[Poll] How many games does this team win next season?

Ya I'm excited to see how FVV can make Green and Jabari more efficient.

 

This is a bit of an underrated plot line here. Final record isn't just about an individual team's strength but it's relative strength to the rest of the league. Yes, we got significantly better, but a lot of teams did too. Now, the only trash teams will be Charlotte, Detroit (probably), Portland (after Dame trade), and Washington. Every night other than those is gonna be a battle.

 

Win totals can be high and still be fighting for a play in spot. That just means the bottom 3-4 teams were punching bags at epic levels. Distribution of wins changes every season. Or the Eastern Conference sucks more giving more interconference wins.

Didn't the Rockets miss the playoffs in the Francis era winning like 44 games or something?

 

Portland, San Antonio and Utah. Then squeeze out what ever middling teams depending on health. Utah started last year as a surprise hot team but then fell off after they traded Conley. They will start next season without Conley or any true pg so should be even worse. San Antonio is going to load manage Wemby next year, I will be shocked if he plays more than 60 games or 25 mpg, and that’s assuming he comes in as advertised and is a major positive contributor right away - which was not even the case in summer league. Then there’s a large group of teams outside the top elite ones that will rise and fall based on health, we could beat out one or two of those, but ofc depending on our own health too.

The 4th worst team in the west last year, Utah, won 37 games. So I don’t think you need to beat out 5-7 teams to win 40.

 

Also quality of Eastern Conference teams matter too. You still have a quarter of games against Eastern Conference teams. You can squeeze out some more wins there.

 

Yeah, I was half joking about how much you bet. That looked really low. Maybe lots of CFers saw your post and did a mad dash to it.

 

*NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE*

 

34/35 - just have a feeling we won't be as good as people think.

 

I think most people think that's around what would be acceptable improvement.

People like me that are saying a potential 40+ win season is if something awesome happens like Green or Sengun both becoming all-star level players.

 

I don’t think they need to be all star level, because fvv is already allstar level so that would be 3 allstars, then even 40+ would be underperforming. I’m not worried about Green or Sengun because they have already showed progress from rookie to 2nd year(the busts stagnate), they don’t need to do anything awesome or special, just keep their same pace of improvement and they will be good enough to help us to a 40 win season. The big unknowns are how much Jabari will improve (great sign in summer league), and how much will Amen contribute/how much does OTE translate (great sign with his 1 game and Ausar’s 5 games).

Now if Green or Sengun or both actually become all star level…we would be cooking with grease!

 

Removed

 

lol

that's good sports writing

 

I’ve been pretty consistent at 35 wins being significant improvement, which I expect. That’s one game more than the impressive jump Orlando made last year. 33-36 is the likely range of outcomes. The only team that Houston is inarguably better than in the west is San Antonio. It’s gonna take some time.

 

Who are the other four?

 

Yes, ahahaha
Truth, though.

 

No, it will not but Tilly is going to be angry, and I am smiling if he is.

 

Raptors, Grizzlies, Brooklyn, Charlotte

 

I've looked at the roster, looked at what this team could do game to game. Rim protection is the only major question I have that could be a major hinderance to the win total. I just don't feel good about it right now and I hope Sengun and Smith prove me wrong.

 

I got Rockets and Charlotte over as well, but I don't see much of an upside in Raptors and Brooklyn.