Prior to the Season per Tags Roof closed : 0.553 winning percentage Roof open: 0.503 winning percentage
Breaking Down Jose Altuve’s ALDS Struggles https://blogs.fangraphs.com/breaking-down-jose-altuves-alds-struggles/
The Astros are going to beat the Yankees because they give up the fewest homeruns in baseball and the Yankees can only score runs by hitting homeruns.
Some interesting stats for today's game: The Yankees slashed .216/.310/.385 against ground ball pitchers this year. Framber induced the most groundballs in the MLB this year. Career-wise though, Valdez has struggled against the Yankees: 6.75ERA, 4 HR given up in 13.1 IP. His one 2022 start was a loss at Yankee Stadium, 6IP 3ER but only 2 hits allowed (one a 3-run bomb to Stanton) Severino did well in two 2022 starts vs. HOU: 3.75ERA, .186/.255/.349 with only 1 HR given up in 12.0 IP. He did lose both starts though. The Astros have been extreme in long ball reliance this postseason (even more than the Yankees): 13 of 17 (76.5%) of all their runs via HR. Severino is a bit worse than league average in surrendering HR I think it's Framber's game to lose. If he brings his 2022 intensity and control, the Yankees will be shut down as they continue their HR-or-nothing approach resulting in ground ball after ground ball. If he isn't sharp, then there is a possibility of death by walk + longball. On the flip side, I don't see the Astros mounting much offense against Severino. Hopefully they will work counts early in the game to run up his pitch count and chase him in the 5th or 6th. Then they can get to work on the weak Yankee bullpen.
The only annoying thing about the roof open is that this team has literally only had one open roof games this year. Would have been nice if they opened it for most of September (when the weather was good), but they decided against it for some reason. Given that this team plays well on the road or in any setting this year (day games, night games, etc.), it honestly shouldn't matter at all.
I know it's obviously a small sample size and this wouldn't exactly be a huge change in the lineup, but if the Astros continue to get crap production out of DH, I'd like to see them move Chas up to 7th in the lineup. Like everyone, he had some bad at bats in that 18-inning game, but he's had a hit and gotten on base consistently in every game so far, and he's proving he can hit righties, too.
And it was unquestionably louder in 2004, 2005, 2015, and 2017.... than it has been in 2019, 2021, 2022. Why is that? Just look at how rabid the Padres/Phillies stadiums are. Fan bases that go through times of extreme hunger manifests itself as a crazy scene for those games. If the Astros are rolling, MMP will be rocking... roof open or not. If its a tight game, or the Astros are trailing, the fans tend to get a little quiet now. Desperation sometimes breeds fanaticism.
if you told me Altuve/Alvarez/Bregman/Tucker would all be hitless and we would win, I would not believe you
If curious why Stanek is getting treated like the worst bullpen arm he's technically the 2nd worst if you're looking at xERA. Astros just have an elite bullpen.
Crazy thing is Brown and Abreu didn't even pitch last night and there is an argument that they could be your closer/8th inning guys all together. Nasty bullpen is nasty.
