Yes and I’ve worked in third world countries including leading volunteer teams. As someone who did damage assessment following natural disasters I’ve seen first hand how lack of building codes and or enforcement leads to more deaths. There is a reason why many in the Third World have lower life expectancy and higher mortality than people in developed countries. For that matter when I’ve done architecture work in those cases I’ve pushed to have a higher standard of work than they might have. For that matter I’ve also dealt with unscrupulous contractors and clients who if I wasn’t there and didn’t have the backing of the building codes done things that could very well lead to deaths. Back when I was doing residential I had a client once ask me why they needed a foundation wall on their addition. I caught a contractor who didn’t put in steel ties on an addition over a covered patio. What they meant was that during a wind storm the addition could’ve lifted off its supports. In many recent cases deaths in building disasters can be pointed to inadequate construction including not following or enforcing the building codes. The Great White Club fire was so deadly because they didn’t follow the code for flammable materials and didn’t have adequate exiting out of the building. The Surfside Condo collapse there does appear evidence that codes regarding drainage might not have been followed. Our buildings are safe because we have building codes. That’s why the odds are so low.
All of this is spot on. Additionally there are efficiency requirements. While much of the value is in the land, the structure matters also. There is a significant difference between an economic value builder vs a upper tier or premium builder. Stricter building codes bring a better structure value long term. Quality matters.
I so want this to be true, I have low expectations for Nov 8 and I am trying to keep my expectations in line with historic data that there is normally a reset with the party not in power, but these signs have me hopeful. Obama had the right messaging this weekend, our Democracy is on the line here folks......we cannot vote people like Walker and K Lake into office, talk about crazy talk, K Lake seems to be a smarter MTG who is going to do some crazy **** if elected
Seeing reports that the early vote is very strong in GA, WI and PA and that the vote is favoring Democrats. Like 2020 it will likely come down to whether the Republican turnout on election day will swamp early voting. This also likely means that we won't know which party controls the Senate that night. If it comes down to GA and a runoff, which I think is very likely, we won't know for more than a month who does.
Young people ARE mad. And DO want change. They also DON'T know there's voting going on right now. Lulz. GOOD LUCK
The problem is that youth turnout rarely decouples from geezer turnout. For every nonbinary barista drowning in student debt that comes out a FOX-addicted MAGA boomer does too.
Actually, every dollar MTG made representing Georgia was basically set on fire. She doesn't do a damn thing for the people she represents.
I'm not defending her. I'm saying that every dollar donated to her opponent was an absolute waste of money. She literally cannot lose that district, the demographics of the district make it so. Her opponent raise more money than most US Senate candidates. Complete and utter waste of money for a seat that cannot be won. There are candidates in places like Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, etc.. that could've all used that money.
I held off donating to Marcus Flowers for that reason. He seems like a very good candidate but the district is just too red. Many Democrats were burned in 2020 when they poured money into Amy McGrath's campaign and she was still soundly defeated by the McConnell. The same thing with Jamie Harrison. A lot of money was poured in but Lindsey Graham still won comfortably.
RCP does some very arbitrary un-skewing of polls to determine winners. They might be right, but here are all the polls they use to conclude NH will go Republican:
Joe Biden got 30% of the vote in the redrawn district. 18% of the district is college educated and this district is just rural a combination of blood red rural northwest Georgia and Atlanta exurbs. This isn't even in the same ballpark as Jamie Harrison or even Amy McGrath. Biden cracked 43% in South Carolina and 36% in Kentucky. He barely hit 30% in GA-14. This district will never ever vote for a Democrat. And anyone who donated here is just lining the pockets of some campaign consultants.
LOL it's even worse. Here's their unskewed polls: So even after they unskew the polls, they show Dems winning NV and AZ but still arbitrarily decide they are GOP Pickups.
NY governor's race https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/11/NY-General-Poll-Report-1031.pdf
Their governor map is even funnier. They have Michigan as Red even though Dixon has never led a poll.
Polls are very inaccurate they still talk to land line folks. Millennials will decide this election. DD
