Well, in Cali most people vote by mail. And this is not their first rodeo. Voters know to vote, even if the top of the ballot won't matter, since the down ballot races do matter.
it appears that you don't want to hear what Obama said. As POTUS, Trump has shown to be incompetent failed to replace ObamaCare didnot even have a plan do so failed to signed into law an infrastructure bill didnot even have a plan to do so lost > 2 million jobs in his 4-yr in office, the only modern POTUS to do so Team Biden/Harris signed into law the infrastucture bill job gains----avging > 100K--- every month in office for 44 consecutive months so far, in 44 months in office, gained over 25 millions jobs Bill Clinton also touched on job creation, which you ommitted
Trump overperforming other R winners of statewide elections in 2020 swing states suggests that some R voters will leave the top of the ballot blank (if not vote D). January 6, 2021 suggest otherwise. 1 in 5 Rs voting for Nikki suggests otherwise. Overturning Roe v Wade suggests otherwise. I am not saying that a large percentage of Rs will not vote for Trump, but that Trump appears to be losing some 2020 supporters. Will that be enough to lose the swing states? We will see. This election is a tossup.
If Trump said this about Kamala supporters, Trump supporters would say "Well he just said 'supporters'. He didn't say 'ALLL SUPPORTERS'
You might be right. But since the race is 50/50 right now, you also might be wrong. The Right Wingnut Echo Chamber is saying the Ds are sacred and their support is collapsing, the Rs have momentum and a landslide is likely. This is just tee-ing up trouble if Kamala wins. Trump will say he won all 50 states and have a call to action.
That is a very optimistic take. The polls pretty much show Trump taking GA & AZ. They won't be massive blowouts, but they won't be the nail biters of 2020. Harris needs a positive for her camp, and she isn't getting it. Continued negatives about Trump isn't helping because people already know he's garbage. They want a reason to vote for Kamala, not a reason to not vote for Trump. Another debate would have helped, but Trump smartly avoided it. I think going on Joe Rogan could help her, but seems a little late for that.
There's no evidence that this kind of horse-race analysis that is basically autogenerated from all the TV talking heads is at all the way things work in the real world, but ok. The last days aren't about appeals to rando undecideds, they're about banking votes - basically the kind of stuff none of us see and there's no real indicators of.
sean conveniently forgets that Trump didn't spearhead the birtherism movement say that there are good nazi say that Mexican judges can't be fair call McConnell's wife and an Asian American reported w a derogatory racial slur Latin America S hold countries etc
There is a lot to suggest it - good luck winning back these votes. Republicans excess death rate spiked after COVID-19 vaccines arrived
Biden being a gaffe machine again, yes, and best to keep him away from a microphone. While Trump calls Democrats the enemy within and wants to sic the military on us.