTV organization, while Trump has a bargain basement GOTV which is being run by chaos edgelord Elon Musk. Nevada is a tossup. Trump should have the edge in Arizona Georgia but Arizona has an abortion ballot measure and a historically bad Senator candidate so this race should be very close ... and Trump lost Georgia in 2020 since he had R defections as compared to the down ballot races. I still think Trump should have the edge. I think the big picture of the 2024 race is how many R voters who voted Biden in 2020 will come back to Trump how many R women will vote for Kamala due to Roe being overthrown (aka secret Kamala voters which I suspect will be impactful) how many R voters can't vote for Trump due to January 6th (which I suspect is very few) how many R voters can't vote for Trump since he is a convicted felon (which I suspect is very few) how many R voters can't vote for Trump since he is a adjudicated sexual assaulter (which I suspect is very few) how many unlikely Puerto Rican / Haitian voters in swing states will now show up and vote how many voters can't vote for a women for POTUS (aka secret Trump voters which I suspect will be impactful)
I will also be watching NC and Florida this cycle. NC is starting to build out a state wide GOTV organization, The Rs are also running a historically bad governor and deep red Western NC may undervote this cycle due to the hurricane. Trump should still win. Florida has a statewide abortion ballot, which will drive unlikely voters to the polls. R women voters may vote for the abortion ballot as well and some will become secret Kamala voters. The Ds are also running candidates in all state wide districts, which should increase D turnout in the red part of the states. I still think Trump has the edge. Rick Scott who barely keeps winning elections might be in for a real nail biter.
the joke is on you, making baseless claims w no details / specifics, corroborating the fact that empty vessels, such as you, are clueless
Biden got kicked to the curbs. He did not go out voluntarily. Nobody did that to Trump because Trump can still speak in complete sentences and he was not sniffing hairs or eating baby’s feet. Lol
These are weak stances. Liz Cheney not voting for Trump is a huge benefit this time. The Cheney name is toxic, and the new Republican party isn't for warmongers like her. If the felonies mattered he wouldn't have steamrolled through the primaries. You name those bills, but those are overshadowed by the on the ground economy the majority of Americans are facing today. Trump is taking all six of those states if the early voting is any indicator. The least likely state would be Michigan, but still leans Trump.
