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Projected stat lines of our young core players with proper coaching and after getting rid of KPJ

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by AroundTheWorld, Mar 14, 2023.

  1. DatRocketFan

    DatRocketFan Member

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    I can't say for sure how successful the pairing of sengun and Harden will b, but Harden is way too talented and gifted at playmaking to care that much about a center skillset, man is able to adapt with what's he's given.

    I'm more worried about the two pairing on defense more than offense.
     
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  2. chenjy9

    chenjy9 Numbers Don't Lie
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    I agree, just saying I would personally prefer a mobile C with Harden vs the much slower and grounded Sengun. Senguns offensive skills are really only a factor if he is the focal point of an offensive system.
     
  3. jordnnnn

    jordnnnn Member

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    Any time these types of threads pop up I like to plug in the numbers to stat head to see just how rare/realistic some stat line predictions are.

    Punched in the Sengun numbers first to see how many times in NBA history someone averaged 22/7/11/1.5/1.5 and it came back with zero. Never happened.
     
  4. DatRocketFan

    DatRocketFan Member

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    Not really. Harden dribbles the ball and see the mismatch between sengun, passes it to him and sengun will score with his post game or uses his passing/play making ability to find the open man or just pass it back to harden.

    It's not that complicated. A passing savy big man that can score via post game is a boon and can yield great success if u have a competent pg. It would b even better if sengun can develop range.
     
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  5. chenjy9

    chenjy9 Numbers Don't Lie
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    I disagree, Sengun takes away Hardens ability to disguise his floater as a lob since everyone knows Sengun can’t rise up for it. That lob/floater dual threat has become one of his most devastating weapons out of the PnR.
     
  6. topfive

    topfive CF OG

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    But Alpi is special!

    [​IMG]
     
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  7. maj21

    maj21 Member

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    What do you know, I agree with your bum ass about something
     
  8. DatRocketFan

    DatRocketFan Member

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    I'm not too well verse with Harden playstyle nowadays since I don't watch him but I'm pretty sure harden is skilled enough to pass the ball to a man in the PnR without it having to b a lob.

    I view it like this if sengun post game can b as consistent as a dunk or lob to a big man in a mismatch out of a PnR why would it matter? Folks are too dead set on thinking that lob centers are better than centers who Excel at the post game.


    The post game is so dead that folks b thinking a center that can catch lob is better than a center who can finesse his way via the post game to score.

    I view centers that have post game/passing ability basically a shot creator center. That's quite more valuable than lob threats if u ask me
     
    #28 DatRocketFan, Mar 14, 2023
    Last edited: Mar 14, 2023
  9. chenjy9

    chenjy9 Numbers Don't Lie
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    I don't think a lob center is better than a post center ie Capela vs Embiid/Jokic. I do think that a lob center who use good at interior defense though is much better than a post center who is weak at defense for a guard that primarily runs PnR.
     
  10. AroundTheWorld

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    Well, who better than the youngest center ever to achieve a triple double to make it happen first ;).

    Edit: Where do you actually enter a stat line on Stathead to see if it has been achieved? Can you post a link?

    Jokic came close, would just have needed half a block more per game - Alpi already blocks more shots per game than Jokic does.

    Giannis also came very close a couple of times, would have needed one more assist and 0.3 more blocks/steals per game.

    Embiid also, would have needed three more assists per game and a fraction of steals/blocks per game.

    But ok, change it to 20/11/7/1/1.

    I'll take it.
     
    #30 AroundTheWorld, Mar 14, 2023
    Last edited: Mar 14, 2023
  11. AroundTheWorld

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    By the way, my Sengun stats are based on his production in January, when he was temporarily unleashed.

    At age 20, he averaged during January, in 32 minutes per game: 18.3 PTS, 9.5 REB, 6.2 AST, 1.3 STL, 1.3 BLK
    upload_2023-3-14_15-5-21.png

    After that, Silas gave him a 15 minute game and clipped his wings/took the ball out of his hands again.

    Not entirely crazy to think that if you give the guy 4 more minutes per game, he matures/gets better, is made the focal point on a team's offense, he could add a few points, a couple of rebounds and an assist per game to that.
     
  12. kjayp

    kjayp Member

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    id say most all possible....
    but im expecting us to add at least 2 substantial pieces... a pg (scoot or fa) and another fc player (Wem or fa) - with kpj to 6th (or someone else)... and they're gonna take up some touches...
    so once u layer those pieces on... i see a lil less production across the board... which is fine if we r getting balanced consistent performance... id love like hell to be the next 'Pistons championship' type team without a couple 'cornerstones' and then 'roleplayers'... lol
     
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  13. AlperenSengun

    AlperenSengun Member

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    I think the important thing is Sengun is a high percentage finisher around the rim with good court vision and passing skills. That is a deadly combination. Harden may not be able to disguise his floater as a lob but the benefit from passing the ball to sengun will be more than a lob because you can do it more often and it will result in a multiple threat. Sengun will naturally finish at a lower percentage than a lob but the extra passing opportunities combined with his finishing and foul drawing rate will be much better in my opinion. And that's why Sengun doesn't need to be the focal point of offense, he needs to touch the ball and a moving offense. How this will balance with the defensive downside compared to the types of Capela, that I don't know yet and heavily depends on how much he will improve on that side.
     
  14. DatRocketFan

    DatRocketFan Member

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    Assist is still too high.
    Pts might b still quite high. A 5 pts jump from 14.8 to 20 in a season, it's rare.

    If we did get harden back. To me this would b more realistic. Harden would raise everybody's scoring ability

    Jalen ~24-25 pts (main scorer)

    Harden ~ 20-21 pts

    Smith~16-18 pts

    Sengun~ 17-18 pts

    KJM~ 14-15 pts

    I cannot see Sengun averaging that many assists a game unless he was made the main focal point, which is a ridiculous idea when u have harden play making. Sure he can get 7 assist in a game or so, but to average that while having someone like harden is quite insane.
     
    AroundTheWorld likes this.
  15. daywalker02

    daywalker02 Member

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  16. CHAMPBOY

    CHAMPBOY Member

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    Sengun is a 20 and 10 guy next year, because he can get points on post ups and rebounds. He is a top offense rebounder and he needs to work on his outside shot. If Sabonis plays average defense, Sengun can play average defense next year as well.
     
  17. AlperenSengun

    AlperenSengun Member

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    I see 7 assists more likely than 22 pts a game. 5 to 6 assists should be almost automatic. 18 pts/6 assists as baseline, with extra points or assists depending on play style. Harden's gravity should open up something for Sengun, Sengun averaged those numbers without a decent pg.

    This thread made me realize this team would be very good immediately with a very good point guard.
     
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  18. Bobbythegreat

    Bobbythegreat Member
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    I think it's considerably more likely they get rid of Sengun than KPJ.

    KPJ is one of the team's best shooters and he's made a lot of strides as a facilitator and creator.

    As to Sengun, it's obvious they view him as a serious liability defensively and if they want to play 5 out offensively they can't play to his strengths and kind of can't even have him on the court.

    There's no question if they get Wemby he's gone, but honestly if they get Henderson, they probably move KPJ to the 3 and start Tari and Bari at the 4 and 5. Sengun probably still gets moved.

    I'm not saying that's necessarily what I want, I just think it's what is likely.
     
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  19. larsv8

    larsv8 Member

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    People who have convinced themselves that all the teams problems stem from Silas and KPJ are going to be in for a huge letdown when those two are gone and very little changes.

    There is this fantasy that Sengun is a franchise player who is destined to be built around and only KPJ and Silas are standing in the way.

    KPJ was out for month and the team, headed by Sengun, had the worst performing stretch of the season.

    Meanwhile, Sengun sits, and we then have our best performance of the season.

    Can't wait for yet another round of crying from people who frankly can't seem to be objective and appropriately manage their expectations.
     
    #39 larsv8, Mar 14, 2023
    Last edited: Mar 14, 2023
  20. AroundTheWorld

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    A lot will change once they are gone.
     

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