I can't find a good source for information on the House, but it seems betting markets still give Dems a 20-25% chance to win it (vs about 8% for the GOP winning the Senate). Sites like CNN don't make super-clear what's included in their current counts and what are considered outstanding.
Meanwhile, Lake is down by a razor margin with 30% of the vote yet to be counted. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...results&context=election_recirc®ion=NavBar This b**** is crazy, we do not need a state with her as governor.
I sure hope she loses. I have no doubt she wouldn't accept the results if she lost. She is an election denier to the core. Here's what she said back in March. “One of the things I’m most proud of is being one of 147 [Republican House members] who voted against certification of the 2020 election." If that is what she considers one of her proudest moments as a Congressman it says a lot about her.
She's going to win at this rate. Hobbs is underperforming Kelly by too much. The bright spot is that Dems will probably win the Secretary of State race so an election denier won't be running elections in Arizona. On a separate note, last night was a great night for SoS races in general. The election deniers running for secretary of state in Minnesota, Arizona, Nevada, and Michigan all lost or are on track to lose. Dems also held onto the SoS race in Wisconsin which is important because Republicans have been trying to remove election authority from a bipartisan election commission and instead give it to the SoS but as long as a democrat holds the office, they won't do it.
If dipshit Cuomo hadn't stocked the NY Court of Appeals with Republicans because...centrism, it would be 50-75%.
One of the most important and encouraging results of the mid terms. I'm breathing much easier after this.
Nevada seems to be inching closer and closer towards Democrat taking the lead again. Would love for results in Arizona to hold and for Nevada to flip leads so I don't have to worry as much about the runoff in Georgia (although would love for that to be won, can't handle the fact of Walker being a Senator, just absurd).
The fact that Biden is having such a great mid-term showing demonstrates how fed up most people are with Trumpism and not a reflection of Biden. Please let this be the last blow so Republicans can start acting normal again. I'd even expect Abbott and Cruz to revert back to something more normal. Not Dan Patrick though, we're ****ed there.
To clarify, you put the blame on the court - I'm saying the court did its job. The legislature is the one that screwed up. NY voters in 2014 voted to not allow what the legislature tried to do.
I hope the democrat running against her sues her in court, we need to fight those Russians that are hacking our system and giving her extra votes. Fraud.
OK we now have a good tracker: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive...tions-congress.html?smtyp=cur&smid=tw-nytimes 37 races up for grabs. GOP currently lead in 13 (many in California); they need to pull out 10 to get the House.
If North Carolina proceeds with mid-year redistricting, I wouldn't put it past the NY Dems to court pack and then re-gerrymander the state.
Looks like Republicans are going to pull out a win, but man those margins are going to be tight. I'm not as smart as many of you guys on Clutchfans, so I'm curious, if GOP has such a tight margin for victory, what is the concern regarding Kevin McCarthy? Is it really a possibility he doesn't get elected speaker due to lack of support from the crazies? I can't wrap my head around this issue. EDIT: Looking at the Boebert race, it's looking like she can still lose the lead based on some of the remaining areas to be counted. Most of those areas seem to favor the democrat running against her, so with such a tight margin there, there is still a possibility this flips again. Nail bitter.
The NY court did it's job. What's frustrating for democrats is that courts that are filled by Republicans don't actually do THEIR job, instead treat the bench as a support branch of Republican interests.
Just need to keep the Senate…if this independent legislative theory gains traction we can appoint more SC justices if it comes to it, not to mention we can keep confirming federal judges.
