1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

Is Amen Thompson A Bust?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Imanimal, Dec 28, 2023.

  1. daywalker02

    daywalker02 Member

    Joined:
    Jul 17, 2006
    Messages:
    98,886
    Likes Received:
    48,807
    Brown only hit the extra gear the last 2 years and now is becoming a superstar in his own rights....

    I always thought he was going to be just a Number 2 Option but he has shown me the way without elite handles.
     
  2. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    61,736
    Likes Received:
    41,157
    I don't think Jabari Smith looked like a top 3 / potential #1 last year - but he at least was a top 10 rookie by the end of the year.

    Thompson doesn't loook close to that - the current crop of rookies this year (including Whitnore ) looks light years ahead of Thompson.

    Hopefully it's just OTE adjustment period or something - there's still time
     
    CantStopJG24 likes this.
  3. Hemingway

    Hemingway Member
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2016
    Messages:
    10,631
    Likes Received:
    13,848
    You are consistently the most negative poster on the board. You obviously only watch one end of the court, if you can’t see the potential this kid has. He is already near elite on defense and can get to the rack with ease. He needs to finish stronger and at least start hitting the mid-range jumpers where his form looks fine. Ime sees it too and is why he is eating all of Holiday’s minutes. When Tari gets back our second unit of Amen, Cam, and Tari is going to be outstanding.
     
    Dankstronaut likes this.
  4. Easy

    Easy Boban Only Fan
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jul 23, 2002
    Messages:
    38,082
    Likes Received:
    29,505
    I noticed both twins are very good rebounders at their size. I am agreeing more and more of the Westbrook comp. Of course, Russ has a much better ball handling ability. But that can be fixed for Amen. What Amen will never have is Westbrook's Energizer Bunny motor.
     
    SamFisher likes this.
  5. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

    Joined:
    Apr 14, 2003
    Messages:
    61,736
    Likes Received:
    41,157
    This is the kind of "take war" silliness that makes the discussions here annoying

    You say things that are insanely obvious to everyone - Amen Thompson, has not looked like a high lottery pick rookie so far, and in fact is not even in the conversation for top rookies, and looks to be the second best rookie on his own team. That's just true!

    And some take war soldier with an axe to grind from God knows when must unload on you that you're the most negative person ever - for simply stating the fact that Amen Thompson doesn't look like a top 4 type player from the rookies.

    It's possible to say this and not be labeled a bad fan. It's not like I'm some clown like Bobby the great re Jalen Green from the second he was drafted.

    It's possible to say a guy has not been great and doesn't look like he will be - and yet not also be implying that he is the worst player in history and that you hate him with the intensity of 1000 Suns.

    There's room in between. Like i think Jabari Smith won't be an all star player but will be a positive value NBA player. Some people think it's impossible to believe this but it's not.
     
    B-Bob, DaDakota and daywalker02 like this.
  6. Imanimal

    Imanimal Member

    Joined:
    May 30, 2019
    Messages:
    3,355
    Likes Received:
    3,843
    SamFischer is an intelligent poster….and shouldn’t be flamed for not always following the crowd (we need more of that on this board). As far as the comparison to Westbrook for Amen, interesting comparison and see some potential similarities but keep in mind that Westbrick is a career 31% three point shooter. Ironically, Cam last week said that Westbrook was the one he patterns his game after.
     
  7. daywalker02

    daywalker02 Member

    Joined:
    Jul 17, 2006
    Messages:
    98,886
    Likes Received:
    48,807
    In retrospect Jabari has the highest floor and might have decent ceiling amongst the 3 of Amen,Bari, Jalen.

    His rebounding numbers are elite and if he can crank up his shooting he can reach 19-20 ppg if given a bigger role.

    Similarly Cam can get there as well.

    This is viewed as very positive given the disappointment about Amen and Jalen.


     
  8. REEKO_HTOWN

    REEKO_HTOWN I'm Rich Biiiiaaatch!

    Joined:
    Jun 26, 2008
    Messages:
    47,487
    Likes Received:
    19,588
    he’s 20 years old. Over a year older than Whitmore.
     
  9. tycoonchip

    tycoonchip Member

    Joined:
    Dec 25, 1999
    Messages:
    7,181
    Likes Received:
    5,717
    He definitely hasn't looked like the rookie we thought we acquired during the Summer League. He's also only been healthy for 19 games +/- . It"s going to be a learning curve for him, especially at the pg position. We know he has the courtvision and athleticism. What he needs to learn will require him to be healthy and be able to trust his body without hurting his ankle/legs again.
    I'm not ready to write him off just yet.
     
  10. Jontro

    Jontro Member

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2010
    Messages:
    36,267
    Likes Received:
    25,341
    bust af frfr. luckily we have green, our true franchise superstar of the future
     
    Dankstronaut likes this.
  11. AmenTheSuperstar

    Joined:
    Jan 12, 2024
    Messages:
    80
    Likes Received:
    70
    In my opinion, Amen has the most potential of the young group. His defensive skills are outstanding for a 20-year-old rookie. Considering all his skills, I think in a few years he could surpass someone like DeAaron Fox.
     
  12. gumbleton3

    gumbleton3 Member

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2009
    Messages:
    2,197
    Likes Received:
    776
    Watching some OTE games for the first time, it explains alot as to why Amen and Ausar are so far from being NBA ready. OTE is basically glorified AAU ball with a huge focus on creating highlight plays and going viral on social media.

    90% of the players there are 16-18 year old unranked players with a handful of 3 and 4 stars here and there. The ones with actual NBA prospects like Karter Knox and Rob Dillingham are using OTE as a stepping stone into college which is much better for their development. Ausar and Amen somehow either chose or got conned into staying at OTE which in hindsight was not a good idea for them development wise. They got alot of hype on social media from dominating that league but if you look closer, they were 20 year olds beating up on a bunch of high schoolers.
     
    CantStopJG24 likes this.
  13. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist

    Joined:
    Oct 4, 2008
    Messages:
    21,011
    Likes Received:
    22,415
    He's alright, he's just on a good team unlike his less talented brother. When you can't shoot at all, it puts pressure on all your other options. On your handle, on your drive, on your cuts even. It puts pressure on the other players because your defender will confidently help defend your teammates. Some people didn't want to accept that but that's the NBA now. There's no genius that's going to solve this problem.

    Reminds me of when a bunch of us were saying Jabari is a good shooter and everyone was like "he's making 30% and he's open all the time, he's so far!!". Doesn't work that way.

    Just write this year off. He needs to taste NBA basketball and just work on his jumper all of this season and the summer and we'll see what he's got next season. Anything he gives us this season is a bonus.
     
    Dankstronaut, eman and cmlmel77 like this.
  14. CantStopJG24

    CantStopJG24 Member

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2022
    Messages:
    2,886
    Likes Received:
    3,591
    He’ll be great once he learns how to dribble and shoot. The two main things a guard needs lmao. I don’t see how anyone can say he has the most potential when he’s so far behind offensively where he’s supposed to be. Amen can barely make fts, it will take years before he learns how to shoot an actual jump shot
     
    B-Bob likes this.
  15. OremLK

    OremLK Member

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2010
    Messages:
    20,073
    Likes Received:
    17,685
    We knew Amen was going to take some time--even his biggest boosters, myself included, said don't expect much from him for at least half a season. OTE to NBA is an big leap. It's been 19 games. We saw the same thing with Jabari last season, people jumping to conclusions. He picked it up somewhat toward the end of his rookie year, and made a big leap over the offseason, and now he's a productive starter. Gotta give Amen a chance to have at least the same arc. And honestly, he might be a bigger project who takes longer than Jabari. We didn't draft him for his immediate contributions, we drafted him for his potential to become an impact player. That's why we signed Fred to a 2+1 deal.
     
  16. YOLO

    YOLO Member

    Joined:
    Apr 16, 2012
    Messages:
    46,688
    Likes Received:
    44,892
    Amen’s about to be 21 in less than 2 weeks. He isn’t your typical young rookie. Hes way behind what someone at 21 should atleast be able to do at that age.
     
  17. Aruba77

    Aruba77 Member

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 1999
    Messages:
    15,284
    Likes Received:
    18,517
    He’s a project, not a bust. We’ll see what things look like in year 3. But the moral of the story is @Medicine N Music is a damn good draft evaluator. I think he did get Whitmore wrong though ;)
     
    Medicine N Music likes this.
  18. Medicine N Music

    Joined:
    May 2, 2006
    Messages:
    1,146
    Likes Received:
    1,240
    Haha, thanks @Aruba77. Yep, can't call Amen a bust right now as we need much more time to evaluate, but if he can't shoot, he won't be worth the #4 pick, which is what I was very afraid of.

    Also, can you clarify the Whitmore statement? I may have been going too hard on posters that deemed Whitmore a superstar, but I definitely don't see him as a bust.

    For the record, I LOVED the Whitmore pick at #20 (wouldn't have picked him at #4 though). I was a little annoyed at posters/fans on RocketsWatch telling me that Whitmore was going to be a supertstar based on his Summer League and G League play.

    I think Whitmore's MEDIAN outcome is a lower end starter or Corey Maggette type 6th man player w/ a 3 point shot. That is excellent median outcome for pick #20, where #20-25 picks have a 6-8% chance of being an all-star. His ceiling is obviously an all-star, but it is unlikely. I will gladly eat crow if he becomes a superstar like some fans think, as I'm a Rockets fan first.

    The link below has some of the best draft data. The expected outcome for the 20th pick. Basically, I expect him to be a lower end starter or very good role player.

    Star - 5%
    Solid Starter - 10%
    Role Player - 35%

    Deep Bench - 30%
    Bust - 20%

    https://www.82games.com/nbadraftpicks.htm

    This is what I wrote before.

    "Cam Whitmore - Great pick at #20, but I thought he would have been a bad pick at #4. I'm projecting him as a Corey Maggette type 6th man w/ 3 point shooting or a lower end starter, which is still a great pick at #20, but not a star. We really cannot make any projections based on Summer League or G League play."
     
  19. Aruba77

    Aruba77 Member

    Joined:
    Jul 7, 1999
    Messages:
    15,284
    Likes Received:
    18,517
    Oh I wasn’t implying that you weren’t supportive of drafting Cam #20. I just remember you saying something on rockets watch about being worried about Cam’s lack of passing and ability to process the game. Like you said, you didn’t like him as the #4 pick. I was mostly just kidding around.
     
    Medicine N Music likes this.
  20. daywalker02

    daywalker02 Member

    Joined:
    Jul 17, 2006
    Messages:
    98,886
    Likes Received:
    48,807
    I love the sentiment but a superstar would not be a superstar if every Top 4 pick would pan out as one.

    You can all correct me if I am being wrong but I view a bust as someone who cannot play basketball on an NBA level....and is more likely as bad as the 15th guy on the roster.

    Some guys are not really busts but do not belong where they were selected.

    The likes of Jonny Flynn. Markelle Fultz. Jalen Green (more and more likely)



     
    #680 daywalker02, Jan 15, 2024
    Last edited: Jan 15, 2024

Share This Page

  • About ClutchFans

    Since 1996, ClutchFans has been loud and proud covering the Houston Rockets, helping set an industry standard for team fan sites. The forums have been a home for Houston sports fans as well as basketball fanatics around the globe.

  • Support ClutchFans!

    If you find that ClutchFans is a valuable resource for you, please consider becoming a Supporting Member. Supporting Members can upload photos and attachments directly to their posts, customize their user title and more. Gold Supporters see zero ads!


    Upgrade Now