Comparing to 2018 is pretty meaningless because early voting patterns massively changed since then. People are looking for tea-leaves everywhere but it's all pretty misleading just trying to feel better about things. I think there will be some level of Roe-based voting surge that will cause Dems to do better than expected, but if it happens, it will partly be fueled by people modeled as GOP voters voting Democratic, and we're not necessarily going to see that until after the fact. None of the early voting comparisons are useful right now, unfortunately.
I know you are being facetious but it really is: https://www.brookings.edu/blog/fixg...mber-and-what-is-their-likelihood-of-success/ Roughly 345 midterm candidates that believe Biden won due to fraud.
One thing to note is that Democrats are outraising and outspending Republicans. What this might mean is that money is as much of the factor that has been made and can't make up for overall issues such as the economy or disatisfaction with the party in power.
Why TF would any voter of any type want a random tech titan to lecture them on how to vote? Do I want to hear Zuck's opinion on how I "should" (sic) vote? Nope. What a startlingly dumb person Musk proves to be once he gets out of his lanes. (And kudos to anyone who has already earned stripes in multiple lanes, but ... dayum.) I do thank Elon and his wax wings for making Twatter's banality and negative impact more strikingly clear than ever. Can't really say "to hell" with a platform that's been there for some time.
I thought you were joking when you said "Democracy is on the ballot" because you don't believe in that premise and are making fun of it. My bad. I read your comment wrong.
The X Factor in all of this will be the GOP Conservatives and the Independents... The polls are not capturing this information.... From what I am seeing voting across the board is up higher now then it was in 2020.... That usually means it's good for the dems... But we will see... T_Man
