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Trump budget would spike deficits by nearly 5 times Harris proposal

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by adoo, Aug 27, 2024.

  1. adoo

    adoo Member

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    Trump budget would spike deficits by nearly 5 times Harris proposal , as concluded by the Wharton School of Economics, Trump's alma mater



    Penn Wharton'sTrump report found that
    his plan to permanently extend the 2017 tax cuts would add over $4 trillion to deficits over the next 10 years. His proposal to eliminate taxes on Social Security benefits comes with a $1.2 trillion price tag,
    while his pledge to further reduce corporate taxes would add nearly $6 billion.​


    Its Harris report showed that
    her plan to expand the Child Tax Credit, the Earned Income Tax Credit and other tax credits would raise deficits by $2.1 trillion in the coming 10 years. And her proposal to create a $25,000 subsidy
    for all qualifying first-time homebuyers would add $140 billion over a decade.
    • But the Harris report found that raising the corporate tax rate to 28% from its current level of 21%, as the vice president has floated, could partially offset the costs of her spending by $1.1 trillion.
    • Along with corporate tax hikes, Harris has said she supports the $5 trillion worth of revenue raisers contained in President Joe Biden's budget proposal for the 2025 fiscal year.
     
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  2. adoo

    adoo Member

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    .
    Trump’s reported idea to replace the income tax with huge tariffs on imports exposes the hollowness of his cultist movement.

    Economists are warning that Trump’s reported idea to eliminate the income tax and replace it with massive tariffs on imports would cripple the economy, explode the cost of living, and likely set off a trade war.
    And because the math doesn’t come close to working, it would also tremendously increase the national debt.

    The research done by Trump's alma mater, the Wharton School of Business, corroborates this point
     
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  3. Astrodome

    Astrodome Member

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    In b4 Harris' proposal mirrors Trump's.
     
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  4. Amiga

    Amiga Member

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    She's not going to mirror these:
    • Add $4 trillion over the next decade to the national debt for the benefit of the ultra-rich.
    • Increase taxes on Americans by approximately $4,000 annually due to a 10% across-the-board tariff, plus a 60% tariff on goods from China
    You support these policies?
     
  5. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Member

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    Yeah yeah, Trump is terrible. We already know that.

    But this is also a terrible idea. Doesn't cost nearly as much as many of the other things in the article. But government subsidies are just going to put upward pressure on real estate prices. I think encouraging home ownership is good policy, but you can't just throw money at it.
     
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  6. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    It is terrible policy. The no tax on tips (without a dramatic change in culture that removes tipping as a primary form of compensation) is also a terrible policy. The housing problem can only be solved long-term via increased supply or decreased demand. Putting money in buyers pockets doesn't change supply, but increases demand. Even if we wanted to throw federal $$$ to homebuyers, I'd do it through FHA loans at dirt cheap rates, give them straight from the government, and greatly limit who can obtain them. What I really would want is limit investors ability to purchase homes, and encouraging them to actually divest of existing homes. This increases supply and decreases demand. The problem there is a lot of complaints would come out from declining home values, which would happen.

    The government has been artificially inflating the economy for 25 years. When is anyone going to say it ends here?
     
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  7. adoo

    adoo Member

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    unlike farm subsidies, which rewards farmers to be non-productive, this “housing subsidy” will lead to more productive investments (house, furnishings, appliances, etc, ) which have the effect of growing the economic pie, GDP
     
  8. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    But they increase the prices of homes. That made sense in 2008, but that doesn't make sense today.
     
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  9. adoo

    adoo Member

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    since late 2022, the opposite has been the case. With 9 rate hikes & 11 pauses, the Fed has artificially deflated the inflation rate from just below 9 % to the current 2.9%
     
  10. adoo

    adoo Member

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    how, care to elaborate?
     
  11. adoo

    adoo Member

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    nevertheless, the “housing subsidy” will increase the # of qualified buyers
     
  12. AroundTheWorld

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    When "adoo" says something about economics, it's always wrong lol.
     
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  13. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    Inflation and inflating the economy aren't exactly the same thing, though inflating the economy can certainly lead to inflation. Inflating the economy is subsidizing it, which is what the government does when it spends more than they take in via revenue. These are things that can make sense, but not for 25 straight years. We were headed in the right direction for awhile, but we hit a little hiccup, and then Trump tax cuts, then COVID, and something else will come up because it always does.

    By increasing the number of buyers, without increasing the number of sellers, you get increased prices. Basic principle of economics.
     
  14. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

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    @adoo this is not a policy election - things like Trump literally dancing on dead veteran's graves and his team brawling with Arlington National Cemetary Staff (and later slandering them as having "mental health episodes") in order to get an illlegal photo op is way more important than his shitty Project 2025 policy (which everybody already hates)



    Basiclaly all your doing is giving MAGA types like @AroundTheWorld and boring bond issue dads like @JuanValdez an excuse to bloviate at length and posture as experts - this is a disservice to everybody.
     
  15. ElPigto

    ElPigto Member
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    I believe the current housing problem is caused by a lack of supply of entry level housing and not by a lack of funds necessarily. Lack of supply means real estate prices are up across the board since developers can't build houses fast enough. Add to the fact that in the last decade developers have not focused as much on entry level housing, but on more mid-tier home buyers (2nd and 3rd home buyers), plus people are no longer selling their home but instead keeping it for rental income, plus investment company buying up what is available to fatten their portfolio, I don't really see how giving a first time home buyer $25,000 is really getting to the root of the issue.

    I believe Kamala talked about going investment firms that are buying up stock and increasing rent prices across the board. I think going after those people would be a good start to actually start getting home prices to be reduced.

    As @JuanValdez mentioned, you can't just throw money at the problem and hope that this is the solution to the problem. The feds have gotten inflation under control to a certain extent. Wages have gone up, maybe not at inflation pace, but at least they haven't been stagnant. The issue is that the market doesn't offer cheap housing. Even if there is cheap housing, you are having to move so far away from your job that then you are sacrificing time with your family.

    I don't know how Kamala is going to encourage developers to build 3 million homes during her term, but I don't think it's going to be that easy, and as long as investors can keep buying up inventory, the price of housing will only go up. Once the feds start dropping rates, then we are going to see low interest loans come back which will also wreck havoc on the housing market.
     
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  16. ElPigto

    ElPigto Member
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    By the way, "billion" is a typo, right? I'd imagine dropping corporate rates would be in the "trillions", otherwise, we are getting a bargain.
     
  17. juicystream

    juicystream Member

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    Billion isn't the typo, but $6 is. It is $595 Billion.
     
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  18. adoo

    adoo Member

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    if only you'd elaborate


    ur confused, all mixed up

    inflating the economy is related to raising the cost of borrowing, via the Central bank' monetary tools.

    subsidy is a benefit given by the Govt, a form of fiscal policies where the central bank is not involved,​
     
  19. adoo

    adoo Member

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    when there are more qualified buyers in the market place, more sellers are willing to enter the market place, basic economics
     
  20. Kemahkeith

    Kemahkeith Member
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    Just a question.
    How will subsidies increase the number of qualified buyers?
    One qualifies for a home purchase with the individuals credit rating not the cash given to help on the down payment.

    This is no argument on my end. I'm just open to hearing how this helps.
    I was fortunate enough to qualify for a VA loan. So, if needed I could have gone 0% down on a house. I am fortunate to have been able to throw 24%

    My ability to qualify for a home loan was based solely on my credit score. And, the previous owner's decision to sell the house to me.
    I get the subsidy helps for the closing, but I don't think it makes more folks qualified.
    Maybe i'm misinterpreting what you are saying.
     

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