Damn in the past decade! That's 10 years, not many people know that. Seriously it does feel that way. Alfred Blue flashbacks.
Slowik is just not as good as people claimed. Is he the worst? No, but all the top 5 OC mentions were an absolute joke.
At any point do u ever feel like you can predict Andy Reid's 1st & 2nd down plays? No. I want that same feeling for Slowik but I, unfortunately, haven't found it. Way too predictable. That said... his 3rd down concepts (and CJ) are brilliant. Hopefully he figures it out.
This is what I call the uncertainty advantage. But you have described it well. The uncertainty of the play call and the uncertainty of targets within each play is like a magician's bag of illusions. I believe Slowik has focused on the latter, while neglecting the former. But there are some evaluators who would argue it is not the plays, but the results that are predictable. Those evaluators may have a point. We do have a tendency to remember the lack of success running more than the percentage of plays it is called.
What are the numbers? Through week 5 what are the number of runs on first downs? I can't seem to find it anywhere.
That says 71.57% for first down passing. Does this indicate how often they perform a passing play on first downs, or does it represent the percentage of first downs that result from a passing play?
From the numbers, we pass more on first down than we run it I believe. I think the issue is the types of passes, very little play action
Looking at other stat sites for confirmation on this makes me think that is not the case for that stat. The link below shows 3rd, 4th and 1st down conversions. 4th down - 5 out of 8 - 62.5% 3rd down - 30 out of 71 - 42.3% 1st down -73 out of 102 is 71.57% 2024 NFL Offense Downs Team Stat Leaders - ESPN How Many First Downs On Passing By The Texans | StatMuse Houston Texans 2024 Stats | NFL.com ( has the breakdown of First downs resulting from a pass and rushing)
