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The incredible transformation of Justin Brooks Verlander

Discussion in 'Houston Astros' started by Yordan The Great, Jul 9, 2022.

  1. astroa89

    astroa89 Member

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    Kate Upton is the primary reason for all the recent success. ;)
     
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  2. PhiSlammaJamma

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    When thinking about signing Verlander to what he wants everyone is mistakenly thinking with their heads or their heart, but really, they should be thinking with their dicks.
     
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  3. lnchan

    lnchan Sugar Land Leonard
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    Is it possible that Verlander is the reason of the Click/Crane rift?
     
  4. Plowman

    Plowman Member

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    Absolutely....DO NOT sign him to big money/multiple years...We would end up as bag holders.
     
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  5. astroa89

    astroa89 Member

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    I have never seen such a great personification of the hubris of man.
     
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  6. astroa89

    astroa89 Member

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    I'm sure it's her huge personality that attracts all the attention that she gets.
     
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  7. jjsmooth

    jjsmooth Member

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    I thought it was her huuuge.... tracts of land.
     
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  8. Francis3422

    Francis3422 Member

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    3 years 105 million with the 3rd year being a team option.
     
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  9. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    Unfortunately the market and other team's interest and budget will determine what he gets, not his performance, or projected performance.

    I think teams like the Yankees, Dodgers, (especially) Mets and Rangers will offer multiple years and $40M+ AAV.

    If the deals are close he may return at a slight discount not not a big one.

    I think 2yrs/$90 or 3yrs/$120 would be bare bones least that could be hoped for.
     
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  10. BlindHog

    BlindHog Member

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    I am afraid you are right but that is more than I would be willing to risk on someone his age.
     
  11. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    I think JV will be a top 50-60 starting pitcher for at least 3 more seasons and would not be concerned with a 3 or 4 year deal if that's what it takes to keep him.

    Nolan Ryan pitched over 200 innings each of his 40-43 seasons, won the ERA title at 40, and won 71 games including 2 no hitters after age 40.

    Randy Johnson pitched 200+ innings in his ages 40-42 season and came back with 184 in age 44. He won 73 games after age 40.

    Roger Clemens (though aided?) Was an all-star in ages 40, 41, and 42. Won the Cy Young at 41 and ERA title at age 42 and won 61 games after age 40.

    I see Verlander just like these guys.

    I would bet he has at least 3 very good seasons left.
     
  12. Yordan The Great

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    I definitely think he's probably a high quality 2.50-3.00 era next season.

    Then the next year might be when you start to see a crack in the armor, but not a significant degradation (3.25-3.50 era).

    That 3rd year he'll have to figure it out like Clemens did when he somehow mastered the changeup of all things to keep his quality of pitching at a high level. It was incredible to witness what he did at his age 42 season in 2005. He was pushing for Bob Gibson's modern day era record of 1.12 all the way into the month of August. I think he got down right about 1.25 era mark or so and then had a blowup 7th inning vs the Pirates that started his kinda limping into the end of the season. Cost him yet another Cy Young plus the fact we sucked in run support and maybe blown saves as he only recorded a not overly impressive 13-8 record. Followed that up in 2006 with a 2.30 era but missed several starts due to injury. That kinda spelled the beginning of the end and it came abruptly the next season with the Yankees (injured again).

    Bottom line, I don't think we would be upset with JV's performance over the next 3 seasons.
     
  13. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    I just don't agree with all the people saying he is not worth the risk for ages 40-43.
     
  14. Houstunna

    Houstunna Mr Graphix
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    Yes. Peaks have more ground surface than flat land
     
  15. Houstunna

    Houstunna Mr Graphix
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    Keri is one of my dream girls

    Timbo is a dream producer
     
  16. vince

    vince Member

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    Verlander is a conundrum for many because of his age. His 2022 CY Young campaign has been age defying, and he has earned the right to get a contract more in line with his value.

    The only signs he showed of slowing down was his playoff performances. How many folks would go berserk if the way he pitched in game 1 against Seattle, or game one against the Phillies became more his regular. After all he’s no spring chicken.

    On the other hand, if he continuous 2022 regular season camp; imagine all the records he stands to break in the next 2 and 3 seasons.

    I can honestly see an argument for and against giving him the full market value.
     
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  17. xcrunner51

    xcrunner51 Member

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    What is full market value though? We're all guessing.

    Scherzer got $43.3m AAV and already way underperformed that. Is FMV for a guy 2 years older the same amount? more? less?

    If JV wants a similar 3 year/$130m contract, I say thanks for the memories and don't let the door hit you on the way out.

    If he is willing to go year to year, I could see him getting $35-40m AAV... but guaranteeing >$100m to a 40+ y/o seems nuts.
     
  18. IdStrosfan

    IdStrosfan Member

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    He is 39, will be 40 before opening day and wants to pitch into his mid 40s.

    He just had a CY Young season and has all the leverage.

    He won't sign a 1 year deal. He has no reason to risk that.

    He will get paid by someone.

    Any any fan from any team that WANTS to pass on him because he wants 3 years ( or maybe 4 I'm on the fence) is ridiculous and does not deserve to experience a World Series championship.

    Pay the man.
     
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  19. Qan

    Qan Member

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    Rangers will definitely pay him 180mil/4
     
  20. xcrunner51

    xcrunner51 Member

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    Lol. I don't "deserve to experience a world series championship". Laying it on a bit thick there guy. We can disagree. You'll notice I never said you were a worse fan for wanting to sign him to a 3 year deal. I just prefer not to. I happen to believe it makes more sense to pay Kyle Tucker $180m over the next 6 than Verlander 120-160m over the next 3-4 years.
     

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