She went into the Lions den knowing what was going to happen... We all knew what was going to happen and she stood her ground. Im proud of her and im proud that she went on fox and didn't back down.... T_Man
Less than 3 weeks to election and the betting markets continue to spread against Harris. This is officially worse than the Biden spread.
I guess I'm not up to speed here on my Constitutional Law but where is it at where Alexander Hamilton & James Madison added that amendment to the Constitution that stated that the "Polymarket" betting odds supersedes actual votes from the states, and the electoral college?
Here is how voting odds work, if one side is getting too much action, they raise the winnings for the other side, so they can keep it as even as possible, the Casinos make money on the action not winning or losing. So if Trump is at 60% that means Harris is getting most of the play. DD
I also take it understand that essentially the more people in bet on one candidate, the higher the odds are weighted in their favor. It's just showing how many investors are investing in one candidate over the other. Which then means that this one mega investor with the username Fredi9999 who has purchased 3 million shares on Trump which is far and away waaayyy more than anyone else has invested, is going to skew the percentage towards Trump. Maybe I'm misrepresenting the gist of the polymarket but I do know that's how it reads to me. Doesn't really tell you sh$t. Polling is probably a better indicator because it's actual people, and not just ONE PERSON who represents millions of votes/shares in this case.
Im totally confused with your message. What does constitutional law and betting markets have anything to do with each other in this context? I feel like you are suggesting somewhere, whether it be in these forums or on the great interwebs, that suggest betting markets dictated the election results. Further, you have yet to use your snide remark on polling date, which again, in this context, mean the same thing. However, if we want to focus on constitutional law, its the EC that dictates the winner of contests, not popular vote... which is always brought up by the losers who win the popular vote and not the EC.
Slave owners of the late 1700s in the US rejoice. BTW if we focus on Constitutional Law, Trump should not even be on the 2024 ballot ...
The slave owners and slaves are long passed. I am not sure what that has to do with the topic of hand, other than yet another random post by No Worries
I don't quite understand how Polymarket works exactly. However at 2 billion in volume, 3 million in buys is not moving the market very much. There is a lot of money at stake and for every fool who is trying to manipulate the market, there is someone on the other side who is going to arbitrage the difference. In polling data, there is an incentive (like we saw in 2016) to skew or bump the data if the pollster has a partisan bias. In the betting market, there is someone on the other side of that trade who is willing to take the money. This is why anyone who thinks Harris is going to win and thinks these betting markets are being manipulated should go all in and rake in the pot. But deep down, we all know Harris is a loser and these odds are probably more accurate than polling data.
Geezus. Do you have just no sense of humor or are you just the words biggest troll and fcking with me?
Because you do not understand the evolution of the Elctoral College. The founding fathers always expected the size of Congress to expand with the population. Therefore each elector would "represent" approximately the same number of people. In the early 1900s Congress stopped expanding, which skewed the Electoral College.
I posted this earlier - but if you waste $20 million betting on Trump Win Futures, you move the market up a lot t, and you own $20 million of DJT (truth social stock/options/wahtevr) -> you can absolutely make guaranteed money (DJT has basically tripled in the past month bc it tracks the futures markets). You have $60 million or more in DJT stock/options - if you exit the trade, you make money regardless of what happens to your Trump win Future. Also you are absolutely probably engaging in illegal market manipulation.
For decades, Democrats have controlled perception by controlling the polling process. Now that the betting markets are open, the polling takes on less significance, which vexes the Democrats. This is why Biden has talked about shutting down the betting sites. Their latest attempt at censorship. How many times historically have the censors been the good guys? Ask yourself that question. Polymarket does big volume -- a highly liquid market that is hard to manipulate. Don't listen to the Democrat misinformation attempts -- which are aimed at delegitimizing public opinion... so they can cheat and have it be plausible.
Both things can be true. I have ZERO doubt that her staff was concerned about her going on Fox News for the first time and against Brett - lets not forget that he has absolutely wrecked Trump before, so he isn't going to throw softballs. It can also be true that she went to her agreed time - we know that the case because the interview was scheduled for 25 minutes and went 26 minutes. I am sure they were concerned that she would say something stupid or look bad - and I am sure that Brett wanted to stump her. She did fine - I don't think the interview really moved the needle much one way or the other
Trump may well win - the Electoral College is to his advantage right now. Having said that - Marketing Bros live in their own insulated world.
If you believed what Trump has been saying lately that Kamala is kinda dumb, you might be disavowed of that notion between now and November 5th. The R Talking Points going into November, that Fox News viewers are being feed, also should have been put to rest after the Kamala attack interview. Kamala is doing extended MSM interviews and even interviews from hostile sources. Kamala is not dumb ... or you have to believe that Fox News edited their Kamala interview so as to make Kamala look not so dumb. Kamala will answer tough questions. etc etc etc
She's doing these interviews because she has to -- she's behind in the race. If she were smart, why did her handlers throw in the towel after a very short 25 minutes of answering questions from Bret Baier? They cut it short because she wasn't up to the challenge. That's why they have hidden her from media questioning for the entire campaign. Because those closest to her know that she is DEI dumb.
