Seth Martinez is on roster for this series. I would think Martinez is last on Dusty's list even though he's very good.
Man Astros fans can find anything to b**** about, can't rip Dusty or Gurriel so now it's Diaz? It's like some of have never watched Baseball before. Now Hensley is the supposed savior?
That's factored into xERA Expected ERA, or xERA, is a simple 1:1 translation of Expected Weighted On-Base Average (xwOBA), converted to the ERA scale. xwOBA takes into account the amount of contact (strikeouts, walks, hit by pitch) and the quality of that contact (exit velocity and launch angle), in an attempt to credit the pitcher or hitter for the moment of contact, not for what might happen to that contact thanks to other factors like ballpark, weather, or defense. By converting this to the ERA scale, it puts xwOBA in numbers that are more familiar, and allows it to be compared directly to the pitcher's actual ERA. (If you're familiar with FIP, or Fielding Independent Pitching, the idea is similar, just that now Statcast quality of contact can be included.) xERA is not necessarily predictive, but if a pitcher has an xERA that is significantly higher than his actual ERA, it should make you want to take a closer look into how he suppressed those runs.
Seeing some Stanek comments on here. I agree it’s a bit weird. Statistically he had one of the best seasons in Astros history, but he stressed me out more than nearly any pitcher on the team bc of his propensity to walk batters. I imagine that’s factored heavily into the decision making.
My guess is that the Astros have an internal version of xERA that factors in Ks and BBs more than the public version in which Stanek comes in as the worst.
I don't think it's "b****ing" to say, "we've got a few different options at DH and things aren't working with these guys, so could we give this other guy a shot instead?" That's a pretty reasonable thought process. If Mancini and Diaz were previous postseason studs like Altuve, I wouldn't even suggest it—you won't see me on the "move Altuve down in the lineup" bandwagon. But Diaz has a career .534 postseason OPS in 28 games with the Astros and Mancini's entire postseason resume is his two awful games against Seattle last week. It's not an overreaction to suggest replacing one of your "meh" DH options with a different "meh" DH option when you're getting nothing out of the position and it's such a low-risk suggestion. I don't think Hensley is a savior at all, but I think he's the guy providing the best at bats at the moment, and the Astros would lose literally nothing by giving him a shot because they're not currently getting any production from that spot in the lineup.
No walks, no walks no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks, no walks
Yeah, it is b****ing especially after one game and you have no idea what has gone into making these decisions. Does anybody know what is Hensley weaknesses and how they play against these pitchers? The decision on these guys are a lot more than just trying something the team has actual metrics and make the lineups based on actual data. All these DH's are meh until they are not, so would you rather just keep rotating them hoping somebody gets hot or rely on the data that has served you well so many years. They are not getting any production from a number of spots in the lineup and don't have a lot of options at DH so do they just pick one from a hat every game and cross their fingers? Or let the numbers tell them who has the best chance to contribute?
the two DH options are literally alternating until one separates from the other. that was obviously the plan going into the postseason and its been that way. both of these guys are bats that have shown that they can definitely contribute at a high level. there's no so such thing as fixing every single spot in the lineup. it's either guys step that day or not Hensley has had literally 2 ab's. One where he grounded out and the other he gets hbp in a tough ab. That doesn't thrust him into a DH role suddenly. As a rookie in his position, he's a late inning sub option. and there's nothing wrong with that.
We would have won the WS last year if Lance was healthy. He was our ace. Now, he's on full rest, sharp..sure feels like he should be dealing today.
so what's the case for Valdez not pitching today who is a cy young ace this year, if not for his other teammate
The argument for Hensley is in his limited playing time in September, he was arguably the team's best hitter - hitting for average, power, taking walks, and rarely striking out. It might be a fluke, but it's not unreasonable to try and see if it's legit.
Just want what he's done so far in limited opportunities. Professional PAs. If he sucks, it's NO DIFFERENT than what we've gotten so far at DH. That's not a savior.
I'm not really trying to see some experiment at this point in the postseason. If he can give the stros something in the limited role hes given right now as a rook, great. but both diaz/mancini are both good enough to not just be given up on. Too many folks try to slot the perfect lineup when in reality there's no such thing.
They are both good enough not to be given up on, but neither is good enough that it matters much one way or another if they are in the lineup either. We're benching one every day because neither is good enough to really be solidly in the lineup. There's not much difference between that and benching both of them one day.
There is no wrong decision here. You have two solid veterans who have sucked for a long time and a super-hot rookie who has a limited track record. You can make a good argument for any of them.
Lol one of the two guys who started the Chas chomp is a good friend hilarious how much traction it’s gotten!
