Come on my man, don't act foolish. Your congress republican representative are out there taking credit for the infrastructure bill that benefitted their communities when they voted against it. You really don't care about this, so go on to another topic.
I have my doubts about all polling at this stage, and I don't trust the security of electronic voting machines. I also don't trust mail in ballots. show up and vote in person, show an ID, and leave a paper trail. The only prediction I will make is that whoever carries PA will win the election. Spoiler and TX & FL are not swing states
I view Polymarket as a futures bet, not necessarily a current trend. This is my thesis based on polymarket (since polling data is just as unreliable). Caveat - We still need to see what happens with the debate. If Harris comes out with a strong economic message and a plan, she does well. If all she does is more hand flapping, cackling, and trying to empathize with women with word salad, then the trend matters. If Polymarket continues with at least a 7 point difference, Trump wins hands down. If its a 5 point difference, Trump is leading A 3 point difference means little. If it bounces back and forth, its a toss up. According to polling data, this is what we should see. We still have about another 4 weeks before I expect to see data become more consistent.
And thus 100x more qualified than Trump to be POTUS. I do not like Tulsi ... at all. But if Trump replaced Vance with her that would be a great political move by Trump. I give it single digit probabilities, since Low Energy Trump appears to be checked out.
IMO, Putin's preferred outcomes from the 2024 election: 1. American Civil War II 2. US failed democracy 3. Trump wins
This R talking point now can be put to rest ... who am I kidding? The Rs will now say that Kamala will just walk across the stage and use Trumps's mic. Kamala Harris Team Says She'll Reluctantly Accept Debate Rules To Avoid Trump Ditching It Vice President Kamala Harris’ presidential campaign has agreed to the rules of next week’s debate against former President Donald Trump, including keeping microphones off when it isn’t the candidate’s turn to speak. But the Democratic nominee did not seem too eager to agree to the terms in her letter to ABC News informing them of her decision. “Vice President Harris, a former prosecutor, will be fundamentally disadvantaged by this format, which will serve to shield Donald Trump from direct exchanges with the Vice President,” the campaign wrote in a letter to ABC News, which is hosting Tuesday’s debate.
I actually agree with Tulsi about 80% of the time - the problem is that what she wants to do doesn't really fit under either party at this point. She is more Democrat than Republican - a lot of conservatives do not realize how liberal she is on domestic policy issues. Still - at this point, she must really suck at building relationships and support because she has really done nothing but criticize the existing structure.
Yeah - it isn't election day and the models are ever changing and momentum changes. The models are actually pretty accurate, more accurate than ever before - but the election margins are also so small now that a small polling error makes a large difference. Paper ballots can easily be destroyed as well. The reality is that there is no credible evidence of any fraud. Pennsylvania is huge - but there are some "warning" states..... for example, if Trump wins Michigan or Wisconsin, then he will win the election.... if Harris wins the Sun Belt states, then he wins the election....... I personally don't believe that Michigan or Wisconsin are going to go for Trump in a close election and I also do not believe that the Sun Belt states go for Harris in a close election. Pennsylvania is a shitty state, but it does have a lot of electoral sway. Spoiler and TX & FL are not swing states [/QUOTE] No - Texas and Florida are going red unless there is a blue wave.... likewise, Michigan and Wisconsin really are not toss up states at this point, those states will give Harris the benefit of the doubt unless there is a red wave. Georgia is another state that I believe will give the benefit of the doubt to Trump - so if Harris wins that state, she is very likely to win Pennsylvania.
The choice is simple. To protect our National Security Trump, the corrupt lying con susceptible to bribes, and disrespecting our Veterans is the last person we want.
If Harris proposed idea's like this, I could support her. Instead, she offers rotten word salad and has little to no policies .... except to increase taxes.
So you are in support of larger budget deficits? You would have to go after Medicare and Social Security to pay for more tax cuts and you would also have to increase taxes on individual incomes. You can't scream that you are fiscally conservative and that you are concerned with the national debt, yet support **** like this.
I don't think it's a coincidence that Putin's snide comment comes just as the DOJ released a report about Russia's attempt to influence the election. He's an evil f**ker who's also a master of disinformation.
