There is nothing good about Abbott. His loose gun laws are the reason we have so many murders and mass shootings. We have a crisis in the foster children program, don't have enough facilities to serve the mentally ill, and are paying outrageous electric bills from our Texas energy grid providers. Abbott blames everyone else but doesn't address the real issues. Now they are providing DNA kits in schools for the next shooting. How sick is that? I guarantee he would have shown more compassion and outrage over those Uvalde victims if they were rich white kids from River Oaks. He probably would have attended the funerals. The NRA owns him, the Big Corp elites own him, the Oil companies own him. We have such lax regs on these chemical plants spewing toxins into our air and water with no real retribution when they don't fix or address deficiencies. It's sickening. Good old Abbott doesn't care about all these teens being raped by pedophiles, or women forced to bear a child they can't afford after being raped. He's part of the Good Ole Boys club, the party of White Men who consider women and people of color a step below them. He needs to go.
Exactly this. I love Kornacki and he is my go-to guy but the nature of the beast with news shows is to create some kind of crisis and then focus on the outlier. I have to think that these polling orgs also know who they are sampling and if they can find some wonky numbers they will get reported on. I can't believe you have many undecided voters at this point or voters that are gonna change their votes because they actually think Republicans can fix crime.
Because this is a subforum dedicated to controversial things like politics the battle lines are pretty well drawn here. I dont think it's quite that way with most of the public during a Midterm election. Also since many of these races are close a shift by a couple of percent across a handful of races could make a big difference in who controls Congress. I would expect even this later there probably are a enough undecided voters that could make a difference.
This is a microcosm of the public and I have no idea why you think the lines are not as well drawn every place else What makes you think the "public" is any different? I think the races will be close as well I just think many people are on the fence most of these candidates have pretty clear differences not much nuance with these candidates. When in the last couple of voting cycles have undecideds made a huge difference? Media has found out that they need to create controversy leading up to elections and they select anything that could be controversial to focus on. Here is a good article about it and even here he is kind of arguing both points. https://peterbutler.substack.com/p/there-are-still-undecided-voters
Not everyone pays as much attention to politics as we do. This is a self-selected group and not an representative selection of the larger populace. As the piece you posted notes there are probably about 10% actual undecided voters out there. When we're seeing a difference on the generic ballot of 3% that undecided vote is more than three times the difference between the parties. The 2016 election was the last election where late breaking undecideds made a big difference. From post election surveys those appeared to break strongly for Trump and one of the reasons why Comey might've actually tipped the election on behalf of Trump.
Just because a person does not pay attention as much as we do does not mean they are undecided, I think most of those people are the people that vote strictly along party lines if they vote at all. The person who does pay attention is probably more willing to switch parties are don't have a real party affiliation. Yes, there might be 10% undecided but how many of those still undecided are actually going to vote? The Trump election was an outlier and a lot of undecided realized they made a huge mistake and then voted him out, those lines have been drawn much more distinctly now. Trump is not on the ballot and none of these candidates are Trump, now you want tell me what happened to these undecideds since 2016?
That they voted for Trump and then voted against Trump showed there is a portion of the electorate that is flexible and not bound by party. I suspect those are some of the ones that make up the undecided. It’s possible they might not vote and midterms are generally lower turnout elections. Given though that many races that could decide control of Congress are within a few percentage points it doesn’t take many late breaking undecideds to change things. The main point is that this election is far from clear about which party will come out of top. It’s not looking good for Democrats but it’s not a Red Wave. A shift though Ong only a few thousand votes in a handful of races could decide control of Congress
High early turnouts are a good sign for Democrats so hopefully this bodes well. I think it’s all but certain that well see a bigger Republican turnout the day of election and a repeat of 2020 with Republicans taking early leads in counting. Kari Lake and Materson on AZ have all but said they won’t concede or recognize results that show them losing, even though it took Lake days before edge won her primary.
Is that a wish map of the Senate? The Republican candidates in Az, GA and PA have consistently been trailing. I think AZ it’s even out of the margin of error. OH, NC, NV, and WI the Democratic candidates are trailing within the margin of error. That map could easily be 54 D - 46 R
In-person early voting is the most popular method of casting a ballot in Georgia, with voting locations open for three weeks before Election Day, including two Saturdays. Some counties also offer Sunday voting hours. Following political campaigns and voter mobilization efforts, Black voters especially turned out on Monday. Black voters accounted for about 39% of Georgia’s early voters, higher than their 29% share of the state’s registered voters, according to an analysis of election data by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution. Nearly 50% of early voters were white, while Hispanic and Asian voters each made up about 1% of turnout. About 9% of voters didn’t provide their race or chose “other” when they registered to vote.
