The Astros could still blow the rest of the regular season and miss the postseason. As far as postseason goes... FanGraphs, before adjusting for top 2 starters and high leverage releivers pitching a greater percentage of the innings which likely heavily favors the Astros, has the Astros as having a..... 59.8% chance of making the ALDS. 60.7% chance of winning the ALDS if they are in it. 52.9% chance of winning the ALCS if they are in it. 51.0% chance of winning the World Series if they are in it. In other words, odds are likely the Astros either win the World Series or get upset in the postseason. Baseball is very random so getting upset in the postseason is the likely result.
Crane wants that wild card series because he needs that extra revenue to pay for... Abreu and Montero contracts.
Gate revenue all goes into the playoff pool that's divided out at the end of the WS. Astros get part of that wild card gate revenue regardless if they play wild card games. Now food and drinks at MMP...I guess the home team keeps that?
White Sox 53 games behind the #1 seed in the American League. Bref probabilities as of today: Make postseason: 99.5% LDS: 58% LCS: 33.3% Pennant: 20.0% Win WS: 11.4% Only one higher is New York Yankees at 11.9%
No team that's beaten the Astros during this run (2015 Royals included) has won a playoff series the following season. Rangers will become the 4th team to missed the postseason entirely. Every team the Astros have lost to has been 'lightning in the bottle' frauds.
Which is the most annoying part...these one and done teams that happens to get hot when facing the Astros. Only the Astros have been consistent in playoffs success.
Man, I'm not giving up on this team until the last out of the postseason. The Astros playoff pedigree is a real thing and will definitely come into play in October. Ask yankee fans. They're still scared of us and not even afraid to admit it anymore. There is definitely a "we're just going to lose to the Astros anyway" kind of feeling with a lot of yankee fans. My biggest concern with this team is the inability to win home playoff games. Kind of makes me secretly hope we DON'T catch Cleveland.
the braves have been pretty good since 2021. i wouldn't put them in the "lightning in the bottle" frauds.
Well, you aren't going to have to worry about that too much longer. Cleveland's magic number vs the Astros is 3. If the Astros win all 6 of their games and Cleveland goes 3-2 vs St. Louis and Cincy then they clinch before that series even starts. In other words, the Astros can win every game the rest of the season and the Guardians only need to go 3-5 to finish ahead of them. It's time to make sure the rotation is set up for the W.C round at MMP.
Their '21 playoff run was a fraud. They won three series that year. Besides that season, the furthest they've reached is the LCS, and that only happened once in 5 seasons. Three of those 5 seasons, they only won one playoff game -- not one series, one game. So when the Astros make the WS, the Braves suddenly go nuclear and win 11 games and win 3 series. Lucky bastards
Astros will have the tie breaker if they beat Cleveland in the season finale. Regardless, the chances of finishing tied/ahead of CLE is worse than Seattle wining the division. Astros pissed away too many games already, namely the CIN series. We committed mortal sin in CIN.
