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Kamala is no joke; will vote for her again

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by KingCheetah, Jul 2, 2021.

  1. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    I do agree that we had to withdraw from Afghanistan as it was a quagmire that we were never going to solve. I also do think Biden botched it. Miley serves the President and Biden had months to prepare for the withdrawal. If Miley was doing such a bad job and Biden was aware of it it was in him as President to address that or replace Miley.

    Further in the lead up to the withdrawal Biden was making statements like “in no reality does the Afghan government collapse before we leave” even as the city after city was falling to the Taliban. It was obvious it many that Kabul was going to collapse well before we could pull out. That Biden did send in 6,000 more troops in an after Kabul fell to secure the withdrawal shows that this possibility should’ve been planned for.

    I think Biden has dine a lot of good things but this administration hasn’t been perfect and to me this was the biggest blunder.
     
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  2. astros123

    astros123 Member

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    Can you imagine the type of the military was forcing people to do? These burn pits are ****ing crazy. Their literally burning all sorts of harmful chemicals and other dangerous **** right in the open.

    How the hell is that **** legal? No **** that will cause harm to people. We don't use common sense no more
     
  3. astros123

    astros123 Member

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    You are undermining the role of the deep state and how powerful they truly are. Afghanistan was their money train and they had open checks for anything. The CIA/FBI/PENTAGON they were all in on the money train and they teamed up together to make Afghanistan bad.

    People don't realize how powerful the deep state is. They wanted to fight to tooth and nail. The military wanted biden to extend the withdrawal till the very last minute.
     
  4. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    “The Deep State” really. That is your counter argument.

    Joe Biden is commander and chief. Certainly there are people who opposed his decision to withdraw but they did obey his orders when given.

    Biden’s own words showed that he was either willfully ignorant about how fast the Afghan government was going to collapse or he was being untruthful. He was saying in July and August of 2021 that the Afghan government would last for months when many both within and without government warned it was going to collapse.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/17/us/politics/afghanistan-biden-administration.html
    Intelligence Warned of Afghan Military Collapse, Despite Biden’s Assurances
    Even as the president was telling the public that Kabul was unlikely to fall, intelligence assessments painted a grimmer picture.”
     
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  5. astros123

    astros123 Member

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    You think he could publicy say that Afghan government was about to collapse before it did? Cmon now what else do you expect him to say ?

    He got bad intel that was bcz of the deep state. 300 million dollars a day is alot of money for contractors
     
  6. Invisible Fan

    Invisible Fan Member

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    We had a decades worth of articles and documentaries detailing how Obama was a out of his league and a rube in Iraq and Afghanistan, some of which shared by these same posters.

    Did Trump do anything real about it? Besides tuck himself deeper in and run away from allies like the Kurds or NATO, the only thing his boosters can say was that we didn't create any new wars (baby steps).

    Same with the Federal Debt problem... Republicans being the loudest and shrillest backseat drivers but when they're at the wheel they run straight into the bank walls and set out tax rebates along with unmarked bags for "friends" all while puffing their chests for being Number One and America First.

    Someone has to eat these cookies past presidents punt down the line. Media has a new and loving relationship with George Dub**** Bush now. Oh he's so pleasant and gentlemanly! Remember that classic Christian conscientiousness? "We" really need more of that these days!!

    But nooo, Biden is the murderous liar who blew off private Jimmy's arm with an IED. What a blood thirsty sumbitch.

    Oh that debt burden...dem cookies getting bigger to swallow.
     
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  7. basso

    basso Member
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    relevance?
     
  8. Amiga

    Amiga Member

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    Vacations are meant for getting away from work, and I’m pretty sure POTUS is hardly ever truly on vacation. I’m not even sure what the media considers a vacation. Does it simply mean stepping away from the White House? If that’s the case, it’s kind of ridiculous. Given today’s technology, you don’t need to be confined to one place. If vacation means genuine time off, like biking or playing golf, that’s more reasonable. But even then, POTUS always has access, so it’s not a big deal unless they’re always golfing or drinking. The whole fuss about vacations, starting with Obama, seems quite absurd. I don’t buy into it, not even when Trump was playing golf constantly. It’s mostly just manufactured outrage that doesn’t impact how POTUS functions. However, if these trips end up costing hundreds of millions dollars, that’s definitely a concern.

    I believe @basso complained about Obama’s vacation, was quiet about Trump, and is now back on that faux horse..
     
  9. dobro1229

    dobro1229 Member

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    I just want to add that Os trig, Astrodome, Tallnavor, Basso, around the world, etc. have done a wonderful job lately here reselling me on voting for Biden next November.
     
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  10. NewRoxFan

    NewRoxFan Member

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    You are the one that posted about Biden's vacations, so perhaps you should ask yourself about the relevance. All I did was introduce context, which seems to deflate your attempt to criticize Biden. .
     
  11. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    As the NYT article shows there were many who knew that it was going to collapse fast. If he got bad intel this was a worse intelligence failure than Saddam still had WMD.

    And this stuff about the deep state sounds awfully like Trump defenders blaming all of his problems on the deep state. Yes there is institutional bureaucracy that can slow things up. Biden had more than 6 months to plan for this this wasn't in the first month of his presidency. Ultimately he is the Commander and Chief. If the "deep state" is sabotaging him then he has much more problems than the withdrawl from Afghanistan.
     
  12. astros123

    astros123 Member

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    Which people ? Mind sharing
     
  13. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    It's in the article I linked too. In case you can't get past the paywall. You can also peruse earlier pages from this thread with a lot of links to that information.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/17/us/politics/afghanistan-biden-administration.html

    Intelligence Warned of Afghan Military Collapse, Despite Biden’s Assurances
    Even as the president was telling the public that Kabul was unlikely to fall, intelligence assessments painted a grimmer picture.

    WASHINGTON — Classified assessments by American spy agencies over the summer painted an increasingly grim picture of the prospect of a Taliban takeover of Afghanistan and warned of the rapid collapse of the Afghan military, even as President Biden and his advisers said publicly that was unlikely to happen as quickly, according to current and former American government officials.

    By July, many intelligence reports grew more pessimistic, questioning whether any Afghan security forces would muster serious resistance and whether the government could hold on in Kabul, the capital. President Biden said on July 8 that the Afghan government was unlikely to fall and that there would be no chaotic evacuations of Americans similar to the end of the Vietnam War.

    The drumbeat of warnings over the summer raise questions about why Biden administration officials, and military planners in Afghanistan, seemed ill-prepared to deal with the Taliban’s final push into Kabul, including a failure to ensure security at the main airport and rushing thousands more troops back to the country to protect the United States’ final exit.

    One report in July — as dozens of Afghan districts were falling and Taliban fighters were laying siege to several major cities — laid out the growing risks to Kabul, noting that the Afghan government was unprepared for a Taliban assault, according to a person familiar with the intelligence.

    Intelligence agencies predicted that should the Taliban seize cities, a cascading collapse could happen rapidly and the Afghan security forces were at high risk of falling apart. It is unclear whether other reports during this period presented a more optimistic picture about the ability of the Afghan military and the government in Kabul to withstand the insurgents.

    A historical analysis provided to Congress concluded that the Taliban had learned lessons from their takeover of the country in the 1990s. This time, the report said, the militant group would first secure border crossings, commandeer provincial capitals and seize swaths of the country’s north before moving in on Kabul, a prediction that proved accurate.

    But key American decisions were made long before July, when the consensus among intelligence agencies was that the Afghan government could hang on for as long as two years, which would have left ample time for an orderly exit. On April 27, when the State Department ordered the departure of nonessential personnel from the embassy in Kabul, the overall intelligence assessment was still that a Taliban takeover was at least 18 months away, according to administration officials.

    One senior administration official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss the classified intelligence reports, said that even by July, as the situation grew more volatile, intelligence agencies never offered a clear prediction of an imminent Taliban takeover. The official said their assessments were also not given a “high confidence” judgment, the agencies’ highest level of certainty.

    As late as a week before Kabul’s fall, the overall intelligence analysis was that a Taliban takeover was not yet inevitable, the official said. Officials also said that around the time of Mr. Biden’s July remarks, where he called on Afghan leaders “to come together,” he and aides were privately pressing them to make concessions that the intelligence reports had indicated were necessary to stave off a government collapse.

    Spokeswomen for the C.I.A. and the director of national intelligence declined to discuss the assessments given to the White House. But intelligence officials acknowledged that their agencies’ analysis had been sober and that the assessments had changed in recent weeks and months.

    During his speech on Monday, Mr. Biden said that his administration “planned for every contingency” in Afghanistan but that the situation “did unfold more quickly than we had anticipated.”

    Facing clear evidence of the collapse of Afghan forces, American officials have begun to cast blame internally, including statements from the White House that have suggested an intelligence failure. Such finger-pointing often occurs after major national security breakdowns, but it will take weeks or months for a more complete picture to emerge of the decision-making in the Biden administration that led to the chaos in Kabul in recent days.

    Intelligence agencies have long predicted an ultimate Taliban victory, even before President Donald J. Trump and Mr. Biden decided to withdraw forces. Those estimates provided a range of timelines. While they raised questions about the will of the Afghan security forces to fight without Americans by their side, they did not predict a collapse within weeks.

    But in recent months, assessments became ever more pessimistic as the Taliban made larger gains, according to current and former officials. The reports this summer questioned in stark terms the will of Afghan security forces to fight and the ability of the Kabul government to hold power. With each report of mass desertions, a former official said, the Afghan government looked less stable.


    Another C.I.A. report in July noted that the security forces and central government had lost control of the roads leading into Kabul and assessed that the viability of the central government was in serious jeopardy. Other reports by the State Department’s intelligence and research division also noted the failure of Afghan forces to fight the Taliban and suggested that the deteriorating security conditions could lead to the collapse of the government, according to government officials.

    “The business of intelligence is not to say you know on Aug. 15 the Afghan government’s going to fall,” said Timothy S. Bergreen, a former staff director for the House Intelligence Committee. “But what everybody knew is that without the stiffening of the international forces and specifically our forces, the Afghans were incapable of defending or governing themselves.”
     
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  14. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    Cont.
    Afghanistan received little attention in the annual threat assessment released in April by the Office of the Director of National Intelligence; but the brief discussion was dire, noting the Taliban were confident they could achieve a military victory.

    “The Taliban is likely to make gains on the battlefield, and the Afghan government will struggle to hold the Taliban at bay if the coalition withdraws support,” the report said.

    But current and former officials said that while it was true that the C.I.A. predicted a collapse of the Afghan government, it was often hard to get agency analysts to clearly predict how quickly that would occur, especially as Mr. Trump and then Mr. Biden made decisions on how fast to draw down troops.

    Two former senior Trump administration officials who reviewed some of the C.I.A.’s assessments of Afghanistan said the intelligence agencies did deliver warnings about the strength of the Afghan government and security forces. But the agency resisted giving an exact time frame and the assessments could often be interpreted in a variety of ways, including concluding that Afghanistan could fall quickly or possibly over time.

    Sharp disagreements have also persisted in the intelligence community. The C.I.A. for years has been pessimistic about the training of the Afghan security forces. But the Defense Intelligence Agency and other intelligence shops within the Pentagon delivered more optimistic assessments about the Afghans’ preparedness, according to current and former officials.

    Military and intelligence assessments predicting that the government in Kabul could hold on at least a year before a Taliban takeover were built on a premise that proved to be flawed: that the Afghan army would put up a fight.

    “Most of the U.S. assessments inside and outside the U.S. government had focused on how well the Afghan security forces would fare in a fight with the Taliban. In reality, they never really fought” during the Taliban blitz across the country, said Seth G. Jones, an Afghanistan expert at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

    Two decades ago, this dynamic played out in reverse. When U.S.-backed Afghan militias began capturing territory from the Taliban in late 2001, Taliban fighters folded relatively quickly, and both Kabul and Kandahar fell before the end of that year.

    Some Taliban surrendered, some switched sides, and far larger numbers simply melted into the population to begin planning what would become a 20-year insurgency.

    Intelligence officials have long observed that Afghans make cold calculations about who is likely to prevail in a conflict and back the winning side, a tactic that allows for battlefield gains to accumulate quickly until a tipping point turns the fight into a rout, according to current and former analysts.

    At the core of the American loss in Afghanistan was the inability to build a security force that could stand on its own, but that error was compounded by Washington’s failure to listen to those raising questions about the Afghan military.

    Part of the problem, according to former officials, is that the can-do attitude of the military frequently got in the way of candid accurate assessments of how the Afghan security forces were doing. Though no one was blind to desertions or battlefield losses, American commanders given the task of training the Afghan military were reluctant to admit their efforts were failing.

    Even those in the military skeptical of the skills of the Afghan security forces believed they would continue to fight for a time after the Americans left.

    For months, intelligence officials have been making comparisons between the Afghan national security forces and the South Vietnamese army at the end of the Vietnam War. It took two years for South Vietnam’s military, known by the American acronym ARVN, to collapse after the United States withdrew troops and financial support. Optimists believed the Afghan military — with American funding — could last nearly as long. Pessimists thought it would be far shorter.

    “For the last two or three years I have been ruefully remarking that A.N.S.F. is Afghan for ARVN,” said Mr. Bergreen, who worked on intelligence matters on Capitol Hill from 2003 to 2021. “There was an acknowledgment that the Afghan forces were not up to the long-term fight. But I don’t think anyone expected them to melt away quite that fast.”

    Recent Taliban diplomatic maneuvers with other countries in the region, most notably China, lent an air of inevitability to a Taliban takeover that further demoralized Afghan government troops, Mr. Jones said.

    In the end, analysts said, the Taliban won with the strategy that has so often proved successful during Afghanistan’s many decades of war — they outlasted their opponent.

    “I am not that surprised it was as fast and sweeping as it was,” said Lisa Maddox, a former C.I.A. analyst. “The Taliban certainly has shown their ability to persevere, hunker down and come back even after they have been beaten back. And you have a population that is so tired and weary of conflict that they are going to flip and support the winning side so they can survive.”
     
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  15. astros123

    astros123 Member

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    IM sorry but where again are these people that you claimed ? Please for gods sakes dont tell me you believe "unknown administration offical" bs do you. Theres not a single name in this report that said they knew it was going to be fall as early as it did.

    I really cant believe people learned nothing after iraq war and how NYT sold the Americans people on WMD. "Unknown admin offical" LOL give me a break.

    Name names not some bs unknown official. Nowhere in this article does it say that anyone in the CIA told biden that it would collapse before. All it says was how risky the situation was becoming.
     
  16. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    Here's a report from special inspector for Afghanistan
    https://www.sigar.mil/pdf/evaluations/SIGAR-22-22-IP.pdf
    This isn't classified.

    Again yes we should've learned a lesson from the Iraq war to not just believe rosy statements from the President and other Administration officials.
    I've presented the evidence and the NYT is far from the only source for much of this.

    Honestly you're sounding a lot like those that you take to task for defending Trump.
     
  17. astros123

    astros123 Member

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    I just dont trust "unknown officials" from the same people who were lying to us about Afghanistan for decades. I never said there weren't mistakes made. If someone is willing to come out and put their name on the line then of course i would listen to what they say. I just dont trust "unknown officials" whom could literally be anyone.

    Ill read the report that you linked
     
  18. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    Do you trust when the NYT reports on "unnamed officials" in pieces critical of Trump?
     
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  19. astros123

    astros123 Member

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    I don't trust unnamed officals for any reporting especially in national defense. The Afghanistan claims I made were in the Bob Woodward book and he named names.
     
  20. rocketsjudoka

    rocketsjudoka Member

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    The "unnamed officials" have offices associated with them so they aren't hard to figure out. I didn't read the whole Bob Woodward book but from what I recall he acknowledges that there was a lot of discussion that the Afghan government would collapse quickly.

    In the SIGAR report it details a lot of the warning signs that were known as far back as 2009 that the Afghan military would collapse and wouldn't fight. It was the Biden and his Administration that not only publicy were saying that wasn't the case but also actually planning on the Afghan military to hold out long enough to evacuate US military personell and Afghans who helped the US. The fact that they had to send 6,000 more troops after Kabul fell to secure the airport showed how much of a failure counting on the Afghan military was.

    This goes to a deeper problem that war is inherently chaotic and even the best plans will run into problems. That Biden and his generals relied on rosy intel reports and downplayed others is a problem. There should always be contingencies for things when they go wrong. That generals like Miley might've disagreed with Biden Biden is still the Commander and Chief. If they are undermining him that is a dangerous weakness on Biden's part.

    I'm obviously not anti-Biden. Overall he's done a better job than I expected and at the moment plan on not only voting for him again but will donate to his campaign. That doesn't mean he's perfect or above reproach. The withdrawl was a sh^tshow and it happened more than 6 months into his presidency. Simply blaming the media or the deep state is denial.
     

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