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Prediction: Sengun’s defense is going to improve magically

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by CXbby, Jan 18, 2023.

  1. bmelo

    bmelo Member

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    This team should worry about not being worst team ever first before talking championship rosters. It is laughable and dellusional right now to talk about championship ambitions
     
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  2. bmelo

    bmelo Member

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    Seriously this out of ass talking needs to stop. Same thing with our guards… somebody needs to tell them they need to focus on not being the worst backcourt of alltime right now and talk like they allstars later
     
  3. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist

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    It is ridiculous to be rebuilding a team without benchmarking against standard components of championship teams. That doesn't mean we're there yet, but you study the lessons they learned along the way in order to try to implement them sooner.
     
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  4. CXbby

    CXbby Member

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    There is no rule that says you can’t put a defensive anchor next to Sengun. People saying Sengun is the one that has to be the anchor or he needs to be benched or traded are creating a strawman argument. From day 1 before we drafted him I said Sengun needs to play next to a Jalen Jackson Jr, Myles Turner, even Jonathan Isaac before he got hurt. An all nba defensive pf who can also spread the court. Jabari was the right idea but not living up to what he’s supposed to be. Wemby would be the defensive anchor.
     
  5. hakeem94

    hakeem94 Member

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    standards components is a delusional talk... show me where you predicted in 2012 gsw will take the league by the storm...
    they made it huge by not following the standards

    lol at the standard components.. thats not how basketball works... thats not how life works....worshiping formulas and old ideas is what made us one of the worst teams ever

    btw
    only recently rockets gave public statement, i think it was a year ago, that from now on they allow midrange shot to be taken.... what a circus!
     
  6. AroundTheWorld

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    I hope Jabari will improve a lot still as well.

    But yeah, a frontline of Sengun, Wemby, an improved Bari, Tari (and Garuba, plus some big bruiser who can give some fouls, Fernando might be adequate for that) would be pretty amazing.
     
  7. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist

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    There is no rule but there is no championship precedent. The closest I can think is the Warriors, but that works because of Curry. I'm sure if we tailored every single thing to Sengun, it would work best for Sengun. As I said, new things can happen. I'm just discussing what has been the most likely thing especially in this 3PT generation of basketball.

    For a recent example, what you're suggesting here is being attempted by the Wolves and it's not going well. Personally I don't think that would ever be the most optimal solution for a team tailored around multiple stars rather than one star, but I'd love to see someone change that history. It happens once in a while, but I don't think a team should ever be built based on an exception unless the exception is exceptional like a multiple-MVP type player.
     
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  8. bmelo

    bmelo Member

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    There was no team winning by three point shots only neither and you were advocating for this nonsense no-midrange ball too. And then we got burried by KD shooting midrange, Kawhi won, Giannis won, AD and Bron won…..
     
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  9. CXbby

    CXbby Member

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    Wolves are a bad example, Gobert clogs the lane unless they relegate Towns into a spot up shooter. All the anchors I suggested are shooting threats that would spread the floor for Sengun and the rest of the team.

    As for historical precedence, this is another strawman. It is true that you can find more championships won with dumb defensive centers that do nothing else except stay out of the way than heliocentric passing centers like Sengun. But the reason for that isn’t because one is better for winning than the other, it is because one is infinitely more rare than the other. You can pull a decent defensive center off the street, while in nba history there has only been a handful that are the same archetype as Sengun. Only 1/30 teams win a championship a year so naturally the more common archetype will win more than the rare one.

    But so it happens we have one of the rare ones and an opportunity to build around him. You don’t throw him away or bench him for far lesser players just because it’s easier to find the other archetype when you got lucky and hit the jackpot on the unicorn, that is such perverse logic.
     
    #169 CXbby, Feb 6, 2023
    Last edited: Feb 6, 2023
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  10. CXbby

    CXbby Member

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    Archetypes are such a lazy argument. We should build around Jalen because he is the same archetype as Kobe. We should trade Sengun because he’s the same archetype as Brad Miller. This ignores the fact that uh…Jalen sucks and Sengun is really really good for his age. Forget about archetypes and start judging players on their merits. This is why some of us were high on Sengun before the draft while others worried about him because of his archetype, these people still haven’t learned.
     
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  11. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist

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    You are just deflecting here. Are you talking about a future version of Sengun? Because this version shoots 31% on 0.7 attempts, so he is either clogging the lane or his man is sagging off him to double someone else. That's the problem. Also, the point of the Wolves is that even if you have a DPOY at C, it's not making up for KAT being a 0 on defense. No example is a perfect match, we try to draw parallels. If we waive off every example because one thing is not similar, then no examples are valid thus there's no discussion.

    On the historical precedence, that's not what strawman means. There are no titles won without a big man who can anchor a defense (no matter how "dumb" you think they are) and that has to be either Sengun or someone else. Top defensive anchors do not need to be high bball IQ guys.

    When (and I guess if) Sengun develops into an exceptional offensive player, some of your ideas can come into play. Jokic is arguably the best offensive C in NBA history so to expect Sengun to 100% match that is a reach. Personally I see Sengun developing into a lesser offensive and better defensive C than Jokic with slightly lesser passing. That's a star player, but it's not clear if that will break a historically consistent standard.

    There are no all time great C's without great defense prior to Jokic. There are no titles without a great defensive anchor. Sengun and the Rockets have to take that into consideration in a non-fan-like way.
     
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  12. CXbby

    CXbby Member

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    Sengun doesn’t have to be the one to spread the court, he is the offensive hub, the defensive pf is the one that needs to be able to shoot. 4 out 1 in is perfectly fine. Şengün developing an outside shot is a luxury, not a necessity. In the Wolves example Towns is the offensive star (Sengun), but Gobert is the one who can’t shoot and is clogging the lane which means there’s no room for KAT to operate. Like playing Bruno next to Sengun.

    Secondly the Wolves are a top 10 defense so I’m not sure what you are talking about, their problem is offense like I explained above.

    Lastly, Sengun does not need to be a back to back to back MVP to warrant our back to back to back last place team to build around. That is strawman #3. There is no one remotely close on the team that’s more worthy to build around, beggars can’t be choosers.
     
  13. 34to11

    34to11 Member

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    Just when you thought the 'Gun Gang couldn't get any more Lin-like...
     
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  14. hakeem94

    hakeem94 Member

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    Sengun hater do not derail this thread, speak on topic or keep quiet.
     
  15. dobro1229

    dobro1229 Member

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    I'm trying not to think of Wemby or Scoot yet in the equation because we just never know how anything will turn out, but yes I think there's no reason to believe this team as currently constructed (and we all know it won't be constructed this way for forever if even another year) will be this historically terrible on D that much longer. Too many good athletes on this team, and size to be that bad that long. Jabari gets left out of this equation a bit, and I honestly cannot wait to see what he's able to do physically to improve over the Summer. He's got the ability to be incredible defensively, and has great instincts. He's just got a boys body right now, and just simply has to grow up a bit.

    So I'm not really worried about Sengun's liability long term if it stays that way. We'll continue to put enough around him for it not to be an issue in the long run.

    Now if we sign guards like Harden that can't defend a lick on the perimeter then yeah and we keep hiring garbage coaches like Silas and McHale... yeah.... next year will be rough and Sengun will probably be the one thing Stone can change out to put a band aid on the D. In that case it is what it is, and it will suck to have to lose Sengun if they trade him for a rim runner, and shot blocker. Right now though it's all about guys like Jabari, and CERTAINLY our perimeter players getting better in the offseason to be able to use their athleticism to our advantage next year on D.
     
  16. glimmertwins

    glimmertwins Member

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    You are only as strong as your weakest link. The playoffs are brutal precisely because teams have time to develop highly specific game plans around exposing weaknesses of specific players. That's why you will see some players who become "unplayable" in a particular series but you rarely see that in regular season games.

    Maybe Wemby helps a bit but a weak link is still a weak link and teams can and will be able to exploit Sengun's biggest defensive deficiencies - and oh by the way, all the bball IQ in the world won't necessarily help you beat another player to a spot if your body just doesn't move as quickly as another and you don't have the length or response time to necessarily compensate for being a little slower with foot speed. Sengun's foot speed isn't terrible necessarily - but against playoff teams with fewer weak links and a collection of the best of the best athletes in the world, it's going to be way more of a problem than you think. Jokic isn't particularly fast in space either but I think he is still quicker than Sengun AND he has significantly more length and strength which allows him to compensate. If you look at those shot quality charts, it really is a game of inches.

    I'm not saying we need to give up on Sengun, but I think the question marks are significant enough for us to have legit questions around trying to build a system around a player who at this point doesn't project to be a guy who gives you enough defensively to not be a complete liability in the playoffs. Screw how he does against the Lakers - show me how he does against the Bucks or the Grizz.
     
  17. Mathloom

    Mathloom Shameless Optimist

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    You are essentially saying that we can run the offense through Sengun for somewhere between 32 and 48 minutes and that's not realistic to me, I don't even believe that's a good formula for a Jokic or a Chris Paul or a Luka Doncic. I believe those types of offenses can be successful with all time greats only, otherwise we should have another player on the roster who deserves to run the offense a good chunk of the time.

    You clearly have a far more optimistic opinion of Sengun than even his most ardent fans and I wish you well with that (and hope you're right) but it doesn't make for interesting discussion. It's obvious on every point you're just going to argue that Sengun is capable of doing everything, so consider your opinion noted.
     
  18. CXbby

    CXbby Member

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    In the playoffs teams are far more likely to attack Jalen than Sengun. We don’t even have to ever worry about making the playoffs if we build around anyone on the team other than Sengun. That’s the point, we have no better option.
     
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  19. CXbby

    CXbby Member

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    Strawman #4. I never said any of what you wrote and you just completely made it all up. I’ve said that i don’t think Sengun will ever be as good as Jokic. I do believe he will be better than Sabonis. Kings built a system around Sabonis, that doesn’t mean he has the ball 48 minutes. Like, wtf are you talking about?
     
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  20. glimmertwins

    glimmertwins Member

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    That is simply not true - Sengun would be targeted WAY more than Jalen. You are crazy to think other wise. Like - do you watch games anymore because that’s such a bad take.
     

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