The odd thing is that contrary to the most recent press, it won't be nearly as close as what we've told it would be.
They both have way too big egos for that. And they pretty much hate each other at this point. Plus, DeSantis gets tied to Trump baggage. If they lose in 2024, DeSantis was the losing VP nominee. If they win in 2024, the country will hate the GOP going into 2028 as they did in 2020. There's no benefit to DeSantis tying his fortunes to Trump.
One thing is that there are 4 races for house seats in CA. California will take multiple weeks to count those votes. So if control of the house is that narrow, we won't know for several weeks.
Georgia Senate may come down to a runoff, so same thing in the Senate if Dems pick up PA, hold AZ, but lose NV.
I don't know whether momentum has shifted a bit or whether a bunch of the conservative posters hit their bedtime.
@geeimsobored any idea why Nevada is soooo horribly slow at reporting any results? This was the case in 2020 too.
Yes. One thing that might affect the outcome of a run off in Georgia will be if the race no longer decides control of the senate. It could be that it will only be the difference between 50 Democrats or 51 Democrats. We'll have to wait and see.
My takeaways... If tonight's results hold, that show that partisanship still triumphs over all, that polling is as infected with partisans as every other facet of society, and that candidate quality REALLY, REALLY matters. Also, Trump (like him or not) is a drag on the Republican party. This is a good night for Dems vs. what was expected, but we get divided govt. Maybe the market will turn around now.
This is a a very valid snapshot. But it is still too early to know for sure. Either party could still pick up more.
Hopefully Dems hold NV/PA/AZ and make GA a bonus. I can't imagine the money that will be spent on GA if it decides the Senate again.
